1/ Gaming out SCOTUS' decisions tomorrow (Mazars/Vance)
If the court denies Congress/NY State the ability to get DJT's tax returns, it will show it's a failed institution & the rationale to pack the court will be compelling
Also, Dems can still win the WH/Senate w/o the info
If the court denies Congress/NY State the ability to get DJT's tax returns, it will show it's a failed institution & the rationale to pack the court will be compelling
Also, Dems can still win the WH/Senate w/o the info
2/ Note, any sort of wimpy kicking the can to after Nov., or narrow absolution (like Bush/Gore or Trump v Hawaii, oyez.org/cases/2017/17-…) will show SCOTUS as broken
The case is so clear that it's disturbing it has taken this long to resolve it (I have little hope in Roberts)
The case is so clear that it's disturbing it has taken this long to resolve it (I have little hope in Roberts)
3/ If SCOTUS allows us the tax returns then things get interesting for 3 major players: (1) low info voters (2) Senate GOP (3) MSM
The taxes will show his wealth is a sham. His 'rich' persona was actually the only rationale for his candidacy, w/o it his legitamacy will burst
The taxes will show his wealth is a sham. His 'rich' persona was actually the only rationale for his candidacy, w/o it his legitamacy will burst
4/ eg. Biden leads Trump (ym'sh) in every category except the economy. It's ridiculous, esp. since the good econ in 17-19 was inherited from Obama/BIDEN. But DJT is presumed to be a brilliant self-made mogul, synonymous w/obscene wealth (see comic strips & lyrics of 80s-90s rap!)
5/ I propose that DJT leads on 'economy' based on his rich persona. Again, it was the only rationale for his candidacy. Burst that myth & he will lose half of his support
Why half? B/c his current supporters are split in 2 groups, those who know who he is & those who don't
Why half? B/c his current supporters are split in 2 groups, those who know who he is & those who don't
6/ In reality, DJT is a vile bigot. That's what half of his followers, the rock solid, never-waver, do-or-die support. There's no magic revelation to burst their bubble b/c they know for real that he's their man: a toxic white supremacist rapist. They are irredeemable.
7/ Other half of his support are from low-info voters, Fox viewers etc, who actually DON'T know Trump is a vile traitorous sleazebag con-man. So when that bubble is burst, their disillusionment will be huge
He's presumed to be competent b/c of his money, w/o that, they may riot
He's presumed to be competent b/c of his money, w/o that, they may riot
8/ If that group rejects Trump, there's nothing keeping the majority of the GOP in his camp, they'll run from him. And that will lead to his downfall. He's only allowed to cause mass death, impoverishment, treason/treachery b/c the GOP needs the now angry voters. So GOP can bolt
9/ Last group are the MSM. They follow the weather vane of public opinion. If Trump (ym'sh) is exposed, the voters' disillusionment will be click-bait & they will (possibly!) report on him accurately.
I do worry what DJT will do to avoid the embarrassment of his taxes
I do worry what DJT will do to avoid the embarrassment of his taxes
10/ Best case is he'll resign after making a deal to seal them. Worst case is too frightening to mention. Which is why I'm expecting SCOTUS hide his taxes. 4 of 5 have shown their perfidy & Roberts may not want to have the GOP shun him from their clubs b/c he ended a GOP POTUS
11/ It's possible that SCOTUS will bar Vance & allow Mazars but then Barr will do something insane & redact them, making Congress go through the whole thing again. Win-Win for the GOP, Lose for Democracy
/end for now
/end for now
