Italian stats authority has published a report on excess mortality in March istat.it/it/archivio/24…
Deaths in March increased +49.4% compared to March 2015-2019 average but with significant regional differences: +94.9% in the north, where COVID-19 hit hardest, +2% in the south
Deaths in March increased +49.4% compared to March 2015-2019 average but with significant regional differences: +94.9% in the north, where COVID-19 hit hardest, +2% in the south
The increase is particularly dramatic in the worse affected areas of the country: Bergamo (+568%), Cremona (391%), Lodi (371%), Brescia (291%), Piacenza (264%), Parma (208%), Lecco (174%), Pavia (133%), Mantova (122%), Pesaro & Urbino (120%)
The report notes that the first local/community case was reported in Lombardy on Feb 20 and with the exception of the first three imported COVID-19 cases at the end of Jan 2020, the epidemic was mostly driven by local transmission
The full report, which includes data for age groups, gender and geography, can be found here istat.it/it/files//2020…
Should add: on non COVID-19 excess deaths, stats authority puts forward 3 hypothesises: non-tested people; indirect effect of the virus (eg organ dysfunction as a consequence of viral infection); mortality not directly related to the virus but, for example, to health sys capacity
