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1/9 Weekly epi roundup: US lagging in control, surging in cases. Only the Northeast is at all reassuring, and those gains are at risk. Reopening schools is getting much harder. Drawing from @CDCgov Covid-View and
2/9 Test positivity reported up: 9.2%; South-Central at 17%! Look carefully at trends from commercial labs. The first decrease in positivity among young adults in 2 months...and now increasing in older adults. What started in young adults, didn’t stay in young adults.
3/10 Every state should report testing rates by race/ethnicity, and tests that take more than 48 hours to come back are of little value. We should see by state and race/ethnicity, the rates of tests that return results within 48 hours.
4/10 Influenza-like and covid-like illness visits to emergency departments are rising in 7 of 10 US regions.
5/10 Native Americans, African Americans, Latinx and others continue to be disproportionately affected: more exposed, more underlying, undertreated illness, and less access to care. Community engagement, empowerment, and leadership are crucial for progress.
6/10 Covidview deaths are below the epidemic threshold, but how long will that last? Overall US deaths are now rising.
7/10 Deaths are beginning to rise in the South/Southwest/West now offsetting the decline in New England, Mid-Atlantic midwest. And this is before young adults spread to lots of older and vulnerable people. Next 1-2 months will be worse.
8/10 States with the highest burden are least able to test and trace right now.
9/10 Covid19 will get worse before it gets better. Where Covid is spreading, close restaurants & bars, stop gatherings of more than a few people, follow the #3Ws: wear a mask correctly, wash your hands, watch your distance. And box the virus in: test, isolate, trace, quarantine.
10/10 Unless this happens, there’s little hope of safely opening schools and keeping them open, no matter what anyone says.
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