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Bleak thought in here: under optimal conditions we are at a peak and deaths will fall as fast as they’ve risen. That means a best case scenario implies 60,000 additional deaths. And there are many reasons to suspect we are not in a best case scenario.
Since people are *still* comparing this to the flu, I made this chart to show what it looks like when you measure flu and COVID deaths in an apples-to-apples fashion. washingtonpost.com/business/2020/…
I'm indebted to @jeremyfaust on this, who pinpointed these figures in an excellent SciAm piece last week. blogs.scientificamerican.com/observations/c…
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