My Authors
Read all threads
TGIF, finally time to debunk: No, the survival rate of COVID-19 isn't 99.96% according to the most recent evidence! The survival rate in % is 100 minus infection fatality rate. The infection fatality rate (IFR) isn't 0.04% for the general population, it's rather 10 times as high.
The @CDCgov looks at some scenarios and says their Current Best Estimate for the IFR is 0.0065 - which is 0.65%. This puts the survival rate at 99.35%. The number of deaths would be more than 16 times as high as if the survival rate were 99.96%. cdc.gov/coronavirus/20…
A shortcoming of reporting a single IFR for the total population is that in case of COVID-19, the IFR differs a lot by age. In Geneva (CH), it's estimated to be <0.01%...for people below age 50! For people age 65+, the credible interval is 4.3% to 7.4%. thelancet.com/pdfs/journals/…
So while the survival rate is indeed very high for the younger strata of the population, saying it's 99.96% without qualifying the age is clearly wrong. Always check your sources or at least have some, @benshapiro @glennbeck.
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh.

Keep Current with Andreas Backhaus

Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

Twitter may remove this content at anytime, convert it as a PDF, save and print for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video

1) Follow Thread Reader App on Twitter so you can easily mention us!

2) Go to a Twitter thread (series of Tweets by the same owner) and mention us with a keyword "unroll" @threadreaderapp unroll

You can practice here first or read more on our help page!

Follow Us on Twitter!

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3.00/month or $30.00/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!