Cummings retro-edit of his blog perfectly timed to coincide with @SenTomCotton mainstreaming the "Wuhan Lab Theory" - the global right want to use this pandemic for a Cold War on China... 1/ My column: newstatesman.com/politics/uk/20…
2/ The Wuhan Lab story was pushed into the mainstream by a "member of Cobra" and a UK government minister (in the Mail) 10 days before US intel agencies started briefing their own media... newstatesman.com/politics/uk/20…
4/ The UK govt has repeatedly squashed the Wuhan Lab story. I don't know whether they have any evidence for it but as Bannon says Five Eyes and others are looking at it - but if they do, you can bet it will be the Gulf of Tonkin, v convenient for Trump's election strategy...
5/ Bannon, Trump, Cotton, the US right are determined a) to make the election about confronting China; b) to really confront China - because it's in China's interest for globalisation to continue, while their project is "Westphalian"... thewirechina.com/2020/05/24/ste…
5/ The left, too, should be seriously critical of the CCP: here's why #ClearBrightFuture is not on sale in Beijing...
6/ But as I argue here: any Western strategy to contain China by destroying its economy will lead not just to military confrontation - but to a continental-scale Fallujah. The west won't pick up the pieces, the pieces will pick up the pieces...newstatesman.com/politics/uk/20…
7/ The British political debate is muted on China. The Tory party is split because the City just wants to keep taking the money, same as with Saudi; Labour wary of all geopolitics; military/security rightly focused on Russia... but... newstatesman.com/politics/uk/20…
8/ It's time to activate calm, responsible debate: defend democracy in HK, smart reindustrialisation of UK/Europe, identify and counter (democratically) China's soft power moves here - but reject Bannon's warmongering. newstatesman.com/politics/uk/20…
9/ If you have time, read the 57-page propaganda playbook of the GOP on China... because it's coming here: link in the article... newstatesman.com/politics/uk/20…
9/ While we are here, if anyone wants a free copy of Live Working or Die Fighting in Chinese, I've just put it on Academia... it's the job of the Chinese people to build an alternative to the CCP - not Bannon! academia.edu/attachments/63…
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I'm a China hawk but I am sick of Tory duplicity and 💩 Fleet Street commentary on "why don't we designate China a threat"? Neither Johnson, Sunak nor Truss did so, despite Truss threatening... and here's why: 1/ This is what a "threat" to National Security looks like...
2/ ... it's a nuclear capable Russian aircraft with a missile that can travel at Mach 10: three of them spent 12 minutes in NATO airspace last month... and the RAF regularly has to intercept these and other Russian threats...
3/ In 2021 the Tory govt recognised China as a "systemic competitor" - that is, a country determined to compete with us over economic interests, values and geopolitical influence... then, in 2022, China overtly backed the Russian invasion of Ukraine....
I just used my fingerprint to log into my Apple computer; I used facial recognition to pay for an e-bike on my Apple phone; I ordered a repeat prescription on the NHS app that holds every detail of every illness I have ever been treated for on a central server...1/
2/ ... I had to show my drivers' licence to get into a briefing from a civil servant; I used the e-gates at LCY to cross the border without having to speak to a human being... why would I object to "the state" issuing me with digital proof of ID?...
3/... Labour must of course address privacy concerns and the possibility of cyberattacks on a single digital ID - but there are massive libertarian and economic upsides to a society where *everybody is who they say they are*...
Labour's reshuffle was deftly completed and has rewarded competence and narrative skill. Task now is to start not just delivering but telling a story of who we are - I am proud of what Labour is achieving... here's one example... 1/
What happened in D.C.? 🧵1/ We, outside the classified zone, won't know for a while - because the European leaders pulled of something surreal: they pulled Trump back from getting sucked in to Putin's mental framework ... but...
2/ ... look at this: diplomats with PhDs, security analysts with years in the field, aircrew risking their lives to surveil the Russia/Iran threat... all that expertise and dedication keeping us safe ... for this? The White House of Kennedy and Roosevelt turned into a trashy gift shop....
2/ ... look at this: diplomats with PhDs, security analysts with years in the field, aircrew risking their lives to surveil the Russia/Iran threat... all that expertise and dedication keeping us safe ... for this? The White House of Kennedy and Roosevelt turned into a trashy gift shop....
There are 3 historical reference points for Trump's Alaska disgrace ... Munich '38, Berlin '40, Moscow '41... which is closest? 1/🧵we've had no readout from an honest source...
2/ At Munich democracies signed up to dismembering Czechoslovakia, sidelining USSR with which it had a mutual defence pact ... so this wasn't Munich, yet...
3/ The Aug 1941 Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact dismembered Poland and started WW2...
Global investors are selling US stocks because they know Trump's tariffs will kill globalisation and trigger recession 1/... but why are they selling bonds at the same time? 🧵
2/ ....They're selling US bonds - which they would normally buy as a safe haven - because bonds have become gambling chips for hedge funds who are gambling on massive credit ... as @FT explains
@FT 3/ ... what comes next is financial contagion. After 2008 all banks required to keep a stock of capital to cushion instability ... that's rapidly eroded... sudden stop in trade plus massive losses in financial markets is bound to take down some bank somewhere...