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More from @PandemicTruther

America-China Watcher

@PandemicTruther

Jan 28

The deep tragedy of Britain's Hinkley C nuclear project. Financial Times announces the project will be delayed by several years (2031 against the initial 2017) and the cost will balloon to £46 billion against the original £18 billion.

Forget the Dr K incident and focus on the more newsworthy tragedy of UK's nuclear fiasco.

If the British really want to build top notch nuclear power stations with the most advanced technology and the best safety standards in a viable, cost-effective way, they need to turn to the Sino-French consortium EDF-CGN. It's this consortium that has successfully built and operated the third-generation EPR, the most technologically advanced nuclear reactor in the world.

Do you know why the French nuclear company EDF has formed an alliance with the Chinese nuclear company CGN? It's because the nuclear plants that China and EDF have built together have been incredibly successful. Such a level of combined commercial and operational success has never been achieved in the world, not even in France. The French taught China how to build nuclear power plants, and the Chinese quickly learned and innovated.

The first nuclear power plant built in China with French assistance was the Daya Bay nuclear power plant. Completed in the 1990s, this collaboration between China and EDF marked a significant milestone in nuclear technology transfer. The plant was completed within budget (USD 8-10 billion) and on time (8-10 years). In addition, the construction costs were recovered within 4-5 years. After that, the plant ran on pure profit. Nuclear plants like this became cash cows for China.

The success of Daya Bay paved the way for further cooperation and laid the foundation for subsequent joint nuclear projects between the two nations. Recognising the highly profitable nature of such nuclear plants, the French wanted a stake in the projects rather than just providing a vendor credit line. France now has a 30% stake in the Guangdong Taishan nuclear power plant.

The third-generation EPR (European Pressurised Reactor) power plant, built in China by the China-France joint venture, is best represented by the Taishan nuclear power plant. Taishan houses two EPR reactors and has achieved the distinction of being the only successfully operating EPR 3.0 plant in the world.

This project represents the culmination of joint efforts, with France providing the EPR technology and China demonstrating its ability to successfully implement and operate this advanced nuclear technology. The Taishan nuclear power plant became operational in 2018, marking a significant achievement in the global nuclear energy landscape and highlighting the successful synergy between Chinese innovation and French expertise.

France has not been so lucky with its two other nuclear projects using third-generation EPR technology.

The other two third-generation EPR nuclear power plant projects France’s EDF has been building is the Flamanville nuclear power plant in France and the Olkiluoto nuclear power plant in Finland.

1. The Flamanville project has faced several challenges, including construction delays and cost overruns. Originally scheduled to be operational in 2012, the completion date has been postponed several times, and the plant is not yet fully operational today. Technical issues and concerns about the reactor's safety systems added to the complexity of the project.

2. **Olkiluoto nuclear power plant (Finland):** The Olkiluoto project experienced similar challenges, with significant delays and cost overruns. Originally scheduled for completion in 2009, the construction schedule was extended due to various problems, including difficulties in ensuring the structural integrity of the reactor vessel. Delays in the project led to disputes between the parties involved and increased scrutiny of the EPR technology.

Both projects experienced longer construction times and financial setbacks, raising questions about the feasibility and efficiency of EPR 3.0 technology in practice. These difficulties contributed to a reassessment of nuclear projects and safety standards worldwide.

France was on the point of abandoning its EPR 3.0 adventures. However, after seeing the success of the Chinese prototype, France decided to continue with these projects.

France has reached the painful conclusion that building nuclear power plants is a complex business. The only way to make a EPR 3.0 nuclear project successful is y teaming up with China.

People don't understand that today China's industrial capacity is that of all the industrialised countries combined, not only in quantity but also in quality. When China faces a problem, it can call on its expertise in a vast number of areas. One can see that China's space projects have an extremely low failure rate compared to those launched by the US/UK/Japan. Such achievements are downplayed. China's comprehensive expertise in complex high-tech projects is also reflected in nuclear power plants.

Western knowledge of China is still at the stage where China beats the West because of its cheap labour, if not downright slave labour. They can't imagine that China is beating them because of better technology, better management and better manufacturing know how.

Moreover, for ten years after Japan's Fukushima nuclear accident, France was hesitant about continuing with nuclear power. During that time, China made rapid progress and achieved breakthroughs and innovations, especially in nuclear safety. Meanwhile, France's nuclear technology stagnated due to lack of investment.
Partnering with China is a necessity, as China now has know-how in many areas where France is lagging behind.

In view of these dynamics, if the British government wants to build nuclear power stations, it would be in the national interest to give the EDF-CGN consortium a free hand to allow the partnership to reproduce their success in China.

