Thread by @Dry_Observer

From a speech allegedly by then Defense Minister of China, Chi Haotian, about eliminating the populations of America, Australia and/or Canada with biowarfare.

“Would the United States allow us to go out to gain new living space?"
@ericgarland @joshrogin
mackenzieinstitute.com/2005/10/china-…

“First, if the United States is firm in blocking us, it is hard for us to do anything significant to Taiwan and some other countries! Second, even if we could snatch some land from Taiwan, Vietnam, India, or even Japan, how much more living space can we get? Very trivial!"

"Only countries like the United States, Canada and Australia have the vast land to serve our need for mass colonization.

“There has been rapid development of modern biological technology, and new bio weapons have been invented one after another."

"Of course, we have not been idle; in the past years we have seized the opportunity to master weapons of this kind. We are capable of achieving our purpose of “cleaning up” America all of a sudden."
cc: @911CORLEBRA777 @NatashaBertrand @TheRickWilson

"When Comrade Xiaping was still with us, the Party Central Committee had the perspicacity to make the right decision not to develop aircraft carrier groups and focus instead on developing lethal weapons that can eliminate mass populations of the enemy country."

"<China> has reached the limit of its capacity. One day, who knows how soon it will come the great collapse will occur any time and more than half of the population will have to go,

“We must prepare ourselves for two scenarios."

"If our biological weapons succeed in the surprise attack [on, presumably, the United States but bioweapons would not be any great respecter of our common border – ed], the Chinese people will be able to keep their losses at a minimum in the fight against the United States."

"If, however, the attack fails and triggers a nuclear retaliation from the United States, China would perhaps suffer a catastrophe in which more than half of its population would perish. That is why we need to be ready with air defence systems for our big and medium-sized cities.

The above may illuminate why China has invested so heavily in biotechnology with military applications, whatever their present strategy.

Underestimating the United States in this domain may go very poorly, however.

Here's a 2011 reference to those speeches first appearing on Chinese language sites in 2005.

Whatever the provenance of the alleged speech, it's worth asking if the strategy was real and if anyone supports it today.

Or is working to implement it.
indiandefencereview.com/spotlights/is-…

I believe I first saw this referenced in Foreign Affairs, but it's been 15 years and I just don't recall.

But... does China have a plan for expansion via biowarfare?

Given their considerable investments, it seems worth asking.

cc: @FBI @NSAGov @DHSgov @CyberGovAU @csiscanada

A problem with biowarfare is that incompetence could prove more deadly than a workable plan.

Perhaps if we're not capable of containing viruses or responding effectively to pandemics, we shouldn't be harvesting or engineering biological weapons of mass destruction?

As an aside, you might be wondering about the workability of such a strategy.

And you should be.

But, as with so many emergent technologies deployed in the last 20 years...

Imagine first that you have no concern about lives lost.

And second, being buffered from consequences.

If you wanted to inflict mass disruption or mass death upon an adversary with plausible deniability, what better excuse than to turn it loose in your own country first.

Having a treatment or vaccine would help, but that would either tip off your adversaries or blunt the impact.

So you would want to limit their distribution, even if you had any.

And really, imagine further that you were deeply stupid.

And hence believed you could control a virus within your own borders while wreaking havoc elsewhere.

The above isn't necessarily what happened, even if it was the actual plan.

Fundamental incompetence and ineptitude seem to be hallmarks of everyone deploying emergent technologies as weapons against civilian populations, of late.

But it is a possibility, and one worth considering.

Especially if inflicting harm upon their own population were seen - falsely - as a method of forcing unification and strict obedience as a means of control.

Particularly in the face of, say, imminent economic catastrophe.

"Do you know how to unite people behind you, Child Carridin? The quickest way? No? Loose a lion - a rabid lion - in the streets. And when panic grips the people, when it has turned their bowels to water, calmly tell them you will deal with it. Then you kill it, and order them..."

"...to hang the carcass up where everyone can see. Before they have time to think, you give another order, and it will be obeyed. And if you continue to give orders, they will continue to obey, for you will be the one who saved them, and who better to lead?"
--The Dragon Reborn

What we perceive as a fundamental weakness is - from a completely different moral perspective - an advantage.

Of course, it's also deeply stupid.

But is that really a surprise?

One further point:

If anyone in China's leadership considers losing anything like half their population, we can not make conventional assumptions about what they would consider acceptable losses in such an operation.

“The population, even if more than half dies, can be reproduced. But if the Party falls, everything is gone, and forever gone!”

Again, this is a quote from that alleged speech.

But to what degree does it represent a prevailing view in Beijing?
indiandefencereview.com/spotlights/is-…

Over half a billion people is more than the entire population of the United States, the third most populous nation on Earth.

Easy assumptions about what Beijing sees as "acceptable losses" when the regime's survival is perceived to be at stake may prove deceptive.

And if it seems unfathomable the regime could enact a policy inflicting so much needless death upon their populace...

Consider this hypothesis a Great Leap Forward in our thinking. A kind of Cultural Revolution in our perspective.

There’s no need for recriminations now.

Only a recollection of our past.

And more importantly, theirs.

By the by, if anyone were planning such an assault, perhaps firing the entire pandemic-response chain of command in the United States in 2018 wasn't helpful.

Or insisting the pandemic was no worse than the flu.

Or that it was a hoax.

Or wearing a mask wasn't helpful.

Or perhaps it was, depending on your goals.

Well, speaking of elaborate planning, perhaps Britain's pandemic task force being suspended just before COVID-19 also deserves... recognition.

But above all, let's take a moment to honor the 2019 Russian movie Abigail about brave citizens defying a fake quarantine?

"You must know, there is no epidemic. No infection. All this is just a cover for the authorities..."

If you're a foreign power dreaming of inflicting mass death upon America...

Much less destroying or depopulating it...

You should know there is more than one way to trace these operations.

And really, how many forensic trails were you leaving before this even began?

Now bubonic plague just happens to surface in China.

If you were already prepared to sacrifice as much as half of your population to retain power, the plausible deniability of having pandemics emerge in your territory - known for its susceptibility...

https://twitter.com/BBCWorld/status/1280418380613378048

Might provide plausible deniability.

Or you might assume so.

At least until you faced greater scrutiny and more advanced technology sifting the facts from disinformation.

One strategy?

To let two or three deadly pandemics to rage unchecked, followed by further, deadlier "mutations."

And then finally inundate your targets - effectively, the entire world - with a wave of contagious, untreatable diseases.

Of course, that only "works" if you labor under the incredible delusion you could do engage in these atrocities without inevitable, overwhelming retaliation.

So, "uniquely adapted to infect humans"? Could have only come from an animal "through a freak of nature"?

How curious so many experts declared an engineered virus "impossible," given it emerged next to a biowarfare facility which said it did just that.
dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8…

Much like all the experts who assured us masks were useless... and simultaneously direly needed by hospitals, and also sought assiduously by the government of China.

Disinformation at the start of this pandemic was deadly enough.

Intentional disinformation, moreso.

Intentional disinformation as a part of a deliberate act of biological warfare?

Something you will want no part of, as this whole thing unfolds.

And yes, there's more than one way to unearth the truth.

"Ebright, professor of chemical biology at Rutgers University, in New Jersey, said scientists at the Wuhan Institute of Virology were creating chimeric coronaviruses (new hybrid micro-organisms)..."

"...and seeking funding to test their ability to infect human cells while using procedures that leave no sign of human manipulation."

How curious.

What possible reason could they have for developing such viruses?

Other than for plausible deniability in biological warfare?

Anything else?

Anything at all?