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https://twitter.com/YYfirework/status/1289117797881004035

https://twitter.com/Jay38477134/status/1289292126547656705?s=19

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https://twitter.com/Jay38477134/status/1289308729393831936?s=19

https://twitter.com/AsiaTodayOnCGTN/status/1291023499239108610?s=19

https://twitter.com/IndoPac_Info/status/1298085132373331968?s=19

https://twitter.com/NavinaHeyden/status/1303288543779999746?s=19

More from @PandemicTruther

America-China Watcher

@PandemicTruther

Jun 11

https://twitter.com/StealthQE4/status/1932767575559057495

America's rare earth impasse:
Why America’s rare earth dream keeps collapsing—and why real independence is near impossible. 🧶

Whole Chicken vs Claw Only theory ⬇️

https://twitter.com/StealthQE4/status/1932767575559057495

Post 1/10
The U.S. rare earth problem isn’t just mining. It’s digestion. Rare earth ore is like a whole chicken: the US only wants the 0.01% “claws” (rare earths), but the other 99.99%—iron, thorium, etc.—is valuable byproduct the US can’t use.
#RareEarths #SupplyChain

Post 2/10
China can. They can eat the whole chicken.
The 0.01% rare earths go into tech.
The 99.99% byproduct is purchased by steel, nuclear, chemical sectors.
This makes rare earths cheap—because the rest turns profit.
#MadeInChina #IndustrialStrategy

Read 11 tweets

America-China Watcher

@PandemicTruther

Jun 10

https://twitter.com/clashreport/status/1931120967675179217

China's sixth generation stealth fighter J-36 isn’t just a new jet. It’s a geopolitical earthquake.

China isn’t trying to fight the U.S. directly. It’s building weapons the U.S. can’t match—and letting the global order shift on its own. 🧵

https://twitter.com/clashreport/status/1931120967675179217

1.
U.S. global power has always rested on one thing: air dominance.
From Iraq to Yugoslavia, America didn’t win wars by outnumbering enemies — it won by owning the sky.

2.
Enter the J-36.
China’s 6th-gen warplane isn’t just a jet — it’s a flying command center.
It’s designed not to dogfight, but to destroy the entire U.S. model of air warfare.

Read 17 tweets

America-China Watcher

@PandemicTruther

Jun 4

On the so-called #TiananmenMassacre - a must read

June 4th: Memory, Manipulation, and Misunderstanding

Every year on June 4th, Western media ritually recycles the phrase “Tiananmen Square Massacre” — a phrase loaded with assumptions, distortions, and outright misinformation. But how many of us have actually stopped to ask: What really happened that night? [4]

Let’s begin with the most basic fact: there was no massacre in Tiananmen Square itself.[6]

That’s not a claim — it’s documented. Even James R. Lilley, the U.S. Ambassador to China at the time (and later confirmed in Ambassador James Lilley’s internal cables), reported that the students had vacated the square peacefully by dawn. One of the last people to leave the square was Liu Xiaobo, the infamous Nobel Prized Chinese dissident who openly stated that he and others were prepared to die — but they were allowed to leave unharmed. No one has produced a single verifiable photo or video showing a massacre on the square itself. [7] [9]

By the way, credit where it's due: Liu Xiaobo's sincerity was never in question. He was no opportunist. He genuinely believed that Western colonization would benefit China, and he was willing to sacrifice himself for that ideal. His wish came true — he went to prison, and his health deteriorated behind bars. Meanwhile, the opportunistic student leaders of 1989 took a different path: many ended up at Ivy League schools, with some eventually working on Wall Street — one even for Warren Buffett. For saying exactly what the West wanted to hear, Liu was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize — a prize that, more often than not, goes to those whose actions …ensure the world spirals into chaos rather than peace.

