Wow. Chief statistician repeats prof Edmunds estimate that infection rate for Covid-19 has gone UP recently, partly cos of epidemic in care homes.
"I would not demur from that"
He just blew up this press conference, despite Raab saying 'overall' the R rate is down
"I would not demur from that"
He just blew up this press conference, despite Raab saying 'overall' the R rate is down
"It's probably gone up just a little bit from these last estimates and that is driven by the epidemic in care homes, he [Edmunds] would say, and I would not demur from that. That is a real challenge to reduce the epidemic in care homes."
We are left with impression that govt wants to make it look like infection rate R is lower than ever on a new range (0.5) [to give PM cover for his Sunday/Monday good news] rather than looking at the recent uptick that means the range is still v close to 1 (0.9)
But the statisticians/scientists make clear real prob in care homes
.@JonAshworth isn't impressed
Full quote: "Prof Edmunds I think is right that R has probably gone up just a little bit from his last estimates and that is driven by the epidemic in care homes, he would say, and I would not demur from that. That gives us a real challenge to reduce the epidemic in care homes."
Here's the WaughZone on the wider risks of the Raab-Johnson move out of lockdown.
huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/boris-jo…
huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/boris-jo…
