Back in December, I predicted that Trump would lose due to the growing exodus of Suburban White Professions from the GOP (“Whexit”), and not due to immigration or “demographics,” which is the fashionable view among paleocons.
By March, I predicted that Trump would, not just lose, but lose in a monumental landslide due to his delusional response to Corona.
Now, it’s pretty much a consensus that Biden will coast to victory while live-streaming incoherent babble from his basement. Biden might not even have to have a pulse to win in November. He could name Gloria Swanson as his VP pick and not miss a beat.
Early on, my outlook was considered contrarian or the result of sour graps; now my predictions seem easy.
The key thing to remember is that the dynamic to all these events is the same.
The key thing to remember is that the dynamic to all these events is the same.
Step 1: Trump blusters on Twitter or at a rally, which *activates his his opposition*, who call him a racist, fascist, or denier of modern medicine.
Step 2: Trump caves to either the reality of the situation (Corona) or the pushback he gets from establishment or media opposition (riots, race and immigration issues, etc.).
The result is that Trump’s opposition remains activated, and his base gets demoralized.
One of the remarkable things about the BLM protests/riots and the LGBT “civil rights” decision is that Trump’s *entire voting population* is angry at him and demoralized.
One of the remarkable things about the BLM protests/riots and the LGBT “civil rights” decision is that Trump’s *entire voting population* is angry at him and demoralized.
It’s largely true that Trump fought conservatives for the first year of his campaign, before becoming one in office. But it’s also true that even the mainstream movement conservatives are demoralized by his presidency—even they want law and order and are devastated by SCOTUS.
When your entire base hates what’s happening—and is searching for someone to scapegoat—a fall from power is close at hand.
This is gonna get rough, folks.
This is gonna get rough, folks.
*Professionals
To respond to many of the comments that amount to “but... but... the Dems are worse...”
I’m not telling you how you personally should vote; I’m telling you what is going to happen.
I’m not telling you how you personally should vote; I’m telling you what is going to happen.
