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Mihir Profile picture
@elmihiro
Jul 4, 2020 • 5 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
Ashok Swine, Vidya Krishnan, and gang must be furiously analyzing this video frame-by-frame to determine how exactly it was “faked”.
Krivak: Solid, reliable platform.
Tunguska: Mediocre. Only a handful bought.
T-90S: Underwhelming. And the Russians went back on important ToT commitments.
Tu-22M3: Expensive, single-purpose platform. There’s a good reason it wasn’t bought. P-8I > Tu-22M3.
Modi and his government did a bunch of things that don’t look sexy on paper, but are worth far more than some gee-whiz weaponry. Border infra development, shoring up of war wastage reserves, improving aircraft uptimes by procuring soared and streamlining further purchases...
In 2014, the serviceability of the Su-30MKI fleet stood at 48%.
business-standard.com/article/econom…
By early 2017, it had been raised to 60%. That’s the rough equivalent of two more squadrons available for duty.
indianexpress.com/article/india/…

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More from @elmihiro

Mihir Profile picture
Jun 4
Short thread of 🇮🇳-🇵🇰 claims and counterclaims so far, ranked by credibility 🧵
Credible claims:
- 🇮🇳 executed strikes on terrorist infra in several locations in Pak.
- 🇮🇳 managed to destroy vital infra at nearly all PAF bases. These strikes were mostly symbolic.
- 🇵🇰 shot down at least two manned Indian aircraft.
Semi-credible claims:
- 🇮🇳 destroyed AWACS/fighters inside a hangar.
- 🇮🇳 targeted and damaged Pakistan nuke storage/command sites.
- 🇵🇰 shot down three or more manned Indian aircraft.
Read 6 tweets
Mihir Profile picture
Mar 11
Thread of Modi memes on the IAF’s 60-squadron dream for 2047. 🧵👇
IAF submitting report of the Empowered Committee for Capability Enhancement of the lndian Air Force to Modi-ji.
Indian mil-twitter after hearing the news.
Read 17 tweets
Mihir Profile picture
Dec 20, 2024
Thread on "Human Error" or "Pilot Error". These are widely misunderstood terms, and that lack of understanding is being used to float unhinged conspiracy theories. 🧵
People often see "human error" as an indictment of the pilot, an accusation that he or she made a mistake that could have been avoided. That is not so. It’s more about the limits of human interaction with fast-moving machines in high-pressure situations.
The human body has a natural sense of balance which ensures that people doing everyday activities don’t fall over. That sense hasn’t evolved to deal with high-speed flight in difficult conditions (say dense fog that blanks out all visual references).
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sense_of_…
Read 13 tweets
Mihir Profile picture
Jul 8, 2024
My #OSINT analysis of images from the Modi-Putin summit suggest that the India-Russia is at a nadir. #thread 🧵 [1/n]
Patio furniture procured from Home Depot demonstrates how dependent the two countries are on the US for critical needs despite their professed independence. Image
Putin has his hands clasped tightly, while Modi's has cupped his palms together, demonstrating Russia's unwillingness/inability to provide what India wants despite Indian requests.
Image
Image
Read 9 tweets
Mihir Profile picture
Apr 7, 2022
This is an interesting thread in that it illustrates how the Russian ground forces are set up very differently from US forces.
In short, the Russians treat indirect fires as the primary element, with maneuver forces only helping artillery get into position and seizing an objective after it has been devastated.
So the artillery footprint is very large, and the firepower is incredible, although imprecise.
Read 10 tweets
Mihir Profile picture
Feb 28, 2022
Quick thread: Some I lessons learned, not from the Ukraine invasion in particular, but in following domestic/international crises and conflicts over the last few years, and from life in general. Nearly all arise out of my own failures/missteps/botch-ups.
1. Things aren't always what they seem at the start. Finding accurate information in a sea of propaganda is close to impossible. Wait for a situation to develop; don't celebrate/surrender prematurely.
2. Most real-time commentary (a.k.a OSINT) is garbage. The worst is often peddled by anonymous handles.
Read 9 tweets

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