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In NYT story of Trump White House fingerpointing post-Tulsa, this stood out to me nytimes.com/2020/06/21/us/… Image
Denying the risks of coronavirus is CENTRAL to Trump's 2020 campaign effort. The denial is fundamental both to his economic plans *and* to his campaign plans: lots of rallies in exactly the places where new cases are being confirmed fastest.
If Trump core voters do not accept Trump's virus-denialism, that is BIG trouble for Trump. It means they doubt his reopening plans. It means they doubt his promise of a fast economic bounce back.
It means they doubt all his claims to have done a "great job" in the greatest crisis of his presidency.

Most fundamentally, it means that offered in Joe Biden an acceptable alternative to Trump, older, more conservative voters have both a place to go - and a reason to move.
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