Thread by @Hold2LLC

US Update: 7/4/2020

Graph 1: Daily Deaths Overlaid with Current Hospitalizations

- Deaths technically decreased slightly week-over-week, but I'd call it flat
- Sizable dump by NJ (57 - 24 above 7-day avg)
- NJ/PA Deaths > AZ
- Hosps went up. Matches value from 5/27

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Graph 2: Current ICU Census vs. Deaths (7-Day Avg) vs. Daily Detected Cases

***Switching this graph to track ICUs instead of Hosps. Hosps shown in Graph 1

- 7-Day Death Avg down 30 W-o-W
- ICUs down a little
- Great to see continual divergence of Deaths/ICUs from Cases

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Graph 3: Daily Tests and Detected Cases Overlaid with Case Positivity

***Case Pos% continues disconnecting from death trends. Case detection is losing value

- Cases and Tests up sizably from yesterday; highest point
- 1-day Case Positivity slightly down to 8.0%; Avg up to 7.5%

Graph 4: Coronavirus - Census for Hospitalizations vs. ICUs vs. Ventilators

***Need to closely watch ICUs/Vents relative to Hosps. Many hosps can be coded as C19 without CLI

- Hosps 🔼 Matches 5/27
- ICUs small 🔽 Matches 6/17
- Vents 🔽 Basically low point

Keep watching.

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