June)
Commercial lab Antibody tests suggest similar Estimates
However these figures are very less than Estimates in Western Countries . A recent meta-analysis suggest a median IFR of 0.6%. CDC at start of June has revised its estimate multiple times [0.26% to 0.6%. ]
IFR is not a fixed figure. Fatality changes with our Non-pharmaceutical (mask, lockdown)and pharmaceutical interventions(drug,vaccine) ,ethnicity. Thus it is a moving Estimate.
A) The disease is just like Flu ,so why bother
B) Massive number of deaths are being undercounted (Almost 6 fold) since Real IFR is 6 times higher.
I disagree with both charges and will explain why..
medium.com/@gidmk/covid-1…
While I estimate almost 50% of higher deaths than reported, I don't think that we are missing 6 fold death numbers. For following reasons
(Only about 3% of our population is above 70 years of age. Remember low IFR in less than 70 in serosurvey in Western countries)
I calculated age distribution of Delhi from Census 2011 figures from here. When you plug in with these Estimates from CDC, USA.
The age-adjusted IFR comes to be 0.12%.
When you do calculate ,Age adjusted IFR for Delhi from Spain Serosurvey Estimates.
IFR ~0.16%.
(16 death out of 10000)
pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32679085/