So where did the violence happen? In the western outskirts of Beijing, in areas like Muxidi and Liubukou. Violent confrontations erupted between armed protesters and PLA soldiers. Buses were burned, soldiers were lynched and some were set on fire. Reports from both Chinese and Western sources estimate the total number of deaths between 200 and 300, including soldiers killed by the mob. These were real tragedies — but far from the deliberate, one-sided “massacre” myth spread by Western headlines. [12]

Even now, the Chinese government doesn’t glorify its handling of the event. It quietly refers to it as the “June Fourth Political Incident” (六四政治风波）— not to suppress memory, but to avoid the kind of ideological hysteria that continues to define the Western narrative around 1989. [14]

Yes, the student protests began with legitimate grievances: inflation, corruption, lack of political transparency. But what began as genuine dissent was quickly hijacked — by western media theatrics, by foreign agent saboteurs, and by opportunists who wanted chaos. One of the most prominent student leaders, Chai Ling (柴玲), stated in an interview that only through bloodshed could China truly change. That is not the voice of peaceful protest — that is the logic of regime change. [16]

With the benefit of hindsight, the Chinese state’s response was measured, if not restrained, and fully proportionate and justified. It avoided civil war. It prevented a Yugoslavia-style disintegration. And unlike the countries devastated by color revolutions, China moved forward — not backward.

Today’s China, for all its flaws, has lifted hundreds of millions out of poverty, built world-class infrastructure, and remains politically stable in a chaotic world. That didn’t happen in spite of June 4th — but arguably, because the chaos was contained.

History will judge. But history must be based on facts, not mythology. (Continued)

June 4th: Between Reform and Collapse — Understanding the Context of 1989

To truly understand the events of June 4th, 1989, one must go beyond the square and examine the deeper economic, social, and international context. The student movement did not erupt in a vacuum. It emerged at a pivotal moment, as China stood at a crossroads: between socialism and market reform, between national survival and potential disintegration.

The original motivation behind the student protests was not to overthrow the state — it was to protest against corruption and inflation, two consequences of China’s early market reforms. Much like the gilets jaunes in France decades later, Chinese students and citizens were reacting to the unbearable cost of living (la vie chère) and a sense that the fruits of reform were being captured by a small, privileged elite.

What many forget is that China in 1989 was in the midst of an unprecedented economic experiment. Unlike the Soviet Union, which embraced abrupt “shock therapy” — a full-speed transition to neoliberal capitalism — China chose a gradual, pragmatic approach. The dual-track pricing system was the centerpiece of this policy.

Under this system, state-owned enterprises (SOEs) and citizens received price-controlled quotas for essential goods and services. Anything beyond that quota had to be purchased at market price. This created a parallel economy: one part socialist, one part capitalist. But it also opened the door to corruption. Officials with privileged access to controlled-price goods began reselling them at market rates, profiting off the gap. This “gray market” economy created deep social resentment and a widening wealth gap.

The students were not wrong to protest against corruption. But neither was the state wrong to recognize the extreme fragility of the transition.

In the background loomed the shadow of the Soviet Union — which by 1989 was already spiraling toward collapse. Gorbachev’s reforms had failed to stabilize the economy. The sudden opening of the Russian market led to the destruction of savings, the disintegration of pensions, and the loss of employment for millions. The ruble became worthless. Oligarchs, often with Western backing, seized state assets at bargain prices. Wall Street firms bought up massive swathes of Russia’s industrial base — according to some accounts, for less than $100 million total, thanks to the ruble’s collapse.

And what was the social result? A 10-year drop in life expectancy. Child prostitution in major cities. Public sector workers unpaid for months. Entire regions left without functioning institutions. Russia’s “transition” was not a success — it was a social catastrophe, and one from which the country still bears scars.

Had the Chinese government in 1989 followed the Western script — dismantling the Party, privatizing state assets overnight, and “democratizing” in the abstract — China might well have met the same fate. The unity of the country could have fractured. Tens of millions could have been plunged into destitution. Instead, the government chose stability over chaos. Reform continued, but on China’s own terms.

June 4th in Western Media: A Ritual of Loss and Projection

Every year, on June 4th, the Western press engages in what can only be described as a ritualized mourning — not for victims, but for a failed regime change operation. The so-called “Tiananmen Square Massacre” has become a mythologized symbol of “freedom crushed,” when in fact, it marks the collapse of a color revolution attempt that failed to break China.