The UK government, however, went against the norm. They deliberately sabotaged the Hinkley C nuclear project and even pushed China out of the Sizewell C and Bradwell B projects.

The Hinkley Point C Nuclear Power Plant project was a significant milestone for China's nuclear power industry as it marked their entry into the nuclear markets of developed countries. China saw great importance in this project. But in a surprising turn of events in 2022, China suddenly announced their withdrawal and pulled out nearly £6bn of their investment.

Western media criticized China, painting them as untrustworthy and irresponsible for abruptly leaving a £35bn project and causing losses and difficulties for the local community. However, what they fail to mention is the British government's own stupidity, recklessness, and lack of good faith in handling this matter.

When it comes to construction, China is known to be the most reliable country in the world. They rarely abandon projects and always strive to complete them on time and within budget, even if it means incurring significant financial losses. It is China, not Japan, France, or Germany where the technology originated, that has been successfully constructing high-speed railways across the globe.

For China to fall out with Britain and abandon a project that they initially cherished and took pride in, there must have been something truly serious at play.

The Hinkley Point C Nuclear Power Plant was a massive infrastructure project costing £35bn. Once completed, it was expected to contribute to at least 7% of the country's electricity consumption, helping to alleviate the UK's energy crisis and power shortages. This was just the first project in a series, and it was crucial for the UK government to do everything in its power to ensure its success.

The British had originally planned to carry out the project themselves. After all, they were once the world leaders in nuclear power technology. Unfortunately, they later voluntarily abandoned the development of nuclear power. By the time they realised it was a mistake and that they should have kept up, it was too late and they were already far behind other countries.

The British sadly realised that they had neither the technology nor the manufacturing know-how to build their own nuclear power station. Before the Hinkley Point C nuclear power plant project, there were A and B nuclear power plants, both "masterpieces" of British technology and manufacturing know-how in the last century.

However, significant nuclear leakage problems have been reported at Hinkley A and B. Both plants have undergone decommissioning processes with safety measures to manage radioactive materials.

Such accidents have caused the British to lose confidence in the nuclear power plants they have built.

The failures of Hinkley A and B have made the UK realise that it is no longer the industrial powerhouse it once was, and that it doesn't make sense to continue building faulty nuclear power stations.

In addition to the unresolved problem of nuclear leakage, the upfront investment is also a major obstacle. The British are broke and don't have the money to build their key infrastructure.

Although Britain is still considered a developed country, the economy has been in decline for years. The British people are not prepared to fund these nuclear mega-projects with their tax money.

Then the British government opts for a financial mechanism to solve the funding problem, called project finance.

It's a mechanism that allows a country to get something for nothing. The investors are responsible for the construction of the project and the cash flow generated by the income from the project is used to repay the debt and provide a return to the equity investors. The UK government doesn't have to contribute a penny.

Read 7 tweets

America-China Watcher

@PandemicTruther

Jan 12

Understanding America's irrational [fatal] love affair with Israel

Israel now is more of a burden than an asset to the US. But the US can't get rid of it.

A most peculiar scenario has unfolded in geopolitics. The ongoing conflict in the Middle East, involving Israel and the US, has diverted the US from its strategic focus on China and Russia. A ceasefire would be to the utmost advantage of the US, but the US remains steadfastly opposed to it.

A prolonged war in the Middle East involving the US would greatly benefit Russia and China, yet these two nations are adamantly advocating for a ceasefire.

The US has lost control over Israel. Israel just does what it likes, no longer adhering to US directives.

The question arises: why does Israel continue to display such aggressive behavior when the whole world has stood up against it? From Israel's perspective, their actions can be understood. Israel seeks to exploit Hamas attacks as a justification to permanently eliminate the threat (resistance) in Gaza and annex Gaza to gain control over its valuable territory, as well as its oil and gas resources.

If Netanyahu succeeds in achieving these goals, he will be hailed as a national hero in Israel, rather than someone who botched up the security promise to the Jewish people on October 7th. Throughout history, Israeli prime ministers who are renowned terrorists have been revered as national heroes by the Israeli population.

It is worth noting that the founding fathers of America were also involved in the massacre of Native Americans and slavery. Nevertheless, these figures go down history as national heroes.

Furthermore, Zionists control the global MSM media. Through relentless propaganda, public memory and mainstream narratives can be manipulated. In a few decades, Israel's atrocities against the Palestinians in Gaza may be forgotten or remembered as war on terrorism.

To borrow a Chinese proverb, "commit a sin today, but receive merit for eternity." Western countries have often employed this tactic of “killing and looting now and apologizing in the future”, to make peace with their infamous colonial past.

