We’ve taken a look back over the last 10 years of voting intention and best PM data for @timesredbox. Here are some of the top tidbits from the last decade #thisisnotnormal
However, chaos with E̵d̵ ̵M̵i̵l̵i̵b̵a̵n̵d̵ Theresa May then ensued…
Best PM rating:
May, pre GE2017 – highest 54% / lowest 43%
May, post GE2017 – highest 40% / lowest 23%
Corbyn, pre GE2017 – highest 32% / lowest 13%
Corbyn, post GE2017 – highest 39% / lowest 15%
It’s hard to remember that just over a year ago the Brexit Party and the Lib Dems had both led our Westminster voting intention polls, relegating the Tories and Labour into third place #thisisnotnormal
About a year ago also saw “don’t know” score its highest ever total in the best PM question – 55%. The candidate of uncertainty has won the contest 114 out of 237 times over the past decade
The coronavirus crisis has severely knocked Boris Johnson’s ratings, and Keir Starmer is now fast closing the gap
Best PM rating, 17 Apr/19 May/30 May:
Johnson – 46%, 39%, 37% ↘️↘️↘️
Starmer – 22%, 27%, 32% ↗️↗️↗️
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🧵/ Where does the British public stand on transgender rights in 2024/5?
The 4th study in our series shows that scepticism has grown across the board over the last two years, including among groups typically more sympathetic to trans people
On transgender social/legal status, % of Britons think...
Social
Should be able to identify as a different gender: 49% (-6 from 2022)
Should not be able to identify as a different gender: 35% (+10)
Legal
Law should allow people to change legal gender: 34% (-6)
Law should not allow people to change legal gender: 48% (+11)
As many Britons now say you should be able to change *neither* your social nor legal gender as say you should be able to change *both*
Should be able to change neither: 33% (+10 from 2022)
Should be able to change both: 32% (-6)
Change social, but not legal: 10% (-1)
Change social, unsure on legal: 7% (+1)
Unsure on both: 11% (-5)
Other combos: 8% (+1)
While Western Europeans are much more likely to want Ukraine to win than Russia, the number who do so AND care a great/fair amount about it has fallen noticeably in some countries since early 2023
With Donald Trump due to become president again in January, Western Europeans typically expect that he will end support to Ukraine – although they are less sure whether he will follow through on threats to withdraw from NATO
Negative attitudes towards Labour have not crystallised just yet. Most Britons (54%) still say they are willing to give the new government the benefit of the doubt
Have high hopes, think they will do well: 19% (-2 from 20 Jun)
Do not have high hopes, but give benefit of doubt: 35% (=)
Do not have high hopes, think they will do badly: 38% (+5)
Nevertheless, many Britons feel let down by Labour. 23% say they expected them to do well in government, but have been disappointed so far
Expected to be bad, and they have: 39%
Expected to be good, but have been disappointed: 23%
Expected to be bad, but have been better than expected: 3%
Expected to be good, and they have: 11%