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Albert Pinto Profile picture
@70sBachchan
Jul 13, 2020 • 11 tweets • 7 min read • Read on X
Need FAST turn around of tests - same day - so you can isolate & not infect others. More than 2 days, as is sadly too common is just Kabuki theatre. With that delay, a country is just collecting statistics & not actually BREAKING transmission-chains
medrxiv.org/content/10.110… Image
US is moving towards Kabuki Theatre testing. Turn-around time has slowed to 4-8 days. Politicians tout test #, but
“if you don’t get results back in a day or so, outbreaks really can’t be stopped w/out isolating & quarantining all contacts preemptively”
theatlantic.com/science/archiv…
Kabuki Theatre testing (i.e slow turn-around ) makes contact-tracing to stop new infections infeasible. It turns all of us into Person C instead of Person B. In #viraltime, we don't make the time, the virus makes the time and it ticks ferociously fast.
thelancet.com/journals/langl… Image
If it takes 7 DAYS to get test results back, then testing isn't actually stopping person-to-person infections, its just counting how many matches got burnt. ht
@juan_delcan
Fauci on Tests:
"Enough of this nonsense of..waiting 5 days to get it back. We've really got to have something where you go in, you get it, bingo"

US invests half a billion$ to develop Public NIH rapid test program to fix Quest/LabCorp market failure
medscape.com/viewarticle/93… Image
We are so early in the Pandemic & can do much better -- millions of tests in each country each week. Excited for faster, cheaper, less invasive, at home tests beyond PCR. Coming sooner than you think & for other diseases besides corona... nature.com/articles/d4158…
"You have to have the reimbursement system pay a little bit extra for 24 hrs, pay the normal fee for 48 hrs, and pay nothing [if it isn’t done by then]. And they will fix it overnight”

Right solution for slow turnaround of commercial tests #viraltime
wired.com/story/bill-gat…
This virus' sneakily spreads before ppl show symptoms. To stop it, need action in #viraltime, find ppl when they are *infectious*, not 5-10 days later. At-home antigen tests are ready to go. But they have been sitting on the shelf, unused, for months. Why? vox.com/2020/8/27/2137…
Imp piece ht @apoorva_nyc @michaelmina_lab
PCR has been too slow. Its detecting people *after* they are contagious
We hv frequent, cheap tests to tell ppl WHEN they are contagious & stop infecting others. Time to use them & act not count cases #viraltime
Finally! $5 antigen test (lateral flow assay like a pregnancy test) approved by FDA; Results in 15mins

Fast, easy tests tell ppl WHEN they are contagious. Imagine how quickly epidemic slows if 150 million ppl get tests at home weekly & +ve's stay there statnews.com/2020/09/23/fas… Image
Tests by themselves do nothing. UK conducts amongst the most tests per capita, yet hardly 1 in 5 ppl isolate after +ve result. They only work IF ppl are supported by financial & psychological help. Or when ppl in crowded homes are provided hotel rooms. theguardian.com/world/2020/sep…

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More from @70sBachchan

Albert Pinto Profile picture
Jan 12
"The Financial Times has misled its readers by not clearly stating that its promotion of trade blocs and revision of other key principles means in reality the abandonment of neoliberal globalization as a project"

This shd be published in FT @BrankoMilan
braveneweurope.com/branko-milanov…
Its genesis was Martin Wolf leaving a tart comment on Milanovic's blogpost:

