Short thread.
There are, I think, three ways Trump could win.
In order of likelihood:
1. Trump uses the powers of the the executive branch in unprecedented ways (Nixon or Ukraine on steroids), combined with his demagoguery and GOP voter suppression, to win an unfair election.
There are, I think, three ways Trump could win.
In order of likelihood:
1. Trump uses the powers of the the executive branch in unprecedented ways (Nixon or Ukraine on steroids), combined with his demagoguery and GOP voter suppression, to win an unfair election.
2. In a somewhat close election, with some uncertainty on Election Night, Trump over the next weeks uses the powers of the executive branch, combined with demagoguery, Fox and Facebook, and compliant GOP governors, state legislators and members of Congress, to steal the election.
3. Trump actually persuades a plurality of voters in states adding up to 270 electoral college votes to vote for him.
4. Lots of us are working full time to stop #3 from happening. And if the "natural" margins against Trump are large and obvious enough, the dangers of scenarios #1 and #2 are much diminished. But it's worth planning for what can be done to check those scenarios as well.
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