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This is pretty cool
My own experiment:
US Presidential line of succession -> Order of succession -> Head of State -> Persona ->Role -> Behaviour ->Action->Behavioural Science ->Organism-> Life->Physical Entities->Space->Position->Geometry->Mathematics->Quantity->Counting->Number....
Number->Concept->Idea->Philosophy ->Existence...and boom I'm in the loop
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Keep Current with Rob Ford says: Stay At Home, Save Lives

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More from @robfordmancs see all

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Rob Ford says: Stay At Home, Save Lives
@robfordmancs
The problem for the govt is that all of these things are true:
1. At some point the costs of lockdown become unsustainable
2. Therefore at some point they have to ease lockdown
3. No one knows when this point is
4. Much of the public rejects (1) and (2)
1/?
2/?
5. Many of those who don't reject (1) and (2) don't trust the govt to get the trade-off right
6. Much of this distrust stems from an understandable belief the govt got the tradeoff wrong in Feb-March
...
7. Many of those arguing most vocally for early end to lockdown have credibility problems and/or obvious political/ideological motivations (Toby Young, Telegraph Comment page, Trump
8. Many of the loudest voices on the "indefinite lockdown" side have much higher public trust
Read 9 tweets
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Rob Ford says: Stay At Home, Save Lives
@robfordmancs
So, it being the 10th anniversary of that Gordon Brown - Mrs Duffy moment, there's a lot of people on my TL claiming "Labour would have won but for that moment" & similar, displaying two of my favourite political biases: partisan bias and agency bias. 1/?
2/? For starters: No, Mrs Duffy didn't matter. The whole incident had no discernable impact on ratings of Brown, ratings of Labour, voting intention or anything else we have measures for. There's nothing there. No effect. Nothing. Nowt. Nada. Labour even won back Mrs Duffy's seat
3/? So why, then, is the Mrs Duffy moment treated as so totemic. There are, I think, (at least) two bad explanations for this and (at least) one good one.
Read 15 tweets
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Rob Ford says: Stay At Home, Save Lives
@robfordmancs
Its hard to know where to start with arguments like this. But its important to try, because they need combatting. So I'd like to propose a crowd-fisking effort. Please send me examples of mistakes of fact or logic in Young's argument. I'll start with a few which immediately occur
1. Young's assumption that the mortality from COVID-19 is a fixed figure which isn't influenced by the mitigation actions we take. This is obviously not correct. If NHS facilities are overwhelmed, then the mortality goes up.
If cases are spread out, more of the serious ones can access ICU, or ventilators, or regular doctor and nursing assessments. If cases are more bunched together, more patients won't and therefore more patients will die. This doesn't even occur to Toby who just assumes a fixed
Read 54 tweets

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