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Model forecasts for Coved19 deaths in SA show SA death rate 18 times of current world average! Currently, the whole world daily deaths are about 4300 and decreasing. That means on average SA will record about 6% of the world deaths everyday. @waldimar 1
Furthermore, the measured symptomatic cases are 4,8 million the model suggests we will add 25% to the world caseload with just 0,75% of the world population! SA will have the 3rd highest death rate and the highest caseload ever! 2 @netwerk24
Of countries with over 1 million people, Belgium had the highest deaths per million people followed by Spain. Then SA. both these countries are seeing far slower deaths now and are 20 years older than the typical South African. 3
Spain has 25,3% OF POPULATION OLDER THAN 60 YEARS AND SA 9%! 0ver 75% of all deaths are people over 60! Either we are going to wipe out older folk like no one else or this model is being produced to provide a reason for the Lockdown! 4 @Jonathan_Witt
And BTW South Africa has a median age that is 3 years younger than the world median age. At current rates the world will be about 145 deaths per million and SA 760! so a younger country will have over five times the world average...
@jamesmyburgh @unconCEO @IvoVegter sorry but concerned with these numbers
Here are the rolling seven-day average deaths in the world as collected by ECDC which also includes some probable cases (i.e. not confirmed)
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