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Northern Ireland business call for extra time to be ready for the changes coming to trade under the protocol.

I don't see any sign the UK government ministers are aware of the magnitude of changes to trade coming in January - too used to a single market. ft.com/content/aedc4a…
Just 'border checks' tends to understate that goods could easily be stuck and people not have the right approvals to proceed. Just ask countries from outside the single market who send goods to the EU...
Also worth remembering no-deal with the EU would mean no deal also with Turkey, and at best limited deals with Switzerland, Norway and Iceland. That's over 50% of UK trade and over 50% of UK manufacturing exports subject to increased trade barriers.
Simple maths - applying average 5% tariffs to 50% of our goods trade (plus possibly the same again in extra non tariff barriers) is going to have a greater impact than reducing average 3.5% tariffs (plus at best minor non tariff barrier reductions) for 16%. EU v US trade.
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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
My favourite Brexit / trade niche - those in the UK who claim 6 months is easily sufficient to do a significant trade deal notwithstanding no other country having managed this before.

Cos we know better than the US, China, Japan, EU etc... and it isn't just Brexit supporters.
Does it never occur to those saying how easy it is to do a quick trade deal that we might lose out from doing so? That other countries took more time because they were taking more care to get what they needed?

Rhetorical questions. It clearly hasn't.
What could be so difficult about just reducing tariffs? Well, the rules of origin to qualify for the reductions, making sure the proof doesn't cost more than the tariff, making sure our products are actually allowed in without extra costs etc etc.

We might not yet be experts.
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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
As feared.
Frost going for the more positive tone this time.
October 31 the deadline. Bit later than I'd expect. 2 months to ratify and implement seems too sporty. You'd need the deal to come with its own implementation period on that timing.
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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
UK has to move on level playing field issues or no deal possible with EU. Ever. Not the same as accepting EU text word for word, but UK position is unsustainable.

EU position of fisheries is also unsustainable but they've indicated possibility of movement.
Organising concessions in a zero trust environment is a big problem. You might be able to see where they should come, but both sides will fear if they give ground without the other doing so they've lost a round. This takes a lot of time in normal talks.
Interesting that this week the UK government is believed to have agreed to accede to the big US demand in trade talks, accepting their food, despite public promises otherwise, but will not accede to EU demands to accept restrictions on environment or state aid policy.
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