Wolf misread @BrankoMilan argument which was not a peaen to Trump ending global neoliberalism but that he ia tool of History. Well worth reading:

branko2f7.substack.com/p/to-the-finla…Image
Martin Wolf: "It is conflicts over power that most threaten globalisation. By seeking to enhance their security, great powers make their rivals more insecure, creating a vicious downward spiral of distrust. We are already a long way down this spiral" ft.com/content/8954a5…Image
Image
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Read 5 tweets
Albert Pinto Profile picture
Jan 8
1/ I'm not sure that ppl outside of California have grasped the magnitude of this deadly and still-escalating wildfire catastrophe. Fires in WUIs, fanned by 80 mph+ winds, bone dry stubble, after 2 yrs of growth in wet winters. Tens of thousands of people are being evacuated. Image
2/"The Getty Villa Museum has caught fire as the Palisades Fire pushes forward in Southern California, according to reporting from the LA Times. The museum’s collection contains more than 125,000 artifacts, many of them Greek and Roman antiquities"
latimes.com/california/sto…
3/ "A second fast-moving wildfire is burning out of control in the Los Angeles area hours after another blaze tore through the city’s Pacific Palisades neighborhood, destroying many homes and prompting evacuation orders for tens of thousands."
sfchronicle.com/california-wil…Image
Read 11 tweets
Albert Pinto Profile picture
Aug 14, 2024
“The market will solve climate”

The market:
“The market will solve climate”

The market: Electricity hungry BigTech created a credits "system is akin to buying the right from a fitter colleague to say you have cycled to work, even though you arrived by a car that runs on petrol." @CamillaHodgson
ft.com/content/2d6fc3…

Image
Image
“The market will solve climate”

The market: Oil Pipelines are ESG and low carbon! This giant tub of ice-cream won't make you fat because the tub is made of zero-calorie material & by athletes.
Read 9 tweets
Albert Pinto Profile picture
Aug 2, 2024
Netanyahu assassinates Haniyeh in Tehran & Hezbollah’s Shukr in Beirut. We are on cusp of regional war in Middle East. Forces are being deployed, Defences readied, Redlines of targets communicated.

Thread to track ‘response function’ of each adversary
nbcnews.com/news/world/hez…
Image
2/ In Israel's corner are US, UK, Egypt, Saudis, Jordan &Abraham Accord (informal milvalliance) with oil Kingdoms - UAE, Bahrain.

They have communicated to Israel that they will defend Israel if it is attacked by Iran axis but will not participate in a war initiated by Israel Image
3/ "US is expecting the anticipated Iranian attack may be similar to the barrage of ballistic missiles & drones launched against Israel on April 13...But this attack could be larger...including the possibility of a coordinated attack with Iranian proxies from multiple directions" Image
Read 22 tweets
Albert Pinto Profile picture
Jul 26, 2024
Unbelievable vibe shift in the US with Kamala Harris
Image
The vibe shift, on the ground, in swing state Wisconsin

" Kamala Harris electrified the crowd in her first campaign rally as presumptive Democratic nominee. "I haven’t felt anything like this in many, many years,possibly since President Obama’s first run"
therecombobulationarea.news/p/in-west-alli…
Image
For 2yrs, gap between sentiment & economics widen. Did Kamala end vibecession? @kylascan
"There's layers to the cake:
How people expect things to be (expectations)
How things are supposed to be (theory)
How things are (reality)"

kyla.substack.com/p/the-vibecess…
Read 6 tweets
Albert Pinto Profile picture
Jul 12, 2024
Latest @polycrisis dispatch is out. @kmac & I show just how deep the finance-ecology-geopolitics rabbit hole Hurricane Beryl goes. Sign up here:

buttondown.email/polycrisisdisp…
2/ Ecology: With super hot oceans, we are very worried about this Atlantic hurricane season. THIRTY storms are predicted plus minus 5, depending on el nino

Finance: Worry that coming devastation will shake insurance industry to the core just as 2004-5 did
phenomenalworld.org/analysis/globa…
Image
3/London, Zurich, Bermuda are home of reinsurance.
Insurance model rely on risks being 1 Uncorrelated 2 Calculable 3 Paid for by mkt returns elsewhere
But #globalwarming upends Insurance
It correlates risks (global!); creates catastrophic fat-tails; and crimps returns everywhere. Image
Read 4 tweets

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