For everyone making assertions about whether Egypt will intervene more directly in Libya, the truth is of course we don't know. There's no denying that Libya is viewed by Cairo as its largest external security threat and has built up capacity lest it be required to intervene.
Indeed, I suspect planners in Cairo themselves are not yet certain which course of action will be taken. There are clear risks & for now the hope appears to be some bellicosity & flexing may discourage Turks from overstepping but these flexes shouldn't be easily dismissed either
The rules of engagement throughout the region have changed & the massive influx of arms (thx Europe & the US) has fueled expanding ambitions by many states seeking to advance their interests by force. For now, Egypt has limited its own actions on this front to supporting proxies
As has already been noted, over or underestimating one's adversaries can lead to actions that inadvertently spark a serious escalation. Turkey pushing too far and underestimating Egypt & the UAE's resolve risks such an outcome. Just as they apparently underestimated Turkey's
I don't think Egypt wants to deploy beyond its borders but as I've said repeatedly do not assume that not wanting to is the same as not willing to. Best & only solution remains diplomacy. Cairo appears to increasingly accept that after Haftar was battered. I hope all focus there
Rather than mock the Egyptian military's capacity, as some on here have been doing, I suggest focusing on finding paths to deescalation ASAP.
And finally, God help the Libyan people who neither need nor benefit from all this external meddling that has caused them such misery
And finally, God help the Libyan people who neither need nor benefit from all this external meddling that has caused them such misery