Let’s be clear: there was no massacre in Tiananmen Square. But there was a geopolitical failure — a missed opportunity, in the eyes of the West. Imagine if the student leaders had succeeded in toppling the Communist Party of China in 1989. The consequences would have been catastrophic for the nation: (continued)

Tibet would have declared independence, backed by the West.

Xinjiang would have followed, with separatist groups emboldened.

Hong Kong would have moved toward independence, unencumbered by 1997 negotiations.

Taiwan would have accelerated toward formal secession.

Civil war, regional fragmentation, and even foreign military interventions would not have been unthinkable.

China would have faced not liberal democracy, but Yugoslav-style disintegration.

Instead, what emerged from that pivotal moment was a renewed sense of sovereignty, clarity, and political control. Credit must be given to the leadership at the time — Deng Xiaoping and his cohort of seasoned revolutionaries — who, far from being dogmatic authoritarians, were astute realists. They recognized the stakes. They understood that what was unfolding was not merely a protest, but the opening act of a play written abroad.

The tragedy of the Soviet Union served as a warning. The USSR, seduced by the ideals of openness and “universal values,” had flooded the West with its best youth — thousands of young Soviet scholars were sent to American and European universities. They returned disillusioned, having absorbed Western ideology wholesale, and began to see their own society as irredeemably backward.

Gorbachev, rather than defending his country’s integrity, opened the gates to economic pillage and ideological colonization. The “shock therapy” — hailed as liberal reform — destroyed the ruble, the pension system, and millions of lives. The Party collapsed. The country collapsed. Foreign investors feasted on Russia’s carcass.

The tragedy of Russia’s collapse was not merely economic — it was ideological, and in many ways, deeply personal for those involved. One of the architects of the so-called “shock therapy,” American economist Jeffrey Sachs, had once believed he could help Russia modernize peacefully, as he had done in Bolivia and Poland. In Poland, Sachs’s reforms were accompanied by nearly $3 billion in U.S. aid — a lifeline that helped cushion the transition. But in Russia, no such support came. The promises made to Gorbachev were never honored. Instead, the U.S. government, Wall Street firms, and Western advisors facilitated a wholesale looting of the Russian economy. Sachs, once a believer in Western goodwill, became one of its most vocal critics. In later years, he admitted his own naivety — confessing that he didn’t yet understand the workings of the U.S. deep state. His conscience, it seems, has never recovered. He now speaks out regularly against Western imperialism, neoliberal overreach, and the very policies he once helped design. Sachs’s transformation mirrors that of many disillusioned reformers who came to see the West’s “help” for what it was: not a rescue mission, but an economic colonization.

Today, Jeffrey Sachs looks like a man struggling to believe in himself. For a scholar, few fates are more tragic than watching one's grand theory lead not to progress, but to the misery of millions. In contrast, Chinese scholar Zhang Weiwei (张维为)—professor at Fudan University, my alma mater—radiates a quiet self-satisfaction. And rightly so. As one of the young intellectual architects behind China’s dual-pricing system and gradualist approach to reform, he advocated for a pragmatic, step-by-step transition from a planned to a market economy. Decades later, the results speak for themselves: China, the great vessel, stayed afloat and charted a course toward prosperity, while the Soviet Union shattered against the rocks. It is not triumphalist to say that Zhang stood on the right side of history—it is simply true. Meanwhile, when I look at Bernard-Henri Lévy, the French intellectual long hailed in Western liberal circles as a philosopher and humanist, I see instead an ill intentioned man who has provided intellectual endorsement for nearly every war and bombing campaign waged by the United States and NATO—from the Balkans to Libya, from Iraq to Syria.(Continued)

Read 7 tweets

America-China Watcher

@PandemicTruther

Jun 2

Western civilization hasn't been a good force for China. It knocked open China's door by two opium wars.

The opium trade imposed on China by the British Empire in the 19th century had catastrophic consequences for the Chinese people. Following two aggressive military interventions—the First Opium War (1839–1842) and the Second Opium War (1856–1860)—Britain forcibly opened China's markets to foreign goods, including Indian-grown opium, and compelled the Qing government to legalize a trade it had desperately tried to suppress.

