Economics of many industries can’t survive a year of depressed revenue. College, airlines, theaters, retail, restaurants, so much will change.
Worth formulating a precise bet.
Key concept: this is not a passing storm. It’s probably the most documented global event in human history and the most important event since World War 2.
theatlantic.com/category/uncha…
![](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EXxSP6LU0AAyi5p.jpg)
But we need a fast technological breakthrough just to get back to status quo. Part of why it’s an improbable outcome.
The 2019 US economy was crucially albeit implicitly premised on the absence of serious infectious disease. The 1918 economy was not.