This likely bottomed in April, based on Fed Treasury custody data which comes out weekly (less complete data set, but much shorter lag).
When swap lines ramped up to provide USD liquidity, the foreign sector stopped selling Treasuries, and has since been buying some.
The Treasury issued like $3 trillion in net Treasuries YTD, with very little purchased by the foreign sector. The majority of the issuance went onto the Fed's balance sheet.
The Fed accumulated more Treasuries in March and April than the foreign sector has in six years.
April data:
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Notably, the long-term debt cycle coincides with the 4th turnings.
I mainly focus on what's happening quantitatively (debt). But keeping in mind the changing social/geopolitical dynamic is a nice accompaniment to that. Old institutions/norms facing entropy, death, rebirth.
🧵
Here's a thread about social media decentralization.
A couple years ago, I tried to "like" one of Doomberg's posts about a platform, and I literally saw the heart fill up, and then drain out of it like blood. I'd never seen that before.
Twitter said me liking that was disabled:
Then, when I tried to search on Twitter for that certain platform that apparently can't be named, the search results would replace it with "newsletter" in my search of the network, which was kind of Orwellian:
Even now, I don't say the obvious visible name of that platform that starts with an S. Since an unconscious algo might derank it.
Maybe that's not an issue anymore. Probably.
The funny thing is that I didn't even post about that platform until I couldn't. Then I did a lot.