Need FAST turn around of tests - same day - so you can isolate & not infect others. More than 2 days, as is sadly too common is just Kabuki theatre. With that delay, a country is just collecting statistics & not actually BREAKING transmission-chains medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
US is moving towards Kabuki Theatre testing. Turn-around time has slowed to 4-8 days. Politicians tout test #, but
“if you don’t get results back in a day or so, outbreaks really can’t be stopped w/out isolating & quarantining all contacts preemptively” theatlantic.com/science/archiv…
Kabuki Theatre testing (i.e slow turn-around ) makes contact-tracing to stop new infections infeasible. It turns all of us into Person C instead of Person B. In #viraltime, we don't make the time, the virus makes the time and it ticks ferociously fast. thelancet.com/journals/langl…
If it takes 7 DAYS to get test results back, then testing isn't actually stopping person-to-person infections, its just counting how many matches got burnt. ht @juan_delcan
Fauci on Tests:
"Enough of this nonsense of..waiting 5 days to get it back. We've really got to have something where you go in, you get it, bingo"
US invests half a billion$ to develop Public NIH rapid test program to fix Quest/LabCorp market failure medscape.com/viewarticle/93…
We are so early in the Pandemic & can do much better -- millions of tests in each country each week. Excited for faster, cheaper, less invasive, at home tests beyond PCR. Coming sooner than you think & for other diseases besides corona... nature.com/articles/d4158…
"You have to have the reimbursement system pay a little bit extra for 24 hrs, pay the normal fee for 48 hrs, and pay nothing [if it isn’t done by then]. And they will fix it overnight”
This virus' sneakily spreads before ppl show symptoms. To stop it, need action in #viraltime, find ppl when they are *infectious*, not 5-10 days later. At-home antigen tests are ready to go. But they have been sitting on the shelf, unused, for months. Why? vox.com/2020/8/27/2137…
Imp piece ht @apoorva_nyc@michaelmina_lab
PCR has been too slow. Its detecting people *after* they are contagious
We hv frequent, cheap tests to tell ppl WHEN they are contagious & stop infecting others. Time to use them & act not count cases #viraltime
Finally! $5 antigen test (lateral flow assay like a pregnancy test) approved by FDA; Results in 15mins
Fast, easy tests tell ppl WHEN they are contagious. Imagine how quickly epidemic slows if 150 million ppl get tests at home weekly & +ve's stay there statnews.com/2020/09/23/fas…
Tests by themselves do nothing. UK conducts amongst the most tests per capita, yet hardly 1 in 5 ppl isolate after +ve result. They only work IF ppl are supported by financial & psychological help. Or when ppl in crowded homes are provided hotel rooms. theguardian.com/world/2020/sep…
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2/ Ecology: With super hot oceans, we are very worried about this Atlantic hurricane season. THIRTY storms are predicted plus minus 5, depending on el nino
3/London, Zurich, Bermuda are home of reinsurance.
Insurance model rely on risks being 1 Uncorrelated 2 Calculable 3 Paid for by mkt returns elsewhere
But #globalwarming upends Insurance
It correlates risks (global!); creates catastrophic fat-tails; and crimps returns everywhere.
what reading one book by Brett Christophers does to a mf
‘while it is possible to prevent businesses from doing profitable things, it is impossible to make them do things they consider insufficiently profitable’. Why do all this 'market failure' nonsense ft.com/content/b2b6fb…
Brett Chrisopher's work on Rentier Capitalism has been eyeopening. Asset Managers like Blackrock now run the roads we drive on; the pipes that supply our drinking water; the farmland that provides our food; electricity & heat. Nice profile
Under capitalism, profit expectations drive companies’ invstmt decisions. Building solar/wind & selling the electricity they generate, however, generally is not a very profitable business What sort of returns do investors earn, asks Brett Christophers time.com/6958606/climat…
Yes, BJP still sets the terms in the Indian parliament. But it will not have the decisive electoral majority of 2019-2024 lok sabha where it ran bills with zero opposition or consultation. After this election it will have to respect India’s opposition and democracy
India's stock market slides. Their logic?
BJP not winning in a landslide -> forced to have a NDA coalition government that will inevitably have to be more pro-welfare
--> hence the BJP cannot do nakedly pro-rich liberal reforms --> Oops, sell sell sell
Adani's reversal tells you everything.
"In 9yrs of Modi’s tenure, Adani’s wealth grew from $8bn to $137bn. In 2022 alone, he made $72bn, which is more than the combined earnings of the world’s next 9 billionaires" ht @AnnPettifor
1/ "What's happening in Guyana isn't just happening there. All over the globe, oil companies are racing to tap as many of the remaining fossil fuel reserves as they can"
@jeffgoodell :
2/ This is not a a story of Guyana’s PM lecturing western liberals over hypocrisy climate, oil & Amazonian forests.
But a geopolitical story of developing country elites working with western firms (Exxon) to sell to western markets (oil goes to europe) phenomenalworld.org/analysis/offsh…
3/ "Guyana is now producing nearly as much oil as Venezuela -1 of the largest oil exporters since the 1920s & founder of OPEC
This amazing article on Exxon shows that the logic of imperial exploitation of natural resources is alive & kicking"-@GaraviniG phenomenalworld.org/analysis/offsh…
White House request to Congress for $106 billion in emergency funding for foreign aid.
A budget tells you more than words about actual priorities. Full breakdown in this PDF incl military aid to Ukraine, Israel, intl development (World bank) etc Thread whitehouse.gov/wp-content/upl…
2/ UKRAINE: US so far has sent more than $75 billion to Ukraine. Of new $106B, Biden asks $61B for Ukraine.
~$50B military aid, loans for military gear, DOD stocks of weapons etc (Pg 4-27_
~$11.75B economic (pg 42)
3/Reminder why Biden's request for emergency funding looks the way it does-$106B for ukraine,israel,border, humanitarian. US congressional politics when governed by Dem president+Dem senate+Republican house makes funding requests look like a dogs breakfast