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Virus denial is a series of defensive positions:
Cases are falling.
OK, they're rising, but it's only bc we're testing more
OK, it's not just testing, but hey, deaths are falling.

But we look terrible even using just mortality comparisons 1/
Also, Covid-19 does terrible things even when it doesn't kill. And deaths are a lagging indicator; Arizona, which led the current surge, is staring to see rising mortality 2/

Maybe other states can avoid this fate. But not a safe bet 3/
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