Israel's actions can be understood from their unique perspective as a criminal syndicate. However, the behavior of the United States is perplexing. Why would they engage in a self-destructive deal that seems destined to fail?

The United States desires peace in the Middle East to free up its hands to deal fatal blows to China and Russia. Israel's reckless actions disrupt the stability in the region and derail the US from the course of its global strategy to preserve its hegemony. Currently, China and Russia are the main adversaries of the United States. The US has already exerted maximum pressure on Russia in Ukraine and squeezed China's economy. By applying further pressure, the US may hope to achieve desired results. Unfortunately, just when things seem to be progressing in a desired direction for the US, an unwanted crisis erupts in the Middle East.

Who benefits from this situation? Zelensky is desperate, while Russia and China can breathe a sigh of relief. This scenario seems almost too good to be true for China and Russia. The US appears helpless in preventing developments that favor China and Russia. They lack control over Israel.

For years the US has tried to provoke China into a war with a US proxy be it India, Philippines. Taiwan, South Korea or Japan… Nobody has taken the bait. It seems like whatever the fate US tries to foist upon China is visited upon the US itself, be it the Covid-19 pandemic, global isolation, or proxy wars.

In summary, the ongoing Israel-Palestine conflict is not what the United States desires. However, due to Israel's unique status, the US cannot make the most rational decision. What would be a more rational choice?

Let's consider the example of Taiwan. The United States handles the Taiwan issue with rationality. If Taiwanese politicians make any moves towards independence without US permission, the United States can easily intervene. On the other hand, whenever the US needs to inflame the Taiwan issue, they can send a congressman or a house speaker, and Taiwan cannot refuse.

The US has absolute control over Taiwan to make the latter serve the US interests. Geopolitically, Taiwan is strategically more important than Israel. So why is the United States mindlessly supporting Israel even against It's own interest?

Understanding this topic may help us comprehend why Israel acts so recklessly in the Middle East.

Before delving into the reasons, let's first examine the extent of support the United States provides to Israel.

Let's begin with political support. The United States has utilized its veto power in the United Nations on behalf of Israel more than any other country. Out of the 81 times the United States has exercised its veto power, 46 of those instances were in favor of Israel. In comparison, China has only exercised its veto power 18 times since joining the United Nations.

Furthermore, the United States has exerted pressure on nations to sign the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, but Israel remains exempt from this agreement. Consequently, Israel is one of the nine countries in possession of nuclear weapons. Additionally, the United States has not compelled Israel to sign the Chemical and Biological Weapons Convention, which raises questions about the double standards applied.

To illustrate the magnitude of this issue, let's consider the case of Iraq in 2003. The United States launched a war against Iraq based on suspicions of possessing weapons of mass destruction (WMD), ultimately destroying the entire country. However, Israel, which actually possesses WMD, has not faced similar consequences.

Now, let's shift our focus to the economic aspect. Israel receives the highest amount of aid from the United States compared to any other country worldwide.

Economically, Israel is the largest recipient of U.S. aid globally, with a staggering $160 billion in official aid provided, despite Israel's own wealth. Israel boasts a relatively high per capita GDP of $52,000 for a developed country. To put this into perspective, South Korea, which received significant aid from the U.S. during the Korean War and beyond, had a per capita GDP of only $32,000 last year. However, the overall aid received by South Korea was merely 10% of the amount given to Israel.

Additionally, Israel benefits from substantial private donations from the U.S.

In the United States, donating money to Zionist organizations in Israel is considered a charitable act and is eligible for tax deductions. Further, the U.S. does not impose any restrictions on how Israel utilizes these funds, whether it is for charitable purposes or for demolishing Palestinian homes in order to set up Jewish settlements.

When it comes to providing financial aid to other nations, the U.S. typically has stringent requirements. For instance, when aid is given to China, it is primarily focused on improving education and promoting democracy, and in particular in the LGBTQ sex education domain and minority rights promotion with a view to incite sedition. However, when it comes to providing financial assistance to Israel, there are hardly any restrictions. It’s a no-strings-attached arrangement, where Israel receives free cash without any obligations.

In 1982, Israel was granted a special privilege by the U.S. Normally, countries receiving U.S. aid have to visit the U.S. four times a year to “collect the funds” (be given lessons). During these visits, they are expected to demonstrate humility and listen to the U.S. preaching about human rights, democracy and LGBTQ. However, Israel was exempted from this requirement and received the entire year's aid in one go on January 1st. Imagine the interest Israel can accumulate from such a lump sum payment.

