New poll of TEXAS from UT Tyler/ Dallas Morning News:
TRUMP 43
BIDEN 48
Dem Senate Primary
Hegar 35
West 22
Undecided 32
(June 29-July 7, 1,677 LVs, bilingual mixed mode, MoE 3.4%)
Largest Texas Biden lead I’ve seen so far.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20200712…
TRUMP 43
BIDEN 48
Dem Senate Primary
Hegar 35
West 22
Undecided 32
(June 29-July 7, 1,677 LVs, bilingual mixed mode, MoE 3.4%)
Largest Texas Biden lead I’ve seen so far.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20200712…
In the Senate, Cornyn leads Hegar by 13, 42-29, and West by 15, 43-28. But it's not all rosy for him.
He's not overperforming Trump at all; they're both at 43. If Biden is really winning Texas, Cornyn will need to overperform Trump to pull this one out.
He's not overperforming Trump at all; they're both at 43. If Biden is really winning Texas, Cornyn will need to overperform Trump to pull this one out.
Meanwhile, Hegar and West's numbers suffer from lack of Dem consolidation. They get just 62% and 55% of Democratic support, respectively. Expect that number to rise significantly after the primary is over. Hegar also ties Cornyn support among independents, a good sign for her.
What we've seen in other polls is that both Dem candidates are unknown quantities. A recent PPP/EMILY's List poll found just 34% of voters had an opinion of Hegar. So she's got room to grow; with Biden at 48, that's a lot of room.
Plus, generic state house ballot is Dem 52-47.
Plus, generic state house ballot is Dem 52-47.
