By statute, Acting U.S. Attorney/SDNY Audrey Strauss' term will now last 120 days, unless a Presidentially appointed nominee is confirmed by the Senate in the meantime. That takes her into mid-October, effectively until the Election. Not what Barr was trying for, obviously.
However, Strauss can be expected to abide by the generally sensible rule (policy, not law) that no politically sensitive indictments should be issued within a 'quiet period' of 60 days prior to an election. That period starts Sept. 4th.
Therefore, in practice, the period in which any sensitive indictments might be issued by SDNY is from now until Sept. 4th: approximately 12 weeks.
Whether Barr's move against Berman was related to this timeline, i.e., anticipating that indictments might drop in the next 3 months, is unknown. Given the political cost implicit in the move, however, inferences can be drawn. Barr seems to have been 'motivated.'
That said, SDNY will *not* rush out indictments to hit a window. Indictments will be issued when ready. These are complex cases, and SDNY will cross every 't' and dot every 'i.' Whether we're now in an SDNY 'drop zone' for indictments therefore remains almost completely unknown.
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Trump has made several statements, including in the Oval Office on Friday, that the almost 500 Koreans detained were here “illegally.” That is almost certainly going to be proven false. Their lawyer has today issued a statement that “every single one” has a valid visa.
Lawyers will want to look carefully at the judicial warrant for the round up. It wasn’t a ‘normal’ ICE immigration related action. It was a multi-agency (including FBI) action aimed at “illegal employment practices.” Does what happened match what was authorized ?
🧵There is obviously no help coming from any true-to-their-oaths GOP electeds. They’ve all be spayed, and will answer to history. The judiciary can only do so much, and SCOTUS is in the tank. We’ve got 3 1/2 more years of this coming. What will save us ?
Sad to say, I don’t see the current generation of Americans awakening to “the dangers of fascism” or other appeals to their better angels.
The only realistic hope is in broad public rejection of the GOP program. How could that happen ? Only if there is enormous pain. Only if the roof falls in, on the economy, on health care, on peoples’ stipends. Pain like an unanesthetized battlefield amputation.
In the fall out from Munich-in-Anchorage, something’s being missed. The bristling boasts that our military are “war fighters” seems curiously absent when it comes to Ukraine.
Ukraine, where there’s the largest land war on the European continent simce the end of WWII. Where there are actual ‘war fighters’ dealing lethally with the regime that our NATO allies regard as our biggest threat (the regime against which NATO was formed).
Ukraine, where for pennies on the dollar, the U.S. has the chance to radically degrade Russia’s war fighting capabilities for years if not decades.
I feel Maxwell's transfer clearly indicates that a deal has been done: a pardon will be issued but only after the mid-terms. To keep her 'sweet' until then, the transfer was arranged (i.e., they told her she'd have to sit tight, but would ensure her comfort while doing so).
Implications of the above scenario: 1. Maxwell has dirt on Trump but is not (yet) prepared to ‘exonerate’ him (i.e., she won’t play ball with a whitewash unless a pardon is in the bag).
2. Trump judges that the backlash from a pardon now, before mid-terms, is a bigger danger than the shellacking he’s taking from DOJ’s stonewalling on the ‘files.’ He’s prepared to stick with the stonewall. Lesser of two evils.
🧵Interesting convo with an old friend this a.m. Raised in a trailer up a dirt road in rural Missouri. Military officer for 10 years, then successful entrepreneur. Now living a ‘red neck’ life (his description) on a NH mountainside. ‘Libertarian,’ anti-DEI and anti-‘woke.’
Says Dems are “their own worst enemy,” should “stop all this lawfare crap, trying to impeach Trump for made up stuff,” etc. You get the drift.
But guess what ? HE’S VOTING FOR HARRIS ! Why ? “It’s about the Constitution. Trump’s dangerous.” Cited Trump’s praise of Orban at NY Economic Club y’day. Quoted Franklin’s “a Republic, Madam, if you can keep it.”
🧵 The epithet ‘quisling’ is much on my mind. Vidkun Quisling was the Norwegian PM who collaborated with the Nazi invasion of Norway and presided over German occupation of his country. He was executed for treason in Oct. 1945.
It was Churchill, in 1940, who introduced ‘quisling’ to the English language as a synonym for ‘traitor.’
For me, ‘quisling’ connotes something deeper and more prolonged than a one-off traitorous act (like Benedict Arnold delivering the plans of West Point and then defecting to the British). It stands for active, long term collaboration with the enemy.