Apart from direct monetary payments, there are also economic guarantees, such as the Memorandum of Understanding signed by Kissinger. In 1975, the U.S. provided Israel with a portion of its strategic oil reserves to ensure that Israel wouldn't suffer from possible energy sanctions from oil-exporting nations in the Middle East. Additionally, the U.S. allocates funds to other countries for the sake of Israel's security. For example, while Egypt typically receives only 1 to 2 billion dollars in aid, in 1979, it suddenly received 5.9 billion dollars. The reason behind this substantial increase was the signing of a peace treaty between Egypt and Israel. Jordan received money from the US too. This shows you the extent to which a hegemonic power like the U.S. can do for Israel.

The U.S. can print money to buy peace for Israel from its neighboring countries, preventing them from attacking Israel. It wouldn't be surprising if the U.S. provides financial assistance to countries like Congo or any other nation willing to accept Palestinian refugees. If Egypt were to agree to welcome Palestinian refugees, Israel might even request the U.S. to forgive its debts.

What's even more impressive than financial aid is military aid. The U.S. recently provided 350 million dollars’ worth of military aid to Taiwan, and Taiwanese are overwhelmed with gratitude. But these are just second-hand junk.

However, Israel receives top-notch military equipment from the U.S., like the highly advanced F-35 the moment they are produced. The U.S. is not only proud to give it to Israel, but they even customize it to suit Israel's aerospace industry, incorporating modules developed by Israel into the plane.

But that's not all. Israel has another special privilege when it comes to military aid. They can use a quarter of the U.S. aid to purchase their own weapons and sometimes even collaborate with the U.S. in developing new ones which the US has no use of. This has greatly boosted Israel's military industry, funding projects like the Ravi multirole fighter and the Merkava tank, all thanks to the U.S. Department of Defense.

Now, let's address the question of why the U.S. has been so generous to Israel. People think it must be justified, considering the U.S.'s pragmatic and profit-seeking nature. It's true for other countries, but this logic doesn't always apply when it comes to Israel.

Read 10 tweets

America-China Watcher

@PandemicTruther

Jan 7

Hezbollah shares many similarities with the Maoist-Leninist People's Liberation Army.

Consider these two photos.

On one side, you see the complex tunnel system of the Lebanese group, Hezbollah. On the other side, you see the tunnels of North Korea.

The world was taken aback when it was discovered that these two military installations, located thousands of miles apart, shared a striking resemblance in terms of design, construction techniques, choice of materials, and technical aspects. Israeli military experts later concluded that the tunnels of Hezbollah in southern Lebanon and the 30-odd tunnels built by Hamas in the Gaza Strip were nearly identical to those built by North Korea. This similarity is attributed to the military guidance provided by North Korea to Hezbollah.

In the next photo, you see Hassan Nasrallah, the leader of Hezbollah. When you combine this image with the symbols of the Hizb ut-Tahrir and the western label of "terrorist organization," one might assume he's a spiritual leader, a chief, a caliph, or even an ayatollah.

However, he is not. He calls himself the General Secretary of the Party like President Xi Jinping and has admitted to being deeply influenced by Maoist works.

Hezbollah is not just a military force but also an organization with a structure reminiscent of a distinctly Leninist party, peaking with the Shura Council, which includes seven permanent members, including the General Secretary, like China's Politburo. Their salute is a red army salute.

Hezbollah is one of the ruling parties in Lebanon, with 13 seats in Parliament and a role in the Cabinet.

Like the Chinese PLA, they have been diligently focused on ideological indoctrination, placing instructors and political commissars in guerrilla units, integrating imams into the battallion and placing the recruiting branch in the mosques; they have also insisted on following the mass line, opening orphanages, schools, cultural centers, clinics, and construction firms; they have helped the poor during the construction of their base areas, providing farmers with seeds and fertilizers at low prices or even free of charge, and providing financial assistance to families affected by economic difficulties.

Their ultimate goal is to eliminate imperialism and colonialism, and in particular the removal of the Zionist regime and the US presence in the Middle East.

Despite being a religious military group in the Middle East, they have adopted a unique approach to war, obviously inspired by Mao Zedong's guerilla art of war.

In addition, they have mastered Mao Zedong's "integration of Marxism with the local circumstances", not by strictly adhering to it, but by blending it with their own realities to wage a "people's war with the unique characteristics of Lebanon".

Many people might be unaware that, unlike many resistance groups in the region, Hezbollah rarely targets non-military units, refrains from suicide attacks, and doesn't engage in civilian abductions. They stand out as one of the most sophisticated and civilized resistance forces in this part of the Middle East.

The transformation of Hezbollah's fighting force is a direct result of their advanced party building and military management concepts.

Today, Hezbollah is Israel's most feared armed force and the first local militia to reclaim significant territory back from Israel through war since the onset of the first Middle East conflict.

