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Jun 12, 2020 6 tweets 3 min read Read on X
We’ve taken a look back over the last 10 years of voting intention and best PM data for @timesredbox. Here are some of the top tidbits from the last decade #thisisnotnormal

thetimes.co.uk/article/covid-… Image
The Cameron vs Miliband era seems like a beacon of stability compared to what followed.

Best PM rating:
Cameron – highest 41% / lowest 30%
Miliband – highest 28% / lowest 16% Image
However, chaos with E̵d̵ ̵M̵i̵l̵i̵b̵a̵n̵d̵ Theresa May then ensued…

Best PM rating:
May, pre GE2017 – highest 54% / lowest 43%
May, post GE2017 – highest 40% / lowest 23%

Corbyn, pre GE2017 – highest 32% / lowest 13%
Corbyn, post GE2017 – highest 39% / lowest 15% Image
It’s hard to remember that just over a year ago the Brexit Party and the Lib Dems had both led our Westminster voting intention polls, relegating the Tories and Labour into third place #thisisnotnormal Image
About a year ago also saw “don’t know” score its highest ever total in the best PM question – 55%. The candidate of uncertainty has won the contest 114 out of 237 times over the past decade Image
The coronavirus crisis has severely knocked Boris Johnson’s ratings, and Keir Starmer is now fast closing the gap

Best PM rating, 17 Apr/19 May/30 May:
Johnson – 46%, 39%, 37% ↘️↘️↘️
Starmer – 22%, 27%, 32% ↗️↗️↗️ Image

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More from @YouGov

Aug 6
Britons tend to think that Keir Starmer is handling the riots badly

Well: 31%
Badly: 49%

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…
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52% of Britons think the police are handling the recent riots well

While 61-69% of Labour, Conservative and Lib Dem voters agree, this figure falls to 36% of Reform UK voters

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…
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While Britons generally think the police have handled the riots well, they lack confidence in their ability to protect people and property from further unrest

A lot/some confidence: 38%
Not a lot/no confidence: 58%

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…
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Read 9 tweets
Aug 6
How have the public reacted to the recent riots?

Only 7% of Britons support the riots, 8% have sympathy for the views of the rioters, and just 12% think the riots are justified

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…
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Reform UK voters are the most likely to have positive opinions of the riots and rioters, although this is still a minority view among these voters

Support the riots
Reform: 21%
Con: 9%
Lab/LD: 1-3%

Have sympathy for the views of the rioters
Reform: 25%
Con: 8%
Lab/LD: 2-4%

Think the riots are justified
Reform: 33%
Con: 16%
Lab/LD: 2-4%

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…Image
The views of those causing unrest at recent protests do not represent the views of most Britons, say the public

Do not represent the views of most Britons: 76%
Do represent the views of most Britons: 12%

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…
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Read 9 tweets
Jul 17
When asked to rank parties in order of preference, Labour are still Britons’ overall favourite party, but the Lib Dems ultimately have broader popularity – being more people’s second or third favourite party.

Ranked first
Labour 28%
Conservatives 21%
Reform UK 18%
Greens 17%
Lib Dems 13%

Ranked first, second or third
Lib Dems 79%
Labour 70%
Greens 60%
Conservatives 43%
Reform UK 41%

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…Image
Overall, fewer than one in five Britons are consistently right-wing in their party preferences, i.e. rank the Conservatives and Reform UK ahead of every other party, compared to 40% who rank all major progressive parties ahead of them.

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…
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Having asked the public to rank the main parties, how often does a given party get ranked higher than other parties? Labour are always preferred by more people in every combination, while Reform UK are always the less-preferred party in their 'head-to-heads'.

Labour 65% vs Reform UK 35%
Labour 61% vs Conservatives 39%
Labour 58% vs Greens 42%
Labour 52% vs Lib Dems 48%

Lib Dems 65% vs Reform UK 35%
Lib Dems 63% vs Greens 37%
Lib Dems 62% vs Conservatives 38%

Greens 59% vs Reform UK 41%
Greens 57% vs Conservatives 43%

Conservatives 65% vs Reform UK 35%

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…Image
Read 4 tweets
Jul 8
How Britain voted in 2024: our study of 35,000 voters conducted since the election breaks down the election result by age, gender, education, past vote and a host of other factors 👇

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…
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Age continues to be a key factor in how Britons vote, with younger adults mostly backing left wing parties and older adults tending to vote for right wing parties.

How 18-24 year olds voted
Labour: 41%
Green: 18%
Lib Dem: 16%
Reform UK: 9%
Conservative: 8%
Other: 8%

How 70+ year olds voted
Conservative: 46%
Labour: 20%
Reform UK: 15%
Lib Dem: 11%
Green: 3%
Other: 5%

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…Image
Median age for voters of each party
Green voters: 39
Labour voters: 46
Lib Dem voters: 48
Reform UK voters: 56
Conservative voters: 63

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…
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Read 11 tweets
Jul 3
Final YouGov MRP shows Labour on course for historic election victory

Labour: 431 (+229 from GE2019 result)
Con: 102 (-263)
Lib Dem: 72 (+61)
SNP: 18 (-30)
Reform UK: 3 (+3)
Plaid: 3 (-1)
Green: 2 (+1)

Fieldwork: 19 June - 2 July

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…Image
Our final call vote share, based on our MRP, is...

Labour: 39%
Conservative: 22%
Reform UK: 15%
Lib Dem: 12%
Green: 7%
SNP: 3%
Plaid: 1%
Other: 2%

Fieldwork: 19 June - 2 July

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…Image
Our MRP lower and upper seat estimates are as follows:

Labour: 391-466
Conservative: 78-129
Lib Dem: 57-87
SNP: 8-34
Reform UK: 0-14
Plaid: 1-4
Green: 1-4

Fieldwork: 19 June - 2 July

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…Image
Read 4 tweets
Jun 19
Our new MRP has the Conservatives on their lowest seat tally in the party’s almost 200-year history

Labour: 425 (+223)
Conservative: 108 (-257)
Lib Dem: 67 (+56)
SNP: 20 (-28)
Reform UK: 5 (+5)
Plaid: 4 (±0)
Green: 2 (+1)

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…
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Implied vote share from our latest MRP

Labour: 39%
Conservative: 22%
Reform UK: 15%
Lib Dem: 12%
Green: 7%
SNP: 3%
Plaid Cymru: 1%
Other: 2%

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…
Our latest MRP shows Reform UK winning five seats, including a comfortable win for Nigel Farage in Clacton, with a further four seats in which they are within five points of the leading party

Reform UK winning in…
Clacton
Great Yarmouth
Louth and Horncastle
Ashfield
Basildon and Billericay

Reform UK close 2nd in…
Barnsley North
South Holland and The Deepings
Havant
Folkestone and Hythe

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…Image
Read 11 tweets

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