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There is NO amount of preparation that can make China beat India IF we have the political will. Laws of warfare and laws of physics simply do not allow it. We have 225,000 troops dedicated against China in mountains. They will need to bring 3-5 times the numbers

1/n
to cause us any trouble whatsoever. Even those won't be enough because how will you get them in ? Mountains have high defiles, narrow passes and very limited places for inducting large bodies of troops + mech forces. And we can dominate these. We already have 2 + amd bde

2/n
in Eastern Ladakh. Air power they can barely commit 160/170 a/c against us in Ladakh. In the Eastern Sector they can commit more but ranges are too long. Navy we have the advantage as everyone knows. They have 70 submarines but about only 20 odd SSN capable of ops in IOR

3/n
They have to come through narrow straits which we can dominate by observation using SOSUS and our P8Is. Nuc subs are noisier than diesel electrics and will be detected. We can then prosecute them with P8Is, ASW Corvettes etc. Their surface fleet will not venture into IOR

4/n
If they do then how will they sustain operations so far away from their bases ? Humbatota is not complete yet. And with what task and objective ? IN will be in home waters, extremely well trained, exercised, networked and ready for ops. IAF can also support in home waters

5/n
IN on other hand can choke their SLOC at the 4 straits and also target Dibjouti

There is NO way they can win IF and thats always the case IF military is allowed to execute full unrestricted operations. If you start imposing constraints our mil action (army, IAF, IN) then

6/n
advantage moves to them. And that is exactly what they are trying to achieve - to scare us politically, diplomatically into playing game by their rules
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