The impact on China was devastating. By the late 19th century, up to one-tenth of China’s population was addicted to opium, with addiction rampant across all social classes. This mass dependency sapped the strength of the population, corroded families and communities, and led to widespread social and economic decay. The Qing state, already struggling with internal rebellions and administrative corruption, was further weakened by the loss of silver reserves and a growing foreign presence.

For the British Empire, however, the opium trade was extremely lucrative. At its height, it accounted for between one-sixth to one-third of imperial revenue, serving as a cornerstone of Britain's colonial economy. The trade was orchestrated primarily through the British East India Company, which produced opium in India and sold it in China in exchange for silver and goods like tea and porcelain.

The United States also benefited indirectly from the opium trade. Prominent trading families—such as the Forbes and Delano clans—amassed vast fortunes through opium smuggling into China, a trade that brought immense suffering to the Chinese people. These profits were funneled into American banks, railroads, and manufacturing, playing a key role in early U.S. industrialization. Many East Coast fortunes later romanticized by writers like Edith Wharton had roots in this illicit commerce, and institutions such as the Ivy League were created and funded, in part, by opium-derived wealth—an often-overlooked legacy of America's rise.

In short, the opium trade represents a profound injustice in modern history: a forced, predatory commerce that enriched imperial powers while inflicting addiction, humiliation, and long-lasting damage on China.

The opium trade not only enriched British and American elites—it also created colossal fortunes for powerful merchant families like the Sassoons, a Jewish family originally from Baghdad. Fleeing persecution in the Ottoman Empire, David Sassoon settled in Bombay (now Mumbai) in the early 19th century and soon became one of the most influential figures in the opium trade between British India and Qing China. Leveraging his connections with the British East India Company and support from the British colonial authorities, Sassoon built a commercial empire by exporting Indian opium to China through coastal hubs like Shanghai, Canton (Guangzhou), and Hong Kong.

The Sassoons established “Sassoon Sons & Co.”, which dominated the opium supply chain. Their operations included opium processing in India, maritime transport, distribution through networks of Chinese intermediaries, and direct sale in treaty ports forcibly opened by British gunboat diplomacy. By the mid-19th century, the family was referred to as the "Rothschilds of the East" due to the staggering scale of their wealth and influence.

Their fortune—estimated in today’s terms to be in the tens of billions of dollars—was intricately linked with the British establishment. The Sassoons were knighted by the British Crown, and married into aristocratic/royal and banking families in Britain. Their descendants sat in Parliament, became British peers, and helped shape imperial policy in Asia. The Sassoons also played a pivotal role in the founding of HSBC (The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation) in 1865. HSBC was established explicitly to manage the large volumes of trade—legal and illicit—flowing between Britain, India, and China. Initially, much of this commerce revolved around the opium trade, and the Sassoons’ capital and trade networks were integral to HSBC’s early success.

HSBC would go on to become one of the largest financial institutions in the world, but its origins were rooted in the drug Tmtrade that devastated China. The opium imported by British and allied merchant families like the Sassoons left a legacy of addiction, social collapse, and economic subjugation. By the late 19th century, as much as one-tenth of the Chinese population was addicted to opium, crippling productivity, draining national silver reserves, and weakening the Qing dynasty in the face of foreign incursions and internal rebellions.

In sum, the Sassoon family's rise from persecuted refugees to global financiers was made possible by their central role in one of history’s most exploitative trades. The wealth they helped generate powered banks like HSBC, supported the British Empire, and helped build elite institutions in the West—at the direct expense of China’s sovereignty, health, and social cohesion.

The Western civilization hasn't been a force for good for native Americans

The Annihilation That Wasn’t “Mysterious”: The Erasure of the Native American Male Lineage

When European settlers first arrived on the American continent, it is estimated that over five million Indigenous people lived across what is now the United States. These were highly diverse nations—each with distinct languages, cultures, and social structures. And yet, within just a few centuries, 95% of this population had been eliminated. Official histories often describe this as a "disappearance"—as if it were a natural, inexplicable process. With regard to Aztec and Maya civilizations, we hear vague phrases like “the Aztecs mysteriously vanished,” or “Native populations declined due to disease.” But these narratives are misleading euphemisms for a much more brutal reality: the deliberate, state-supported annihilation of an entire people.