Furthermore, Hezbollah has seldom surrendered in any of his conflicts, thus maintaining a high level of morale.

In biology, there's a concept known as convergent evolution, which suggests similar ecological species in different regions will produce similar evolutionary choices. Hezbollah's path to success is reminiscent of this, mirroring the approach Mao took. The paths are similar and they will all lead to the same outcome: eventual victory.

The Lebanese Jihad's approach now appears to be quite politically mature, a methodology that could be considered the liberation theology of the Middle East region.

Many people, when they hear the name of this organization, think that it is a low-level guerrilla force, a group of rough men who shout Allahu Akbar and start to act recklessly. In reality, they are highly politically conscious, grass-roots oriented, disciplined and obedient, and thoroughly coordinated and united in their actions.

Hezbollah adhering to the teachings of Khamenei is almost a disguise, beneath this religious exterior, it is a highly advanced, modernized, and mature political organization.

It has a clear and progressive political platform, a strict organizational and political structure, and it recognizes that power comes from the people's support.

Hezbollah maintains a "red and black book" on the pro-Israel pseudo-army in southern Lebanon, and those who haven't harmed civilians will be exonerated when the day of reckoning comes.

The daily operations of the Party are focused on three main areas: the coalition front, armed struggle, and the development of the Party.

The level of sophistication of Hamas is akin to a Middle Eastern version of the Boxer Rebellion. But the level of sophistication of Hezbollah is equivalent to Mao Zedong's Red army.

One of the most notable aspects of Hezbollah's corporate culture is their understanding of their political roots, not in terms of being tough and brotherly, but in terms of taking the mass line and empowering the people in the areas they control.

Hezbollah receives substantial financial and material aid each year from its supporters, Iran and Syria. Instead of channeling all these resources into the military, they invest most of them in infrastructure and livelihoods, such as building a power station, a healthcare system, schools, and aiding the disabled.

Currently, Hezbollah operates at least four hospitals, 12 clinics, 12 schools, and several agricultural centers.

Hezbollah provides technical assistance and training to farmers, and also operates an environmental department and a social assistance agency. Their efforts are reminiscent of Mao Zedong's in-depth analysis of the Chinese population in the last century. They meticulously study the Lebanese population at all levels to understand their needs and aspirations. This allows them to effectively tailor their resources to address societal pain points.

Their unique governance style is uncommon in the Middle East. Areas under Hezbollah's control in Lebanon are recognized for their superior infrastructure, excellent education and healthcare systems, efficient government, and minimal corruption. In short, it's the Middle Easten version of Red Army bases established by Mao Zedong in China before 1949.

Hezbollah would only need a five-pointed red star to blend in with the Red Army of Mao Zedong.

In their pursuit of the mass line, they also maintain a keen focus on the elitism within their organization. Unlike other Middle Eastern militant groups, Hezbollah does not seek to increase its membership to expand its influence or gain wider support. They have adopted a Leninist political model, with their affiliates acting as vanguards with Islamic undertones. This structure has resulted in exceptional organization and a high degree of combat readiness.

To illustrate the strength of a communist cell, consider an incident from the past where a Beijing train was trapped in a flood. A temporary party cell was established, comprising a dozen veterans, engineers, and car service party members. Despite being stuck for 67 hours, tens of thousands of passenger received adequate supplies of water, food, and medical care in an orderly manner. Panic and chaos were avoided. The party cell demonstrated exceptional leadership, pooled resources together effectively, and ensured the collective well-being of the passengers.

In times of crisis, those with the ability must rise to the occasion accordingly to a play book. These are the pioneers of society. Hezbollah is fulfilling this leadership role.

The revolutionary process spearheaded by Mao Zedong in the last century, which lasted 28 years, has always been a beacon of hope for oppressed peoples worldwide. It has provided a blueprint for conducting asymmetric warfare that can be replicated and won everywhere in the world.

Looking at the current Palestinian-Israeli conflict, shared national experiences has led to Chinese public's intense empathy for the Palestinian people and a natural association of Israeli atrocities with the crimes of the Japanese army. Seeing the presence of a strong Maoist army has reignited Chinese people's hope for the liberation and freedom of the Palestinian people.

If the Israelis have adopted "Mein Kamnf," then Hezbollah has adopted Mao Zedong's "The Long War."

The screenshot below shows 13 principles of Hezbollah's combat strategy disclosed by Israeli media outlets.

Familiar? They are almost the word by word reproduction of basic principles of Mao Zedong's military strategy.

To summarize: "When the enemy advances, we retreat; when the enemy fortifies, we disrupt; when the enemy tires, we strike; when the enemy retreats, we pursue."

