Air Partner #AIR.L may be re-rating rather than bouncing.
They're an aircraft charterer in a rather profitable spot: current air travel restrictions mean they're currently over-earning at quite a rate (understatement) and should continue to benefit even as the industry returns.
You'd probably never know otherwise unless you found a line buried on page 10 of 56 in their last report or follow @EricUKinvestor's posts flagging up the company: by their measure of underlying profitability, their first quarter was bigger than any full year previously.
It's a simple thesis - the freight division benefits from Covid emergency response needs and the pinch in airline freight capacity as airlines are grounded. As the crisis abates, airlines will only gradually reintroduce routes and frequencies meaning this should decline slowly.
Their private jet chartering arm may pick up the slack at this point; social distancing is an inherent attraction to the business and projections for a 3-year return to normality for airlines mean route choice / frequency remain limited, driving increased demand for this service.
Their May private jet flight interest is already up 210% according to this link posted by Eric. Whilst it's not a company without issues, I think there's a chance the current and coming environment should allow them to re-rate to a higher level.
$RADA makes small tactical military radars. The recent sell off hasn't made it cheap but it has begun to bring it closer to GARP territory
It's a rare pure-play on a theme that's perhaps not yet widely appreciated and is hard to access directly but you can see it in the numbers
Here's where it trades on a forward sales multiple against some of the big diversified defence majors - has lost much of the premium and now sits a little off the top end. Brits bottom of the pile.
Same group of majors but here on forward EBITDA multiples and towards the bottom end excluding the UK companies.
Naive view but I think Hunting #HTG may be on its way back to Covid lows because it's orphaned on the wrong market and there's an information disconnect - if so, my guess is that it's pretty oversold here.
The company isn't a pure play but it's good enough to say it's very shale exposed, towards the completion side vs the drilling side of things.
Three year chart to around May 2021: HTG in green vs several US oil services ETFs - as you can see, they trade in lockstep.
Same chart but on a 2021 YTD basis and it starts diverging somewhere around mid summer.
IG Design #IGR was a ten bagger in the 5 years leading up to Covid. An update a fortnight ago dropped the shares by half and erased all the gains in the most recent five years. Knife catching and broken growth this soon is almost always a mistake but IG may be an exception here.
My basic premise with it is that the accounts are a complicated nightmare (CTRL+f for "adjust" is 232 hits in the last FY report) but most immediately, that this is right now a gross margin story - I think there are grounds to at least consider whether IG can be given a pass here
Unfortunately, it does mean walking through it so grab a.. (just no) so anyway, here's the rough idea: Pre-covid in white, M&A growth darling, 20% gross margins. Forget the op margin for now - I'm stripping out the adjustments that made adjusted whatever go up and to the right
Saw a one-line tweet the other day mentioning McColls #MCLS as one of 2 highest conviction names.
I think I see why: there's a metamorphosis happening underneath and reasonable path to PE and FCF multiples between 2-3 plus a growth narrative, all under that lovely grim exterior
Story is that they're shrinking. 1500+ stores 2 years back, to 1050 by the end of FY21
Also changing: culling small newsagent shops to focus towards larger, more profitable grocery-heavy stores. So far, so worthy - but the real interest is the transformation into Morrisons Daily
Company raised recently to accelerate a programme converting 350 stores into these Mini Morrisons. They're at 56 today, will be 350 by end FY22
Cost is £90K per shop, what they call "cash payback" is 2-3 years and so far they're providing pretty immediate LFL sales growth of 25%
What does Sneller see to get such sudden FOMO for the old zombie that is Iofina #IOF? If you recall the name, it should produce revulsion but a few things have changed and there's a chance it may be about to make some money.
IOF produces Iodine in the US via O&G brine. Iodine is a beneficiary of industrial recovery generally and covid specifically - the largest use is used as x-ray contrast which may benefit demand from catch up on delayed hospital treatment.
And because it's 2021, inevitably:
Production is trapped on the wrong side of the Pacific: the two major production centres are Japan and Chile - so you have the obvious logistics issues for both and potentially politics for the latter.
I think it's worth revisiting Aquis #AQX here in light of a couple of data points that have since come out.
There are three main parts to the co: a stock exchange (AQSE); a tech licencing biz and their multilateral trading facility (AQXE) - it's this last one I want to look at.
First is the RNS from earlier this month announcing their MTF (investopedia.com/terms/m/multil…) had achieved 6.2% market share. Across the €53.6B traded on AQXE in July, this came out to €1.7B a day.
Those 6.2% and €1.7B are quite significant numbers and I'll come back to them later
In the period since the beginning of 2018 market share has risen from 1.72% to that 6.2% above. Here's how that value traded looks.