Systematic Elimination: Not Disease Alone

It is true that European diseases such as smallpox, typhus, and measles devastated Native communities who had no prior exposure or immunity. However, this tragedy was not merely an unfortunate byproduct of contact—it was often weaponized. Historical records confirm the intentional distribution of virus-contaminated blankets to Native tribes, an early and cruel form of biological warfare. Yet even this level of cruelty, as shocking as it is, pales in comparison to the systematic, militarized elimination of Indigenous male populations that unfolded across centuries.

A Gendered Genocide

Recent genetic studies reveal a chilling pattern. Among many Native American communities today, matrilineal DNA (inherited from mothers) continues to show Indigenous ancestry. But patrilineal DNA (inherited from fathers) often shows little to no trace of Native male lineage. What this suggests is not a passive demographic collapse—but an active, targeted extermination of Native men. This was not incidental. It was strategy.

During the U.S. government’s westward expansion in the 19th century—under policies like Manifest Destiny—militias and settlers were incentivized to kill Indigenous people. In many areas, bounties were paid for Native scalps or heads. A man’s head was worth more than a child’s; women were often spared—not out of mercy, but because they could be forcibly absorbed into settler society as laborers, domestic servants, or sexual partners. Over time, this created a genocidal pattern of killing the men and assimilating the women, leading to a kind of demographic and cultural erasure masked as "disappearance."

A Sanitized History of Conquest

The conventional portrayal of Native Americans as a "vanished race" is not simply inaccurate—it is a political myth designed to conceal a genocide. Words like “decline,” “collapse,” or “disappearance” conveniently omit the role of settler violence, forced removals, starvation campaigns, sterilizations, and systematic executions. The popular mythology that Indigenous peoples simply "couldn't survive contact with civilization" is one of the most enduring lies in Western historical narratives.

This erasure has also been gendered in nature. The absence of Native male DNA in many lineages today reflects a policy of biological conquest—whereby Indigenous women were exploited to produce a population no longer “Native.” It was a conquest not just of land, but of bloodlines.

Remembering Truth, Not Myth

To speak of the annihilation of Native America only in terms of disease or disappearance is to erase the intent behind the devastation. It is to ignore the laws, the bounties, the policies, and the silences that permitted genocide in the open. The United States was not merely built on “stolen land”—it was built on the systematic elimination of the people who lived there, especially its men.

It's time start naming what truly happened to Native Americans: annihilation, conquest, and selective survival imposed by force.

Read 7 tweets

America-China Watcher

@PandemicTruther

May 30

A thread:

How France's Rafale was downed
- not in a dogfight, but by an invisible digital kill chain. It wasn’t the missile or the jet that mattered most. It was China’s networked warfare. Here’s how the ambush unfolded:

1/
System A: A Chinese over-the-horizon radar picks up the Rafale’s takeoff from an Indian airbase. Within seconds, its location, altitude, and vector are calculated and shared.

2/
System B: A KJ-500 AWACS, stationed 500km away, receives the data. Its AESA radar quietly tracks the Rafale. The Rafale's sensors sense the AWACS—but it's far out of missile range.

Read 22 tweets

America-China Watcher

@PandemicTruther

Aug 11, 2024

Stigmatized for decades. Who framed the 23 Chinese swimmers who tested positive in January 2021?

Chen Wei Hua warned in his recent post that an informed source told him that the US was trying to plant evidence and frame Chinese athletes in an inextricable doping scandal during the Paris Olympics. I think they have been at it for quite a while. Sun Yang was framed in 2018, sentenced to an 8-year ban (later reduced to 4 years) for "violent resistance to drug testing."

Given the all-out concerted offensive against Chinese top swimmers involving the NYT/Western MSM, USADA, US Congress, Phelps, Western athletes and coaches, FBI, it's not inconceivable that the US orchestrated the "doping scandal".

