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Today, as they say, I wrote a thing.

1st, that this article appears in @NRO is not immaterial.
2nd, it argues the current protests are hard evidence of the threat racism exposes.
3rd, that threat is an illiberal state with agents acting w/ impunity.

nationalreview.com/2020/06/americ…
"If we are to capitalize on the present crisis to strengthen America & make the Union a little more perfect, we are duty-bound to grapple w/ the abiding sense of injustice that is felt in black America & fuels civil unrest today, as it has for centuries"
nationalreview.com/2020/06/americ…
"For black Americans in particular, the killings of George Floyd, Ahmaud Arbery, and Breonna Taylor are not aberrations in an otherwise equitable system of justice. Rather, they are wholly consistent with the history of policing and vigilantism."

nationalreview.com/2020/06/americ…
"Racism remains America's Achilles heel because it forces a confrontation with our national identity - and demands that the proper balance of liberty and security be available to all citizens regardless of their race or ethnicity."

nationalreview.com/2020/06/americ…
"The protests spawned by Floyd's killing are an interrogation of this quandary that black Americans have insisted on since the beginning: Will the people reject the illiberal application of state-sanctioned power, esp against those long targeted?"

nationalreview.com/2020/06/americ…
Anyway, hope you'll take some time today to give this a read and discuss with your circle./

nationalreview.com/2020/06/americ…
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Theodore R. Johnson
@DrTedJ
Biden had a good night & black voters in the South helped him to his biggest margins of victory

But if you look closely, you’d see something missing: the mythic “black monolith.” There was an observable regional character in the “black vote” yesterday.

brennancenter.org/our-work/analy…
We saw this coming; it was not a surprise. Biden won 61% of black voters in SC (20 points worse than Obama ’08 & Clinton ’16) and only beat Sanders by 10 points in Nevada, 38-28.
Yesterday, the trend held. Black voters in the South supported him in large numbers.

72% in Alabama. 71% in Virginia. 60% in Texas. 57% in NC. 53% in Tennessee. All less than Clinton ’16 & Obama ’08, who both won upwards of 80/90% of black voters in those states.
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Theodore R. Johnson
@DrTedJ
This is an interesting Buttigieg interview with @MaayanSchechter. You can read & watch it here: thestate.com/news/politics-…

This Buttigieg quote, though, stood out to me because it captures the train of thought I’ve been hearing more and more lately.
@MaayanSchechter Whenever I hear pols/pundits suggest that if their candidate can just win Iowa, black voters in SC will come around – and then cite Obama in 2008 as proof– my eyes roll. Obama ’08 is the exception, not the model.

But Kerry ’04, however, might be a model.
nytimes.com/2004/01/20/us/…
@MaayanSchechter Kerry’s national polling was hovering around 10% in the latter part of the invisible primary – and just 7% the week before the Iowa caucuses.

And then… he wins. And his national polling skyrockets.
Read 10 tweets
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Theodore R. Johnson
@DrTedJ
This is a pretty interesting poll that seeks to take the temperature of black America.

There are a two things, though, I want to draw out – black optimistic/pessimistic outlooks and negative views about Trump.
washingtonpost.com/politics/black…
It shows that 2/3 black Americans are optimistic about their lives, but 2/3 also think it’s a bad time to be black in America

When this is coupled w/ the view that Trump is hurting America/black ppl, 2020 appears ripe for high turnout/Trump defeat

But not so fast, my friend…
If Dems are relying on black anger at/dissatisfaction w/ Trump to increase black turnout, they’ll lose.

A great new book from @Davin_Phoenix finds that anger DOES NOT mobilize black voters in the way that it does white voters (i.e. Trump alone will not drive up black turnout).
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