In their struggle against Israeli aggression, Hezbollah, despite being at a significant technological and equipment disadvantage, managed to compel Israel to retreat on numerous occasions, just like when China repelled the Japanese. Between 1982 and 2000, Hezbollah drove the Israeli army to utter exhaustion. Israeli Brigadier General Erez Goldstein, the highest-ranking Israeli military officer, was ambushed and killed by Hezbollah. Consequently, Israel was compelled to withdraw its forces in 2000.

This marks the first instance since 1948 where an Islamic force has reclaimed territories occupied by Israel through military means.

Although Israel voluntarily withdrew it's troops only in 2000, the wheels of destiny had already begun to turn.

In the 21st century, Israel's foreign wars have been devoid of moral integrity and have yielded no significant military victories. The patriotic sentiments expressed by Israelis on the internet, lauding the invincibility of the Jewish people, are merely echoes of the previous century.

Six years later, it was this same Hezbollah that debunked the myth of the invincibility of the Israeli army.

In 2006, the Lebanese-Israeli conflict lasted for 34 days. Israel endured its first systematic military defeat, with Hezbollah inflicting significant casualties through their rocket and tunnel warfare.

Ultimately, the Hezbollah achieved a 1:1 casualty ratio, in the circumstances where Hezbollah didn't have the air control and no advantage in numbers of combat forces.

Under the suspected guidance of KPA (North Korea) instructors, a line of defense was established, reminiscent of the renowned
38th parallel of the Korean war. Despite the involvement of 6000 IDF ground troops for a span of two months, they were unable to breach the defense of 150 Hezbollah guerrillas, resulting in a ground casualty ratio of nearly 1:8. One casualty of Hezbollah against 8 casualties of the IDF.

Moreover, Hezbollah's combat strategy was not limited to guerrilla warfare; they also effectively utilized other valuable lessons learned from their communist predecessors in the 20th century. One of them being deploying volunteer units into neighboring countries to train and organize the local resistance to deter the enemy.

In the battlegrounds of Syria, Hezbollah is formidable force that has emerged victorious, moving from one triumph to the next, defeating Syrian adversaries.

It was only in 2019, when the conflict had stabilized, that Hezbollah withdrew its forces.

Read 5 tweets

America-China Watcher

@PandemicTruther

Dec 22, 2023

Chinese ships unperturbed on the Red Sea

Even though the Chinese shipping company COSCO has suspended its Red Sea route, on December 19th, the container ship Milky Way belonging to COSCO was seen sailing through the Red Sea towards the Suez Canal in safety. The Houthi official has stated that China not being part of the western allies of Israel providing the latter with moral and material support, abetting Israel's genocide of Palestinians, Chinese ships will not be affected.

So COSCO's Red Sea maritime trade route is most probably resumed.

Btw, this news caused a huge sensation in China because in history this commercial cargo ship Yinhe (its Chinese name) was sequestered by the US in 1993 for 24 days on the sea. US accused the ship of delivering chemical weapons materials to Iran. Of course the US inspection didn't find anything.

Later the US refused to apologize but blamed China for spreading false intelligence in order to make the US look bad. So US turned itself into the victim!! For more details, see the Wikipedia entry of the incident.

Rumor goes that COSCO is charging the same price as other shipping companies, ie, with a huge surge taking account of the detour.

You bet COSCO will have more business, same price with no detour but with delivery time shortened by two weeks.

The US pro-genocide pro-Israel coalition forces can play the anti-pirate game by themselves. China is not joining.

Three China Russia related alternative trade routes are benefitting from the Red Sea Obstruction:

1/China-Europe railway. More and more cities in China are opening up railway stations directly connected to the China-Europe rail network, so cargo can be uploaded from anywhere in China destined for Europe.

2/ North Arctic route via the coast of Russia. With the global warming, Arctic ice is melting and soon this route will become navigatable throughout the year. That's an excellent route to reach Europe, navigation distance is greatly shortened, and this route will catapult China and Russia to maritime super powers.

3/China promoted Pan-Asian high speed railway network, connecting South East Asia to China. Goods from these countries can then be uploaded to cargo trains destined for Europe/Russia/Central Asia.

Seeing the Red Sea Route unsecure, South East Asia will be more enthusiastic about building and connecting HSR to China's existing rail network. Greater Asia prosperity ring (minus India) will be fully integrated with China as the economic centre and the locomotive (not Japan).

So go ahead Houthi brothers. Whatever weakens Israel and the US is strengthening China and Russia. What's bad for Israel is bad for the US. What's bad for the US is good for China and Russia and their allies.

US is asking China to help strike back at the Houthis. China says the US must involve all countries of power and influence to provide a long-term constructive solution meaning don't count on us alone, maybe bring in Russia and make Israel cease fire and open up Gaza for humanitarian aid to go in.