Since 1999, China's Central Sports Bureau has published laws of zero tolerance for doping. In 2000, the Chinese government spent millions of USD to have all athletes tested for doping before the Sydney Olympics, and China voluntarily banned athletes who tested positive from the Sydney Olympics and all competitions for life.

The message from the Chinese government was very clear to the athletes. China's self-imposed anti-doping punishment is the lifetime exclusion of the athlete from all competitions. The Chinese government's slogan was "Better to kill a thousand wrongly than to let one go (idiom)" (宁可错杀一千，也绝不放个一个), meaning that it is better to err on the side of caution than to let one go unpunished.

The Chinese government wants a clean record.

Any athlete caught doping will not only end his sports career in disgrace, but will also face social death for tarnishing the reputation of Chinese athletes.

In 2021, China's anti-doping law was further strengthened to include criminal punishment. Those found guilty could face up to three years in prison.

Chinese athletes are urged to win medals for the glory of China. Doping, once discovered, destroys China's reputation. China and the Chinese people, as a face-loving country and people, with a strong sense of honor, don't play with doping. This is something that the U.S. and the West don't understand. They shamelessly play around the anti-doping rules with the so-called therapeutic use exemption and exploit all kinds of loopholes to get away with doping.

With the voluntary cooperation of China and especially CHINADA, Chinese athletes are subjected to the most frequent draconian tests and have reported the least positive results, as shown in the statistics of WADA. In 2022, nearly 20,000 tests were conducted on Chinese athletes and only 38 results were positive and most of them are NO FAUT cases.

Moreover, China has hardly any athletes who receive exemptions from WADA to be able to dope legally on therapeutic grounds.

We can say that since 2000, doping has become extremely rare from China's sports landscape. The reward is not worth the risk. China wants to become a sports superpower, but a clean one, not tainted by doping scandals.

How do you implicate China in doping scandals when China is squeaky clean? No problem, nobody knows how to do it better than Uncle Sam.

Let's come back to the incident of the 23 swimmers who mysteriously tested positive under impossible circumstances (not exactly positive results, but rather alternating between negative and positive).

Remember, this happened in January 2021. Several years ago.

Between December 2020 and January 2021, in the city of Shijiazhuang, China held national warm-up swimming competitions in preparation for the Tokyo Olympics, to take place in July-August 2021. The competition was a selection process and also served the purpose of providing the Chinese Swimming Management with an authentic, objective assessment of the athletes' performance capabilities, their weaknesses, their room for improvement, their strengths to be enhanced and leveraged etc. Objective feedback is crucial for the management to adjust their training strategy. So the swimming management had no motive to dope the athletes. The order can't come from the above, especially given the zero tolerance policy towards doping in China.

A total of 39 athletes participated in this competition. CHINADA drug tested all 39 swimmers and all athletes were fully aware that they would be tested daily from day one. The results of one day's testing were surprising: 23 of the 39 athletes tested positive for trimetazidine. The common denominator among those 23 athletes? They were all staying at the same hotel, and they all took their meals provided by the hotel kitchen.

Trimetazidine is a prescription medication for heart disease. It is one of the most popular stimulants because it helps athletes build strength and endurance. It also has the advantage of being broken down and excreted from the human body quickly and undetectably. Needless to say, this substance is banned by the World Anti-Doping Agency (WADA).

The police immediately got involved and investigated. Based on the investigation report, the Chinese sports authorities stated that traces of trimetazidine had been found in the kitchen of the hotel where the athletes were staying. The food had been contaminated and the athletes had unknowingly ingested traces of the banned substance. FINA (Fédération Internationale de Natation) and WADA accepted this conclusion after conducting their own thorough investigation.

In accordance with WADA rules, it was agreed that this incident would not be made public and WADA confirmed that the incident would not affect the team's participation in the Tokyo 2021 Olympic Games. The world's most authoritative anti-doping organization gave its approval, and you would think that would be the end of the matter.

But the USA didn't want to let the incident go. Especially after the Chinese swimmers won three gold medals at the Tokyo Olympics.

