This last week, going out on a limb with Starliner reports, has been stressful AF. I have good sources, but when there's no official confirmation, you *really* want to be right about things. And I try very hard to do so. Anyway, I want to share a bit of what it's like to report uncomfortable truths in the space community.
There is a private Discord filled SLS stans who are 'haters.' These are not regular haters, but super haters. Every time I reported SLS delays they would lose their minds. I was wrong. Making shit up. What they don't realize is that I've had access to the Discord for years.
In any case, here are some screenshots when I reported, two days ago, that NASA was delaying Crew-9 to September 24, and that this was due in part to a need to update Staliner's software to allow this. hi @spaceguy5 and @SWGlassPit and others I know in the group. Love you too.
This week I published a story that looks ahead at what I think are five of the biggest stories in spaceflight for the rest of the 2020s. (link below). In this thread I provide a brief look at each of them.
1. Commercial space stations. If the 2010s were about finding a way for NASA astronauts to reach the ISS, this decade will be about finding a future destination in LEO. NASA wants to lease time, but will any private stations be ready to go when NASA is ready to buy in 2030?
2. Success (or not) of Artemis. Artemis is the most challenging project NASA has attempted since the Apollo Program. This is a huge financial, management, and technical undertaking. NASA is also racing against China. Will it succeed or stumble in the face of these challenges?
NASA and SpaceX have signed a space act agreement for a commercial mission to boost the Hubble Space Telescope. This will extend the lifetime of the telescope, and preclude emerging concerns about the need for costly end-of-life disposal.
NASA will study the potential for commercial servicing of the mission over the next six months. Goal is to see what is feasible. One potential outcome is that @rookisaacman's Polaris Program would undertake this reboosting as part of its private spaceflight program.
If you want to know what the potential of the commercial space industry could become: here it is. NASA funding helped enable development of Falcon 9 and Crew Dragon. Now a private citizen may use these tools to further observational astronomy, if it can be safely done.
NASA's Jim Free thanks NOAA and forecasters at Space Launch Delta-45 for their help forecasting Hurricane Ian's track and impacts. "We took every one of our decisions very seriously," he says of Artemis I and weather.
Free says there were two "good weather" windows to roll the SLS rocket back: Early Monday morning and Late Monday night. Free: "We waited about as long as we could and still had a window to get the vehicle back, and safe."
Free doesn't say it, but it sounds like October is definitely out for an Artemis I launch attempt: "I don’t want to say it’s off the table, but I also recognize it’s September 27th. Getting back out there might be a challenge."