My conclusion is that we should be trying to work together to fight injustice, reduce transmission, and where possible resume some normal activities, including protests.
Any effort to assign numbers to one activity is full of assumptions, including the assumption that R stays constant over time -- something we can change if we choose by making greater efforts to suppress transmission.
I offer the comparison simply to point out the risk of trying to assign responsibility to one decision in the face of all the dependencies -- consequences of infectious disease cases are dependent on the transmission environment, which is in our control.
We can support the protests by reducing transmission to reduce the number of deaths that they (and we in all our other normal activities) cause.
Notably, the crowding, arrests, and tear gas are partly (crowding) or fully (arrests, tear gas) under control of authorities, so blaming the protestors (again, @trvrb didn't but others will) lets the city and state decision makers off the hook.
I just found an arithmetic error above in this string. Apologies. reducing transmission 1% still helps a lot and more than the toll estimated for 1 day of protests, but had missed a decimal place.
The incorrect tweets were deleted and replaced with the corrected calculation