There's a general Anglo-Saxon/Western frenzy and panic over the alarming winning momentum of the Chinese swimming team in what has been a white, especially Anglo-Saxon, monopolized field. China's swimming team won 12 medals at the Tokyo Olympics and 10 at the Paris Olympics, including one by Pan Zhanle, who broke the world record in the men's 100-meter freestyle. China did this without doping, to the disbelief of the world.

If they let China's winning streak develop, in a few years swimming will become the new ping pong, a sport where China has dominated and monopolized all the gold medals for decades since the 1980s.

The U.S. government has apparently drawn up a plan of action, deploying an all-out offensive to nip the trend in the bud in order to prevent the swimming competition from becoming the new ping-pong for China. It was a highly coordinated all-out campaign involving law, government, media, USADA, FBI, CIA assets network in China. It's equivalent to a 360 degree no dead corner military on slaught from the air, the sea, the land code named "Project XXX".(I leave it to your imagination to come up with the code name in the comments).

On December 4, 2020, just a few weeks before the incident, US President Donald Trump signed into law the Rodchenkov Anti-Doping Act. This law gives the United States global jurisdiction to prosecute any athlete anywhere in the world who participated in the same competitions as US athletes. It was the timely new US long-arm jurisdiction anti-doping law targeting Chinese athletes, and swimming athletes in particular.

Although the incident was supposed to be kept confidential, the FBI claimed to have received a report from a whistleblower (CIA asset?) and a US orchestrated smear campaign went into full swing.

Let's examine the incident. The biggest mystery in the whole incident is how trimethoprim, a heart drug, got into the kitchen. Who had the motive to bring the drug into the kitchen and contaminate the food supply chain? Or perhaps the food supply was already contaminated before it arrived at the hotel?

Let's assume that, despite China's draconian anti-doping laws, the swim team's management still wants to defy the law. But they don't have a motive. They can be ruled out because the Shijiazhuang meet is a domestic competition for selection and evaluation purposes. If collective doping is used in this last domestic competition, it will be impossible to evaluate the true swimming level of each athlete, which is contrary to the purpose of the warm-up competition. It would be impossible to select the best swimmers according to their demonstrated level of performance.

As far-fetched and unlikely as it is, let's say they wanted to test the effects of the drug with a view to using it in the Olympics.

However, even if the swimming administration wanted to conduct this experiment, it could not do so. The experiment had to go through the organizer, the Swimming Federation. However, even though the Swimming Federation has the ability to organize such a test, and suppose the Swimming Federation wanted to do it, crazy as it is, there is no need to choose the big, highly publicized warm-up competition in Shijiazhuang to do it. Because the Federation is fully aware that the drug tests and results must be reported to WADA. The Swimming Federation will not do such a thing to ask for trouble and self-condemn itself.

If you really want to test the effect of drugs, you can do it secretly during everyday training. There is no need to subject China's top 23 swimmers, who are likely to participate in the Tokyo Olympics, to a large-scale test, putting them at risk of testing positive and being banned from the Tokyo Olympics. The Chinese authorities wouldn't officially organize such a scandal that could stigmatize Chinese athletes for a hundred years.

Let's examine another scant possibility, that the athletes, knowing the risks involved, still took personal initiatives to ingest the stimulants in order to win and be selected for the Olympics.

The athletes and their teams are indeed driven by the desire to win and thus qualify for the Olympics. But the illogical thing is that, judging by the metabolism manifested by the test results, the 23 athletes seem to have taken the same dose of the drugs at about the same time. Why would they do that together? It's not child's play. Collective doping at the same time with the same dose means that everyone is equal before the drug and nobody can gain an unfair advantage by exploiting the effect of the drug. Besides, the competition schedule is not the same for the 23 swimmers. Why should they take drugs at the same time? If they're going to take risks to get selected, shouldn't they at least take useful and relevant risks that are likely to contribute to their success?

So this possibility can be ruled out.

There's only one possibility left, that the 23 athletes unknowingly ingested the same banned substance at about the same time. That can only be the meal time, when everyone ate the food prepared by the hotel kitchen.

Read 7 tweets

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