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The largest outbreak in South Korea came from a church.
The largest outbreak in France came from a church.
The latest outbreak in Germany came from a church.
The latest CDC investigation traces a rural Arkansas outbreak—from a church.

theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
CDC: High COVID-19 Attack Rate Among Attendees at Events at a Church — Arkansas, March 2020

cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/6…

Upshot: 38% of attendees at rural Arkansas church in March developed COVID, including half of those over 65
I'm not very religious, and I want to be sensitive to ppl who are suffering from disconnection to their congregation and priest/rabbi/imam.

But crowding into close unventilated spaces and chanting together is just disastrously risky right no. Is outdoor prayer an option?
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Derek Thompson
@DKThomp
Whoa ...
not to spoil the fact check party but the battle over who should or shouldn’t be slapped with a “get the facts” label—and the war over the Democratic/Republican GTF ratio—is going to consume all over our lives and will, on some days, be all this website ever talks about
The social media epistemology war isn’t over, it just moved to a new theater.
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Derek Thompson
@DKThomp
I wrote about the science of COVID's indoor vs. outdoor transmission, and what it means for the future of the great indoors, including:

- offices
- restaurants and retail
- theaters
- arenas
- bars and clubs
- gyms and fitness centers

theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
Before we get into the findings, your COVID caveat emptor:

There is so much we don’t know about how this disease spreads and what conditions facilitate its transmission. The studies in this article aren't outliers. But the science here is far from settled.

Okay, let's go...
The indoors are riskier—full stop.

A Hong Kong survey reviewing 7,324 cases in China found “1 outdoor outbreak."

medrxiv.org/content/10.110…

A Japanese study estimated odds of indoor transmission to be “18.7X greater" than open-air environments

medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
Read 12 tweets
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Derek Thompson
@DKThomp
Denmark's government disease research center (SSI):

We've opened the economy. People aren't getting sick. We're very confused.
Please join me in imagining a White House COVID update where the president goes,

"Amazing news! Transmission rates have declined dramatically. I can't take credit without more data. Let's study this more! Remember to practice social distancing and epistemic uncertainty."
Link to the above Denmark article: I used Google translate nyheder.tv2.dk/samfund/2020-0…
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