Read 4 tweets

America-China Watcher

@PandemicTruther

Dec 5, 2023

Israel's dirty war on Gaza -
Predictions of what will happen in the next 20 days and beyond

Israel has resumed its genocidal airstrikes with the pretext that Hamas broke the cease fire treaty. The truth is it's Israel who resumed bombings in the North and South of Gaza before the end of truce.

However this new phase of war will not last long. About 7-15 days, 20 days at most, and then the two sides will have to negotiate again. Israel can't continue beyond 20 days.

The initiative of the cease fire negotiations entirely lay within the hands of Israel. We all know Israelis were hell bent on annihilating Gaza. If Israel can carry on the genocide and completely drive the Palestinians out of Gaza in one shot, Israel wouldn't have stopped. If Israel had done so, there was no other reason than the fact that they could not carry on anymore. Israel simply ran out of money and ammunitions.

The moment Israel is able to resume the airstrikes, it immediately restarted bombing Gaza anywhere and everywhere. As during Israel's first war in 1948 with the Arab countries, the 48 hour truce worked wonders and served as the decisive factor to overturn the situation and allowed Israel to win the war.

Within a few days, Israel has managed to raise funds and ammunitions mass arrived from the US. Israel most probably has come up with new strategies of street combat with Hamas. Israel feels strong and powerful again.

However the fund Israel has raised still can't last long enough.

And given the rate at which Israel consumes its stock of bombs and sees its tanks destroyed by Hamas, the newly arrived ammunition and military equipments won't last for more than a few weeks. Remember Israel has dropped in a few weeks more bombs than what the US released in Afghanistan in one year. The world hasn't seen this level of intensity of war since WWII.

Israel is not Russia. It isn't prepared and doesn't have the resources to engage in a drawn out war.

Israel's warchest destined to the Gaza war is composed of two funds. One fund was US$7.8 billion provided by the Treasury Department. The other was US$6 billion borrowed from loan sharks at the interest rate of 6.5% on the market, which is approximately 200 points higher than that of U.S. Treasury bonds.

Israel’s domestic issuance accounts for more than 80% of the total because it faces a “less popular” overseas market. According to Bloomberg, the premium of insuring Israeli sovereign bonds against default has doubled since the Hamas attack on October 7.

To date, the US$6 billion bonds are not entirely sold. Assuming this money is available to Israel, all in all, Israel disposes of $13.8 billion to eliminate Gaza.

According to Israel's calculation, the war costs $246 million per day.

How long can this money last?

56 days.

How many days had the war lasted before the ceasefire?

46 days.

The conclusion is Israel would call for a cease fire when it had exhausted its money supply and ammunitions.

So, how much money can Israel have raised during the cease fire?

Israeli Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich revised the budget for the remainder of year 2023, spending is increased by US$9.3 billion which will be mainly borrowed from the market.

The Israeli government also uses a U.S.-registered entity affiliated with the Treasury Department to sell more than $1 billion in bonds each month. In addition, it has borrowed overseas through privately negotiated deals, raising a total of $5.4 billion since the conflict began (part of the $6 billion deals to be raised from loan sharks mentioned above).

It's estimated that currently the Israeli government disposes of US$5 billion for the war.

This will last about 20 days.

It's almost certain that during the last few days before Israel runs out of money, Israel will agree to negotiate and there will be a "truce". Unless of course a miracle happens and Zionist billionaires are willing to part with their personal fortunes to bankroll Israel's dirty war. This is unlikely to happen.

This is only from a money perspective. Other constraints include:

Enough ammunitions?

Enough manpower to sustain the rate of casualties in the street combat in Gaza?

Can the comprehensive resources of Israel sustain a long war? How about its economy? There's no economy left in Gaza and the West Bank. Can Israel survive a recession of 20-50% due to the war?

Will the families of the hostages make trouble?

Will the Golan Highlands be lost? Will Hezbollah make a big move?

So what exactly is Israel thinking when it resumes the nuclear level carpet bombings of Gaza this time?

The main reason is that the US is aiming for Israel to achieve a quick and overwhelming victory and then end the war.

After the five Middle East wars, the far-right forces in Israel have developed a conviction that Israel is invincible. Israel only needs to raise a little finger (boots) and the Arab enemies would be crushed like the ants under the Israeli boots. In 1967, it took Israel merely 6 days to bring the surrounding Arab countries to their knees.

Can Israel replicate the 1967 scenario this time? Unlikely.

Because of the availability of individual anti-tank weapons, IDF's performance in the street combat in Gaza has turned into a joke.

