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1. So what would re-opening of society look like. As it happens, I'm in a position to offer some thoughts since I'm in Saskatchewan, which has a very low rate (6 deaths per million, as against 90 for Canada & 197 for USA) & is phasing in re-opening.
2. On April 23, the Saskatchewan government announced a program of re-opening. It was to start on May 4 and be very phased in, with the initial opening focused on healh care services (dentistry, optometry, etc). Meetings of up 10 people now allowed.
3. So far, so good. The government is handling it responsibly. The one area that is worrying is public reaction. Immediately after announcement (i.e. 2 weeks before phase 1 even started) many more people were out walking, not doing social distancing etc.
4. That's going to be a real problem with phased in re-openings. Most people don't know how to calibrate -- it's either lockdown or a moshpit, like flipping a switch.
5. Based on what's happened here & in Asia, I suspect "re-opening" won't be a one-time thing but a constant tug of war lasting till the vaccine is found. There will be openings, then social distancing collapse will create outbreaks, leading to lockdowns, followed by new openings
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