The #LabourTogether report contains a clear strategy to win - but the left has to take part and own it, not stand on the sidelines defending a strategy that failed 1/ newstatesman.com/politics/uk/20…
2/ Scotland is the strategic issue for Labour and it has the wrong position - on the second referendum and on independence: but there's a route to a left government as long as the Union lasts... newstatesman.com/politics/uk/20…
3/ The key proposal: we try to unite socially liberal and "authoritarian" voters around a big change economic agenda... but we can't wish away the huge cultural divide, and a different strategy than "it's the same wherever you live"... newstatesman.com/politics/uk/20…
4/ Plus we focus ruthlessly on economic, social and climate justice - and nothing else. We learn to stop treating Labour manifestos as a dartboard for worthy causes. The obsessions of the pro-Putin crowd are designed to lose Labour votes... newstatesman.com/politics/uk/20…
5/ A left government could - a) decarbonise the economy b) break with global finance c) attack inequality d) raise wellbeing across a wide range of indicators e) radically redistribute power. *If the left gets on board with Starmer* newstatesman.com/politics/uk/20…
6/ The British left never understood what's wrong with "economism" - the working class, via the party, has to fight for moral and intellectual leadership of the country. Gramsci's "war of position". We need to start it now... newstatesman.com/politics/uk/20…
7/ So the left faces a choice: sit on the sidelines defending a manifesto and a narrative that were rejected, blaming 80% of the membership and our 10 million voters for "capitulating to the bourgeois PV campaign" (snore) ... newstatesman.com/politics/uk/20…
8/ ...or engage with the Starmer project. That doesn't mean failing to criticise him. It means creating a party that becomes a vehicle for dialogue between progressive and socially conservative sections of the working class... it's the only route to power. newstatesman.com/politics/uk/20…
9/ The common experience - from Leigh to Lambeth - is powerlessness. The commonly accepted solutions, across both sections of the working class, revolve around "family, work, fairness and decency": the left has to address that agenda newstatesman.com/politics/uk/20…
9/ Winning is hard. It involves thinking and rethinking - and you have to be guided by theory and evidence. The Labour Together report, and the Datapraxis work it's based on, are the first real attempt I've seen the party make at doing that. newstatesman.com/politics/uk/20…
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UK bond yield opens at 4.9% There is no “bond market crisis” - however, the high and rising yield on UK debt is the result of a long-term loss of confidence after the Truss fiasco and the poor fundamentals left by the Tories and Brexit 1/…🧵
2/ … what’s happening throws Reeves’ budget into a new light. She rightly did a “belt and braces” on fiscal credibility, raising NI to plug the massive gaps left by Hunt - but the bond markets still do not see a growth story. Why? …
3/ ...because key elements of Labour policy are at the design stage: industrial strategy, green energy, workforce... whilel growth is flatlining… and because we have a doom loop built into our policy architecture…
Every stunt Russia has pulled since the US election feels to me like a pre-programmed sequence: the cable cutting, the MRBM attack; destabilisation of Romania, Moldova and now Transnistria 1/ ... hard to know the purpose without intel...
2/ ... at baseline it creates uncertainty, shakes the tree, shows a range of options for escalation... but I keep coming back to Orban's taunt against Zelensky - "this is the most dangerous point of the conflict" - ie a warning of "escalate to de-escalate"...
3/ That was surely an echo of His Master's Voice... while Western governments are refusing to attribute RU blatant attacks. Why? Could be an agreed strategem; could be fear of domestic destabilisation. Either way, Finland has put a stop to that...
What a day! Assad fled. Saydnaya liberated. Russian power in the Middle East evaporating. Yes there's a vacuum, yes there are competing forces but Syrians now have a chance to shape their own future free of Russian/Iranian imperialism ... and Britain's response matters 1/ 🧵
2/ There is every chance that Syria fragments into three or four chaotic states. That's a function of the "multipolar world" the Putin/Xi acolytes on the far left are so fond of. Multipolarity = chaos is the theme of 2023-4. And Trump saying "stay out of it" is delusional...
3/ The P5 powers could - if Russia/China want to show an ounce of responsibility - work with Turkey, Israel and Lebanon to stabilise the situation. Because if Syria as a state falls apart - its currency, treasury and central bank evaporate - that will be a case study in chaos...
Labour's defence industrial strategy framework is meaty: it learns the lessons from dirigist countries and marks a break from DSIS2021 - some highlights: 1/ The trade unions are at the table - and so are regional employment objectives... unions will be on the sector council ... 🧵
2/ It is frank about what is wrong.
3/ It contains a - ahem - reminder to the fiscal authorities that not spending money on defence is a false economy ...
Jeremy and his merry bunch echoing Putin's talking points - so let's take them one by one: 🧵1/ it is Russia who has escalated. Firing ATACMs and Storm Shadows is both Ukraine's right; both have been used before and changing the targeting is incremental. Yet they make no criticism of Putin firing the IRBM. Why? ...
2/ There is no threat of "all out escalation" between NATO and Russia. NATO is not fighting Russia. Nor did NATO supply the missiles fired at Russia: Britain and USA and France did. This is not a semantic difference. NATO is a defensive alliance ...
3/ " The risk of a nuclear attack cannot be ruled out." Attack by whom? If there's a risk of Russia nuking Ukraine surely JC and the sectarians should protest this. Maybe write to a Russian newspaper? It is Putin's strategy to stoke nuclear fears and they are amplifying that...
Trump's apparent victory has 5 big implications for the UK: 🧵
1️⃣ It can happen here. He will back Farage, the Musk propaganda machine will crank up against Labour; the Tories will remould themselves into Trump-lite Islamophobes ...
2️⃣ The UK needs to become the European leader of NATO, and all European countries need to hike spending on defence and democratic resilience. America is a permanently unreliable ally in this century
3️⃣ Misogyny will enter mainstream politics - and the whole anti-woke cocktail will be normalised by the BBC and alt media - that's proved successful in America. We need to stand up for women's rights across the board