A lot of people of course think they do. 1/
Consider that we can now consider a lull 2000 Americans dying every day.
Much of this also reflects April. 2/
In fact the majority of states are. And those that are are doing it without all the tools we wish they would. And that many committed to.3/
Still, 165,000 people w new COVID infections. Still, our 6th highest week. 5/
Outside of NY & NJ, they are rural towns in Tennessee, Nebraska, Kansas, Arkansas & Minnesota. Factories & prisons are a common thread. 7/
We should stop guessing. And, in an unpopular opinion, we may want to stop criticizing Gov Kemp until we learn more. 8/
All movement and activities are not created equally. Some are safe. Some are not. 13/
We believe the virus transmits most indoors when there’s bad circulation & over long periods.
If more people are jogging but at a safe distance, more movement wouldn’t be bad. It would be good. 14/
We have to admit that we have no idea.
We do know however that what pain there is will fall on the poor, sick & old. 17/
Instead we should say, we know some things for sure are a problem, but other things we’re still learning. 18/
If it’s true, DeSantis didn’t know that at the time. But as Tom Petty once said about people who “get lucky sometimes.”19/
What we do know is it’s bad. Lots of people are dying & we’re sitting at a high level of cases that overall aren’t dropping. 20/
But for all we don’t know, states will try things. And we will learn in June.21/
When we don’t know, being conservative with our lives & our neighbors is a good idea. But it doesn’t mean things will fail.22/
And some spikes we expect but won’t materialize. Thanks God. 27/
It will be a zigzag bringing us forward. Our good decisions in the future will hopefully be informed by our mistakes today. 32/
Meanwhile the smartest of us will learn. Our expectation shouldn’t be no mistakes. It should be not making the same one twice. /end