But does the IDF, the Israeli government led by Netanyahu and Galante, do they dare to acknowledge their failure? Do they dare to tell the crazed Jews at home "We don't know how to do street combat with Hamas. We can't kill Hamas. They know how to kill us. We can't continue the war. Almost everyone we have killed in Gaza so far is non-Hamas"

If anyone dares to say this, if Israelis realize the IDF are not the Hannibal army which years of Zionist propaganda made them out to be, the Israeli Jews will be a hundred times crueler than Hamas and they will skin Netanyahu and company alive.

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@PandemicTruther

Nov 1, 2023

The Invention of Jewish People

Do you know that the Palestinians are the real descendants of the ancient semite tribe living on the land of Palestine? These are the real ethnic semites who later converted to Islam.

According to the book "The Invention of the Jewish People" by Professor Shlomo Sand of Tel Aviv university, the Ashkenazi Jews living in Israel now are not ethnic semites but descendants from the Khazar Kindom of Caucasus of Turkic origin massively converted to Judaism in the 7th-9th century.

The mass expulsion of Jews from the land of Palestine by Romans was a myth.

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Sand began his work by looking for research studies about forcible exile of Jews from the area now bordered by modern Israel, and its surrounding regions. He was astonished that he could find no such literature, he says, given that the expulsion of Jews from the region is viewed as a constitutive event in Jewish history. The conclusion he came to from his subsequent investigation is that the expulsion simply did not happen, that no one exiled the Jewish people from the region, and that the Jewish diaspora is essentially a modern invention. He accounts for the appearance of millions of Jews around the Mediterranean and elsewhere as something that came about primarily through the religious conversion of local people, saying that Judaism, contrary to popular opinion, was very much a "converting religion" in former times. He holds that mass conversions were first brought about by the Hasmoneans under the influence of Hellenism, and continued until Christianity rose to dominance in the fourth century CE.

Jewish origins

Sand argues that it is likely that the ancestry of most contemporary Jews stems mainly from outside the Land of Israel and that a "nation-race" of Jews with a common origin never existed, and that just as most Christians and Muslims are the progeny of converted people, not of the first Christians and Muslims, Jews are also descended from converts. According to Sand, Judaism was originally, like its two cousins, a proselytising religion, and mass conversions to Judaism occurred among the Khazars in the Caucasus, Berber tribes in North Africa, and in the Himyarite Kingdom of the Arabian Peninsula.

According to Sand, the original Jews living in Israel, contrary to popular belief, were not exiled by the Romans following the Bar Kokhba revolt. The Romans permitted most Jews to remain in the country. Rather, the story of the exile was a myth promoted by early Christians to recruit Jews to the new faith. They portrayed that event as a divine punishment imposed on the Jews for having rejected the Christian gospel. Sand writes that "Christians wanted later generations of Jews to believe that their ancestors had been exiled as a punishment from God." Following the Arab conquest of Palestine in the 7th century, many local Jews converted to Islam and were assimilated among the Arab conquerors. Sand concludes that these converts are the ancestors of the contemporary Palestinians.

Jewish peoplehood

Sand's explanation of the birth of the "myth" of a Jewish people as a group with a common, ethnic origin has been summarized as follows: "at a certain stage in the 19th century intellectuals of Jewish origin in Germany, influenced by the folk character of German nationalism, took upon themselves the task of inventing a people "retrospectively," out of a thirst to create a modern Jewish people. From historian Heinrich Graetz on, Jewish historians began to draw the history of Judaism as the history of a nation that had been a kingdom, became a wandering people and ultimately turned around and went back to its birthplace."

In this, Sand writes, they were similar to other nationalist movements in Europe at the time that sought the reassurance of a Golden Age in their past to prove they have existed as a separate people since the beginnings of history. Jewish people found theirs in what he calls "the mythical Kingdom of David". Before this invention, he says, Jews thought of themselves as Jews because they shared a common religion, not a common ethnic background.

Return from exile, Zionism

Sand believes that the idea of Jews being obliged to return from exile to the Promised Land was alien to Judaism before the birth of Zionism, and that the holy places were seen as places to long for, not to be lived in. On the contrary, for 2,000 years Jews stayed away from Jerusalem because their religion forbade them from returning until the Messiah came. According to Sand, the ancestry of Central and Eastern European Jews stems heavily from mediæval Turkic Khazars who were converted to Judaism, a theory which was popularized in a book written by Arthur Koestler in 1976.

What we are witnessing is a holocaust perpetuated by fake Jews on real ethnic Jews.

The Palestinian names given to many of their places of villages. mountains, rivers, valleys, hills are exactly the same as those in the Bible, and their culture has strong ties to the ancient Jews.

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