Thread by @znsuzara

Para sa mga nagtatanong saan daw napunta ang mga inutang ng gobyerno, ito ang mga numero

Galing sa Cash Operations Report ng Bureau of Treasury at NCA Utilization Report ng DBM ang mga ito. Ni-rank na ni Luis Abad from highest to lowest para mas madaling intidihin.

[2] No matter how disappointed we are about how this crisis has been handled, let’s not always jump to the conclusion that the money was pocketed by politicians.

[3] Yes, it’s possible that there’s corruption there somewhere at walang problema sa vigilance pagdating sa kaban ng bayan. But take time to look at the numbers too. Mas mabuting informed ka kung makikialam ka.

[4] Kapag tumingin ka sa mga ganitong numero, malalaman mo hindi lang kung sino-sino ba talaga ang mga dapat siningilin. Makikita mo rin nasaan pa ang posibleng pagkukulang sa paggastos.

[5] Kung gusto mo ng mas marami pang detalye, tingnan mo rin ang COVID19 Budget Tracker nina @KenAbante

[6] Example ng kulang sa paggastos: DOLE

Ang baba ng spending pero sobrang taas ng unemployment. Ang daming uuwi na OFW repatriates na walang trabaho. Ang dami rin sa kanilang nastranded sa ilalim ng NAIAX last time. Lahat iyan kelangan gastusan.

[7] Sapat ba ang 11.1B kung kasama pa dyan ang CAMP at TUPAD at regular operations ng DOLE?? Obvisouly hindi.

[8] A number of people noticed that DND and DILG spending is a lot higher than that of DOH. I’ll tell you why.

It’s partly because DND-AFP and DILG-PNP are Personnel Services-heavy departments. They spend a lot on salaries and pension.

[9] But even if that’s the case, DND and DILG didn’t use to be among the top 5 department with the highest budget.

When did that happen? Based on out analysis, we saw this pattern emerged when Duterte increased the base pay of the police and military back in 2018.

[10] Remember the uproar among public nurses and teachers about the disparity between the base pay of civilian and uniformed personnel of gov’t?

They protested against that, and rightfully so. Duterte’s move distorted the gov’t salary scheme.

[11] A couple of years back we wrote an analytical paper on the 2018 Budget of the Duterte administation. Why begin with with 2018 Budget and not the 2017 Budget, you might ask?

That’s bec the 2018 Budget was the first budget fully crafted by the current admin.

[12] The 2017 Budget was prepared by the previous admin, but it was finalized and enacted during the Duterte admin. So the 2017 Budget, carries with it the priorities of both admins.

[13] The 2018 Budget was the Duterte admin’s first real salvo on his governance and development priorities. Back then, @rupertnotholmes and I along with other colleagues were already convinced that the succeeding budgets of the admin will be structured that way.

[14] The spending levels you see in that matrix is an affirmation of our observation way back 2018.

Should we be surprised at the sorry state of our public health system? No. Bec improving public health was not a top priority vis a vis beefing up the salaries of AFP and PNP.

[15] Should we still be wondering why there’s a shortage of public nurses compared to the police and military? No. Bec apart from the lure of migration, they were not incentivized to join the service in the same way the police and military were incentivized.

[16] Those spending levels should change. Funds should be massively reallocated to favor health, social protection, labor rights.

If you ask me, no extra funding should be given to AFP and PNP. They should contribute their manpower for logistics and such.

[17] And BBB? My god. Let’s face the facts. That program barely contributed to growth. We might as well use BBB funds for test, trace, treat in Cebu this time. Gov’t should replicate the whole response they did in Luzon to control the spread from Cebu to the rest of Visayas.

[18] Y’all know what the consequences will be if they get the funding priorities wrong.

Doesn’t this pandemic clearly show the connection between public budget and governance results?

Sobrang obvious di ba? Ano pang palpak? Check the spending and you’ll know why.

[19] Link to the paper I mentioned is here:

ilead.ph/wp-content/upl…

I hope that after reading it, you come to the conclusion that we need a MAJOR change in governance and budget priorities

[20] Missed out on posting the sources of financing earlier! Here are the figures:

Total Revenues collected from Jan to May:
1.1 Trillion (44% of 2.5 Trillion 2020 program)

Total Net Borrowing from Jan to May:
1.3 Trillion (81% of 1.6 Trillion 2020 program)

[21] Total Expenditures from Jan to May:
1.6 Trillion (40% of 4.1 Trillion 2020 program)

[23] FYI also: LGU shares to national taxes obviously aren’t from loans.

https://twitter.com/talk_sins/status/1275739831054725120?s=21

https://twitter.com/talk_sins/status/1275739831054725120

[24] So in summary, 1.6T ang total na pinagkagastusan ng mga departments kasama ang shares ng LGUs.

Ang source ng pera ay 1.1T revenues + 1.3T borrowings. That’s 2.4T.

Therefore, may balance pa na 800B as of end May sa Treasury.

@threadreaderapp unroll please

Just to add: