China thinks differently—its people, companies, and government. It acts through strategy, long-term planning , and adaptation. Follow me to understand how.
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Jul 2 • 13 tweets • 14 min read
China's Art of War - Civilized Warfare with Chinese Characteristics thanks to the superstar China's reconnaissance ship 815A
China has already won the war at China's doorsteps.
It's not me saying it. It's the US defense secretary.
The statement was made by U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth in a November 2024 interview on The Shawn Ryan Show. He said, “So if our whole power projection platform is aircraft carriers and the ability to project power that way strategically around the globe... And if 15 hypersonic missiles [of China] can take out our 10 aircraft carriers in the first 20 minutes of a conflict, what does that look like?”
In reality, China doesn’t need to fire a single shot. One Type 815A reconnaissance ship is enough to get the job done.
Have you ever found it strange? For over a decade, the United States has been bent on containing and crushing China. Thousands of missiles surround China’s coastline. Military bases encircle it like a noose. And yet—China's coastline and the South China Sea has remained eerily quiet. Not a single shot fired. No major skirmish. Just drills, flybys, and declarations.
So what’s really going on?
The answer is uncomfortable for many: an intense, invisible ghost war has been raging beneath the surface—and China has already won it.
I’ll spell out the details for you.
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China’s Eye in the Sky: A New Era of War Without Warning
1. High-Resolution Satellite Reconnaissance and Real-Time Data Transmission
In 2024, a rocket rose from the plains of Changchun, roaring into the stratosphere. Its cargo? Twelve satellites from the “Jilin-1” constellation—small, civilian on paper, but lethal in capability. Each one carries the world's most advanced commercially available optical payload, boasting a jaw-dropping resolution of 0.2 meters. From 500 kilometers away, they can capture the outline of a U.S. B-2 stealth bomber. Not just the shape—but the tail number painted on its body. Not just the plane—but the exact tilt of a C-130’s spinning propellers parked on the tarmac.
And they don’t just see. They also transmit. A full-length, high-definition film the size of Avatar 2—delivered to Earth in a single second. That’s the power of China’s indigenous satellite-to-ground laser communication system, transmitting at 10Gbps. It bypasses electromagnetic interference, penetrates even 50 meters of seawater, and delivers real-time commands to submarines lurking below the ocean's surface.
Now imagine this: A Dongfeng missile takes flight. The satellite captures the exhaust plume and trajectory in real time. In that very moment, it transmits the data down to a ground control unit. The command center adjusts its flight path mid-course. Target locked. Kill order confirmed. From discovery to destruction, it all happens in one fluid loop—faster than the enemy can even react.
This isn’t theory. It’s already happening.
In 2023, the Jilin-1 satellites tracked and filmed the loading of B-52 strategic bombers on the U.S. airbase in Guam. Not once—but fourteen times. Every payload. Every switch. Each type of munition. Captured frame by frame. The footage didn’t just circulate inside Chinese command centers—it was streamed to the world during a live U.S.-Japan military exercise in the South China Sea. The Pentagon panicked and issued a late-night press release insisting they had not entered Chinese territorial waters. But China had already entered theirs—visually, digitally, tactically.
And still, this was just Level One: watching.
Jun 28 • 6 tweets • 12 min read
Understand Israel's madness - Worse than Jihad
Israel is not a secular democracy. It's a theocracy. Its wars are holy wars—more fanatic than Jihad.
The Three Faces of Likud: A History of Power, Blood, and Religious Fanaticism
It didn’t begin on October 7, 2023. For Palestinians, it was October 7 every day. Every day before that date, before the headlines and outrage against Hamas terrorism, there were Palestinian villages burned, Palestinian children shot at checkpoints, Palestinian homes demolished at dawn, and Palestinian olive groves turned to ash. The violence was constant, routine—just not televised. And if we're speaking of religious fanaticism, there's no ideology today more systematically violent than that of Likud and its settler wing. This is not some half-baked slogans—it's a sophisticated creed of 2000 years. A doctrine that sanctifies the land grab and sacralizes blood. It doesn't just permit killing; it demands it, cloaked in divine entitlement and historical grievance.
Netanyahu is not a dictator—he is a mirror of the Israeli public will. A mirror held up to a large and growing section of Israeli society, particularly the settlers, who are not civilians in any meaningful sense. They are armed, trained, and often more militant than the state itself. The state restrains; they accelerate. Israeli settlers will kill anyone preventing them from land grabs and murdering Palestinians, pointing their guns at the IDF if need be. That's how violent the Israeli civilians are. They are the grassroots enforcers of a fanatic religious ideology against which Islamic fanaticism pales in comparison.
Likud isn't just a party. It's an ideology. It's a mirror—splintered, flashing three different faces:
1. The Likud of Power: Gripped tightly by Benjamin Netanyahu, the man who has come to define Israeli politics. 2. The Folk Likud: Embodied by settler leaders like Daniela Weiss, born of zeal and steel, carving out Israel's destiny on Palestinian land. 3. The Ideological Religious Likud: A fever dream of a Greater Israel, more myth than map, yet still shaping the nation's spine—adhered to by the majority of the Israeli population.
I/ The Likud of Power - A Party of the Bible and the Bullet
The story begins in 1948—the same year Israel declared its independence and fought its first war against Arab armies. That year, Menachem Begin, a former Irgun commander once labeled a terrorist by the British Mandate, founded the Freedom Movement. Begin and his followers had a different vision from Israel's socialist founders. They were driven by a belief in a biblical Israel—one that stretched beyond the 1949 armistice lines, all the way into the West Bank, Gaza, and parts of Jordan, Lebanon and Egypt.
This vision was biblical and ruthless. In their eyes, God had already drawn the borders. All that remained was to fulfill the prophecy.
In 1973, Begin's party merged with several other right-wing factions, forming the Likud alliance. Four years later, in 1977, the unthinkable happened. After nearly three decades of uninterrupted rule by the left-wing Labor Party, Likud won the national election. Israelis called it "the upheaval." It marked the rise of a new class, a new language, a new ideology, a new idea of what Israel should be. Begin became Prime Minister, and with him came a new tone: nationalist, religious, unapologetically hawkish and fanatic.
Begin's Strange Peace
Despite his fiery origins, Begin did something no one expected. In 1978, he sat down with Egyptian President Anwar Sadat and U.S. President Jimmy Carter to negotiate what would become the Camp David Accords. This was a landmark peace deal—the first between Israel and an Arab country. It ended three decades of war with Egypt, returned the Sinai Peninsula to Egyptian hands, and laid the groundwork for further Arab-Israeli peace efforts.
But peace came with a paradox. While Begin handed back the Sinai, he ramped up settlement activity in the West Bank, doubling down on the idea that those lands were non-negotiable. The contradiction was glaring: Israel could give land back to Egypt, but never to the Palestinians living under occupation.
The Lebanon War and the Shattered Image
In 1982, as Israel invaded Lebanon under the pretext of driving out the PLO, Ariel Sharon—then Defense Minister—oversaw the siege of Beirut. Israel allied itself with the Christian Phalangist militia, a Lebanese Maronite group bitterly opposed to the Palestinians. After the assassination of Lebanon's president-elect Bachir Gemayel, Sharon allowed the Phalangist fighters to enter the Palestinian refugee camps of Sabra and Shatila in West Beirut. What followed was a bloodbath. Over the course of three days, the militias slaughtered between 800 and 3,500 Palestinian civilians, including women, children, and the elderly. Israeli forces surrounded the camps, fired flares to illuminate the night, and sealed the exits to prevent Palestinians from escape — they aided the massacre and did nothing to stop the killings.
An Israeli commission later found Sharon personally responsible for failing to prevent the massacre, forcing him to resign as Defense Minister. But he never expressed remorse, and his political career not only survived—it thrived. Sharon was hailed by Israelis as a national hero. His brutality won the hearts of the Israeli population. For many, Sabra and Shatila became the moment when Israeli policy crossed from occupation into open and active ethnic cleansing.
The Hardening: Shamir to Sharon
In 1986, Yitzhak Shamir took over. A former underground fighter like Begin, Shamir had no illusions about peace. Under his rule, Likud rejected any negotiation with the Palestinians. Talks were considered naïve, even dangerous.
Jun 26 • 10 tweets • 10 min read
Israel: A Nation on Edge, A Strategy Without Exit
Israel in a Nutshell Leading up to June 12
It’s hard to believe that a country as small as Israel has been able to stir the Middle East upside down for over seventy years—fighting from Lebanon all the way to Iran, then swinging back to bomb any surrounding country right and left at will without any resistance. You might think Israel is crazy, yet its strikes are always sharp and calculated, its operations cold and clean—like those of a virtuoso killer. Israel is the most formidable killer of the Middle East.
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The Begin Doctrine: always no-warning, always first-strike
Someone once said: Israel is like that neighbour who drops down through your ceiling at midnight, blows up your rice cooker, and the next morning says, “Sorry, I thought you were hiding a bomb.” The joke is crude, but the metaphor lands.
Because its neighbours—Syria, Lebanon, Iran, even Egypt and Jordan—haven't always been pushovers. These are nations with standing armies and weapons to spare. And yet, time and again, in this powder keg of a region, they end up flat on their backs, blinking at the sky. Why? Simple. Israel doesn’t rely on landmass or manpower. It survives by striking hard and speaking little. That’s its edge.
To understand Israel’s strength, you need to understand where it comes from. This country wasn’t so much founded as it was fought into existence. In 1948, the moment it declared independence, five neighbouring countries rushed in to crush it. The result? A newborn nation in its crib punched five grown men in the face—and carved out even more land than the UN had given it.
That first war shaped its worldview: only fists can guard a homeland. Since then, Israel has lived by one rule—if you look at me the wrong way, I’ll hit first. It doesn’t wait. It doesn’t warn. When Israel hits, first your airstrike goes, then your nuclear site, then your commanders. If you complain, next comes your capital, reduced to rubbles.
But this ruthlessness isn’t arbitrary —it’s doctrine. Israel’s entire military strategy is built on two pillars: pre-emption and absolute regional military dominance. That means it never waits for you to be ready. While you’re brushing your teeth in the morning, still fumbling with the toothpaste cap, its missiles are already on the way.
This isn’t hyperbole—it’s history. In the Six-Day War of 1967, Israel’s opening airstrike wiped out 90% of Egypt’s air force before they even got off the ground. Arab capitals were left speechless.
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Unapologetic Terrorism as Founding Principle of the Country
And it doesn’t stop at regular warfare. Israel favours terrorist decapitation strikes. In 1988, Mossad agents crossed the sea into Tunisia and assassinated Abu Jihad, the number two in the PLO (Palestine Liberation Organization), in front of his family. Inflatable boats slipped ashore under moonlight. A few precise shots, and they were gone.
Is this how a country fights wars? Apparently, yes. Because while Israel operates as a state, it has mastered the tactics of a non-state terrorist group.
In fact, its roots run deep in that tradition. Before independence, the Jewish underground—Haganah, Irgun, Lehi—were experts in bombings and assassinations. After 1948, these same men, ruthless terrorists, became the generals, ministers, and architects of the new nation. Israel may be the only modern state founded on terrorist insurgent tactics—and rather than abandon them, it refined them into official state doctrine.
This instinct to strike first is in the country’s DNA. Before 1948, Jewish paramilitary groups operated as true terrorist organizations:
Haganah, founded in 1920, began as a defense union but soon adopted violent tactics alongside extremist offshoots.
In 1931, Irgun (Etzel) split, led by Revisionist Zionist Ze’ev Jabotinsky and later Menachem Begin. They claimed bombings and assassinations were legitimate tools—targeting Arabs, British, even Jewish moderates.
In 1940, Lehi (the Stern Gang) broke away from Irgun. Under leader Avraham Stern, they even flirted with forming alliances with Nazi Germany—seeing terror as divine mandate.
These groups staged some of the most notorious acts of Zionist terror:
The King David Hotel bombing (1946), killing 91 people
The Deir Yassin massacre (1948), where Irgun and Lehi killed over 100 villagers
The assassination of British officials like Lord Moyne
The murder of UN mediator Bernadotte
Numerous bombings in Haifa, Jerusalem, and across Palestine
These weren’t fringe radicals disgraced and condemned worldwide like Osama Bin Laden—they were future prime ministers and state-builders: Menachem Begin (Irgun → Herut → Likud → PM), Yitzhak Shamir (Lehi → PM). Even David Ben-Gurion, from Haganah, oversaw coordinated terror campaigns that would lead to Palestinian displacement. Terror—not principles or ideals—built this nation.
Jun 25 • 6 tweets • 8 min read
The Knife Within: How Iran’s Secular Elite Enabled the June 12 Strike
Below is a rewrite of a video by 阿冉 on Bilibili/YouTube. I strongly advise Chinese to follow him for indepth knowledge of Iran.
In a single night, Israel executed a brutal decapitation strike on Iran’s nuclear elite. Through billowing smoke, the military suffered one blow after another: Commander-in-Chief of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), Hossein Salami; Chief of General Staff, Mohammad Bagheri; Deputy Chief, Ali Rashid — all obliterated. Even top nuclear scientists like Dr. Abbas and Dr. Tranchi were taken out in pinpoint assassinations. Iran’s nuclear command was wiped clean. The Mossad's precision was astonishing. Has Iran been so thoroughly infiltrated that it’s become a sieve? Otherwise, how could Israel have obtained such top-secret intelligence?
Has Iran really been riddled with American and Israeli spies? The answer is "Yes". Without a doubt. In fact, "infiltrated like a sieve" doesn't even begin to describe it. Half of Iran might as well be American or Israeli agents.
The Supreme Leader Khamenei’s granddaughter studies in the U.S. Iran’s top officials use iPhones. Their government emails run on Gmail. If Qassem Soleimani wasn’t assassinated, or Hussein wasn't targeted — that would’ve been the real surprise.
But here’s the twist: it wasn’t the Mossad or the CIA that turned Iran into a sieve. It was Iran itself. To be specific — Iran’s secular elite.
What outsiders see as foreign infiltration is, in fact, internal warfare. And the one who planted the seeds of this civil war? None other than the father of the Islamic Republic himself: Ruhollah Khomeini.
Video is Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. His family controls a business empire of USD 95 billion.
Khomeini. 1979: The Fracture of Revolution
When the 1979 Islamic Revolution broke out, Khomeini, exiled in France, returned to Tehran in triumph.
But with Khomeini’s rise, Iran was torn in two:
On one side, the clerical theocracy, led by Khomeini.
On the other, the secular elite, represented by the leftist Tudeh Party.
During the revolution, the clergy and the leftists were allies. But once victory was secured, Khomeini launched a brutal purge.
The Tudeh Party was decimated, and Khomeini stood alone at the top.
But in doing so, he made a fatal mistake:
By destroying the left, he left behind only right-wing secularists, many of them pro-American.
Worse still, the ferocity of his purge planted a seed of distrust:
“You can’t trust these clerics. Side with them, and you’re next to be eliminated”.
Thus, the secular camp swung hard to the right.
Even with his iron grip, Khomeini lacked one thing — guns.
Revolutions are not built on divine slogans. Power grows from the barrel of a gun (Mao Zedong).
And Iran’s military at the time? Loyal only to the Shah.
Khomeini could command God, but not the army.
Then, in September 1980, Saddam Hussein gave him the perfect excuse:
The Iran-Iraq War.
Under Iraqi fire, Iran’s military rallied behind the clerics.
Khomeini purged the Shah’s officers and built a new force: the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC).
The Shah army's upper leadership was decimated. It was stripped of political power.
The old army was wiped out, and the new one answered only to him.
But the war was catastrophic — over a million dead.
In 1982, Khomeini launched a suicidal “Islamic kamikaze” offensive.
13-year-old boys were handed plastic “keys to paradise” and sent to blow themselves up against Iraqi lines.
Twenty-one thousand children became human bombs.
This was holy war in its most fanatical form.
The video is of Khomeini.
Jun 24 • 7 tweets • 10 min read
Understanding Iran uphill June 12th
The Coup That Failed but Awaits: Mossad’s Strike, the Secular Elite, and Iran’s Stubborn Persian Pride
Iran has long been a paradox — a revolutionary theocracy armored in ideology, yet hollowed out from within by a secular elite. Beneath the surface, pro-Western factions have quietly prepared for a post-Khamenei future, betting that the Supreme Leader’s death would be their moment to seize power.
But Iran is not a country that bends easily. Its identity — forged in Aryan pride, Shia defiance, and imperial memory — has made it difficult for even its closest partners, like China or Russia, to interfere. The pride that once protected it from colonization now risks blinding it at its most fragile moment.
The Persian way of asking for help is peculiar. It goes something like this, “We are the frontline. We're holding the line for you. If we fall, the threat will come straight to your doorstep.”
Sounds like a threat. China doesn't know what to make of it.
Let's sort out the Gordon knot of the Iran society and you will see why it's a place where angel fear to tread.
The first chapter of this Iranian regime was written in November 1979. Fifty-two American diplomats and citizens were taken hostage at the U.S. embassy in Tehran and were held for 444 days before released. As the crowd of students prepared to storm the gates, someone asked Khomeini, “Can we go in? Will America retaliate?” His answer came without hesitation: “America? They won’t dare.”
At that time, Iran had no strong army, no nuclear arsenal, no powerful allies. Just revolutionary momentum. The U.S. tried to respond with Operation Eagle Claw (Not a pun 😃) in 1980. It failed: helicopters crashed, soldiers died, no hostages were rescued. Iran, against all odds, became the David that had humiliated Goliath.
They have done it again this time. 🧵
But forty-five years later, for years leading up to June 12, that revolutionary legacy is unraveling. The revolution’s fervor is fading. A secular, bureaucratic elite — Western-educated, anti-clerical — waits in the wings. The Mossad strike in June 2025 was designed to shatter the balance and cause a coup from within. It failed. But the plan is only dormant, not dead. It bides its time — waiting for Khamenei’s funeral.
Under President Pezeshkian, internet censorship was lifted. Nuclear talks resumed. During the Syria crisis, Iran didn’t intervene for Syria — it backed out. The tiger turned into a cat.
It thought it was a chess master, but Syria changed the board.
Do you know why Israel dared to strike on June 12? Because it thought the response from Iran would be the habitual theatrical symbolic retaliation of no consequence like in the past. But Israel miscalculated. Iran's aggressive response was totally unexpected.
But before June 12, Iran was becoming weaker and weaker.
What caused this shift? Not the people — the problem lies with the elite.
The old aristocracy carries a sickness, rooted in three pathologies: the legacy of Aryan racial superiority, the trauma of colonization, and a spiritual loyalty to Western capitalism. These forces have undermined Iran’s revolutionary spine.
For centuries, Iran was ruled by outsiders—
Arabs, Azerbaijanis, Turkmen.
Each new ruler, a reminder of loss of the glory of the Persian empire.
Iran's Aryan myth runs deep. In 1926, Reza Shah declared, “A pure-blooded Aryan is now king.” Nazi Germany officially classified Iranians as “pure Aryans” in 1936. Even today, traces of this thinking remain in the elite class — disdain for Arabs, suspicion of Turks, contempt for East Asians, even as China defies sanctions to be the sole buyer of Iranian oil. Mocking Chinese or Koreans? They call it humor. But inside that joke lies racial arrogance.
That's why Iran has repeatedly declined to buy Chinese arms and integrated package of aerial defense, saying "We want to be independent. We don't need your help. We can produce on our own”. The Chinese and their products are perceived not to be on par with the Persian Aryans.
This Persian pride comes from their empire memories embodied in their ancient scripture Shahnameh.
The ideological backbone of Iran’s modern theocracy doesn’t rest solely on Islam. It also draws from a much older, deeply ingrained civilizational myth: the Shahnameh — the thousand-year-old Persian epic by Ferdowsi. Though not a religious text, the Shahnameh functions as Iran’s cultural scripture — a Persian Talmud of sorts — recounting the rise and fall of noble kings, heroic resistance against foreign invaders, and a constant struggle to uphold justice. When leaders like Khamenei say “Neither East nor West,” they aren’t speaking only as Shia clerics; they are channeling a Persian worldview that predates Islam — one that sees Iran as an eternal civilization, too proud to submit to Rome, too dignified to follow Moscow, (or God forbid the Upstart China) and too ancient to be colonized by Washington.
Jun 23 • 7 tweets • 6 min read
China is backing Iran in a big way
Without China, Iran would have collapsed.
China Is Iran’s War Chest: A Strategic Lifeline, Not Just Cheap Oil
China has emerged as the primary lifeline for Iran’s government and citizens, shouldering the lion’s share of its crude oil exports—and effectively neutralizing Western sanctions. While some argue China is exploiting a discount, this perspective overlooks the immense strategic and financial risks Beijing is bravely absorbing.
📊 Due to US sanctions, there's no buyer of Iranian oil. So China buys all. China buys ~90 % of Iran’s Oil
• EIA data reveals that, by 2023, nearly 90 % of Iran’s crude oil and condensate exports flowed into China—up sharply from just 25 % in 2017.
• Iran’s total exports rebounded from a low of 0.4 million bpd (barrel per day) in 2020 to ~1.4 million bpd by 2023, with China absorbing most of the growth.
• In March 2025, seaborne exports to China reached a record 1.8 million bpd—up nearly 50 % from 2024 levels.
• In February 2025, shipments surged ~86 %, hitting 1.74 million bpd, according to Kpler.
📅 June 2025: Iranian Oil Exports +23 %—All to China
• Iran’s oil exports have surged 23 % during the current war, all shipped to China, underscoring China’s central role.
• As of early June, Iran was exporting ~1.4–1.5 million bpd to China—even amid tighter U.S. sanctions.
• With most global buyers shut out by sanctions, Iran relies almost entirely on China to export oil—the mainstay of its government revenue.
• In 2022–23, Tehran generated roughly $53–54 billion annually from oil via covert channels.
• China’s “ghost fleet” of tankers, ship-to-ship transfers on the high seas, and relabeling campaigns (e.g. as Malaysian or Emirati origin) have effectively bypassed sanctions.
🛑 The Crushing Cost of Defying Sanctions
Chinese companies violating U.S. sanctions against Iran have faced extremely severe punishment. One of the most high-profile cases was the arrest of Huawei’s CFO, Meng Wanzhou—also the daughter of the company’s founder—who was detained in Canada at the request of the United States and subjected to nearly three years of house arrest before a diplomatic resolution was reached. This incident underlines the intense scrutiny and pressure exerted on entities linked to Iran. In fact, U.S. sanctions against Iran are enforced far more aggressively than those against countries like Russia. The legal, financial, and geopolitical risks that China has absorbed in maintaining oil trade with Iran—and the billions in fines already paid—far outweigh the modest 10–15 % discount it receives. China's continued engagement under such high stakes reflects strategic calculation, not opportunistic profit-seeking.
Jun 22 • 8 tweets • 8 min read
The Hidden Logic Behind the Iran-Israel War: Not Just About Iran—It's About Saving the Dollar
This war isn’t just about Israel trying to bomb Iran. It’s about something far bigger: protecting the U.S. financial system from collapse.
Let’s be clear. Israel doesn’t act alone. It’s been conferring with Wall Street and taking quiet instructions from the Federal Reserve. But this time, Israel miscalculated.
Tel Aviv didn’t expect the scale, speed, or precision of Iran’s retaliation. Neither did Washington. The shock was real. What followed made one thing painfully obvious: Israel can’t handle a long, high-intensity war—not logistically, not militarily, not politically.
Because this was never just Israel’s war.
Israel acts as a militarized outpost for the U.S.-led financial empire. Its role is strategic, but the real beneficiary of this war isn’t just Israel. It’s Wall Street.
The U.S. national debt is over $37 trillion. Interest payments are now the biggest item in the federal budget. Investors are nervous. Who wants to keep buying U.S. Treasuries when the math no longer works?
To keep capital flowing into U.S. bonds, you need to create fear. The world must believe:
- The U.S. is the only safe haven,
- Every other region is one trigger away from chaos,
- And the U.S. military can plunge any competitor into ruin at will.
In the past, often at the moment when the Fed increased the interest rate, a major war breaks out. Purpose of both is to cause capital flight into USD assets.
- In March 2022, the Fed raised rates.
- Days earlier on February 24, Russia moved into Ukraine.
- Panic ensued. Over €400 billion fled into U.S. assets.
- German industry was crushed by energy inflation. Many factories left—some to the U.S., but others to China to the indignation of the US government. That's why Obama accused China of being a "free rider"
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In early 1999, as the euro was freshly launched and gaining traction, the United States and NATO escalated their military intervention in Kosovo. This bombing campaign against Serbia had significant repercussions for European markets. The euro dropped sharply—by nearly 30% against the dollar in the early months of the conflict—while capital rushed into the relative safety of U.S. Treasuries. Although exact figures vary, analysts at the time noted that several hundred billion euros left European markets, seeking refuge in American bonds. This exodus helped reinforce the dollar’s position at a critical moment for the euro’s early credibility.
But even war has limits when Wall Street calls the shots. Israel could have hit Kharg Island, Iran’s oil lifeline—handling nearly 90% of its crude exports. Destroying it would have shattered Iran’s economy. But oil would’ve hit $300 or even $400 a barrel. Inflation would spike worldwide. The Fed would be forced to hike interest rates again, driving U.S. debt servicing into a death spiral. That’s a risk Washington can't afford.
So quietly, behind closed doors, lines were drawn. Targets were chosen with financial risk in mind. Because above all else, Wall Street, the Fed, and the U.S. government have a common priority: protect investor confidence in U.S. bonds.
But that confidence is crumbling.
Jun 21 • 13 tweets • 8 min read
China is already backing Iran in a big way
China Just Gave Iran a Lifeline—Without BeiDou, Iran Might Have Surrendered
Beneath a smoke-filled night sky, an Iranian missile streaked across the darkness and slammed directly into the Israeli Ministry of Defense’s command center. The explosion instantly cut surveillance feeds. Shockwaves rippled through nearby neighborhoods, shaking buildings across several kilometers.
Meanwhile, in a Tehran command room, Iranian technicians monitored a BeiDou navigation terminal as the coordinates updated in real time. The missile hit with surgical precision. On-screen, the hit-probability curve spiked—marking a turning point: Iran had entered the age of precision warfare.
And it owed that breakthrough to China’s BeiDou satellite system.
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I. How BeiDou Took Over the Persian Gulf
In 2021, Iran and China signed a 25-year comprehensive cooperation agreement. Western analysts mostly overlooked a critical clause: Iran’s full access to China’s BeiDou satellite network.
This single line quietly began to shift the power balance in the Middle East.
For years, Iran had been shackled by the invisible restraints of American GPS. Its missiles were vulnerable to signal interference. Its drones could be spoofed or hijacked. With BeiDou, Iran gained full navigation autonomy—guiding missiles and drones independent of Western infrastructure.
The technological leap became a battlefield advantage. With over 6,000 missiles connected to BeiDou, Iran’s accuracy improved to meter-level precision. Its offensive capabilities expanded accordingly.
Take the Hoveyzeh cruise missile: with BeiDou-assisted upgrades, its range now extends to 2,500 kilometers, rivaling the U.S. Tomahawk. Iranian drones also began operating in “intelligent swarm” formations, coordinating through BeiDou’s encrypted signal network to outmaneuver Israeli defenses.
Jun 21 • 7 tweets • 7 min read
Iran’s Fatal Overreliance on Western Tech: How Digital Surveillance Enabled Mossad’s Deadly Strikes on June 12 and before
1. A Preventable Intelligence Catastrophe
Iran’s security apparatus suffered a systemic failure—not due to a lack of warnings, but because of stubborn dependence on Western technology. The recent assassinations of at least ten nuclear scientists (nine in synchronized nighttime strikes, one shortly after) and multiple high-ranking Revolutionary Guard commanders were not just on-site Mossad asset operations; they were the culmination of years of digital espionage exploiting Iran’s technological vulnerabilities.
2. The Kill Chain: How Tracking Worked
Israel’s Unit 8200, its signals intelligence (SIGINT) division, had been monitoring these targets for over a decade, compiling detailed itineraries—homes, workplaces, travel routes, and even bedroom locations. The precision of Operation Namiya (June 2024) relied on a triple-layered surveillance ecosystem:
Apple Devices: Unencrypted iPhones provided real-time GPS tracking. General Soleimani’s 2020 assassination had already proven this vulnerability, yet Iranian officials continued using them.
Google/Microsoft Services: Gmail accounts, cloud backups, and Android devices leaked metadata, revealing behavioral patterns and social graphs.
Telecom Backdoors: Iran’s telecom infrastructure, built on Ericsson (which exited in 2012 under sanctions) and Nokia hardware, remained vulnerable. Huawei and ZTE briefly replaced Western vendors between 2012 and 2016, but by 2018, Iran resumed purchases from European suppliers—a fatal regression.
The most credible reconstruction suggests analysts in Unit 8200 used long-term GPS meter accuracy from the scientists’ iPhones and Android devices—tracking their precise home coordinates down to specific floors and apartments. Those coordinates were then fed directly into precision-guided munitions—drones or missiles—that struck the exact unit, often targeting individual windows. Photographs from Tehran following the attacks show damage consistent with single-apartment strikes, reinforcing reports of “incredible precision” that obliterated only the target’s flat while leaving adjacent units largely intact.
This level of surgical targeting strongly indicates a covert “kill‑chain” where digital tracking enabled pinpoint kinetic strikes—a chilling demonstration of how consumer devices can directly guide lethal weaponry.
Mossad didn’t even need extensive on-the-ground assets. As Edward Snowden revealed in 2013, the NSA—and by extension its partners like Mossad—could extract data from U.S. tech firms via surveillance programs like PRISM. European leaders were similarly targeted (e.g., Angela Merkel’s phone was tapped by U.S. intelligence in 2013). Given the CIA-Mossad intelligence pipeline, Iranian officials were effectively broadcasting their movements.
Jun 20 • 10 tweets • 7 min read
China’s Quiet Presence in the Gulf — Not So Innocent After All
I believe China is quietly preparing for potential involvement in an Israel-Iran war. Not because it wants to be seen as a battlefield superpower—China prefers the image of a builder, a stabilizer, an architect of infrastructure. But when its strategic energy lifelines are threatened, China acts. And this time, it might have no choice.
What will China’s involvement look like? Likely not boots on the ground or flashy aircraft carriers. It will be through the invisible electromagnetic grip on the Persian Gulf. We may be witnessing the quiet rollout of a new war doctrine in action.
President Trump has announced a two-week delay before deciding on U.S. military intervention in Iran. Sound familiar? It mirrors the tactic he used during the TikTok standoff: delay, stall, create uncertainty, nothing is done finally. But this time, China and Russia’s understated joint warning is clear—if the U.S. enters this war, they might not sit idly by.
And unlike Washington, China won’t arrive with fanfare. It will arrive with silence.
That silence is not new.
China has a history of issuing subtle but serious warnings—often ignored at great cost. Before the Korean War, Chinese Premier Zhou Enlai quietly warned U.S. General Douglas MacArthur not to cross the 38th parallel into North Korea. The U.S. dismissed it as an empty threat—and pushed north. In response, China sent in millions of troops, turning the tide of the war.
Likewise, during the Vietnam War, China warned the U.S. not to cross the 17th parallel into North Vietnam. This time, Washington obeyed. That restraint, many argue, contributed to the eventual collapse of American military goals in Vietnam.
It’s a pattern: when China issues a warning, it means business. And today, the signals are once again being sent—quietly.
For years, the U.S. has tried to provoke a proxy war with China—in the Taiwan Strait, the South China Sea, and along the Indian border. The most recent example was the short Indo-Pakistan War, widely seen as a U.S.-backed effort to inflame the region. But China’s rapid weapons dominance and strategic pressure cut the war short in just three days. The result? A message was sent: don’t test Chinese superiority in the region.
In particular, the South China Sea remains stubbornly stable and peaceful despite repeated US proxies' provocations—not because there are no tensions, but because there is only one dominant military power. China has achieved electronic and military supremacy, and no country in the region or the United States dares to challenge it openly. In modern warfare, electronic dominance is no longer theoretical—it means absolute control. Everyone understands what electronic dominance implies in modern warfare.
This is not just about better weapons. It’s about a new form of war.
China’s doctrine isn’t based on brute force. It’s built on electromagnetic integration. A system where sensors, jammers, drones, radars, and command systems all talk to one another, creating an ecosystem of control. A system where you don’t see the missile—because your radar is blind. You don’t hear the fighter—because your comms are jammed. This is full-spectrum invisibility.
The West still prepares for conventional warfare—airstrikes, armored battalions, carrier groups. China prepares for an invisible war. One where aircraft fall from the sky without a single missile fired, their systems overwhelmed by invisible interference.
That’s the essence of modern electronic warfare (EW): dominance over data, signals, and perception.
Iran's New Art of War: Breaking Israeli Morale—Just as Israel Has Tried to Do to Palestinians
What we're seeing between Iran and Israel right now isn't just an exchange of fire—it's a battle of endurance, morale, and ultimately, civilization. And Iran, despite being poorer and more isolated, has started to understand something critical: in modern warfare, it’s not the strongest military that wins. It’s the side that can hold on the longest without breaking.
Recent strikes have shown a clear shift in Iran’s strategy. Israel has so far been targeting military facilities, command posts, and suspected nuclear sites in Iran —standard doctrine. But Iran is doing something different lately. It's not aiming at fighter jets or barracks. Instead, it’s hitting power stations, refineries, water plants, and even wealthy residential buildings. On paper, that sounds random or even irrational. But in practice, it’s devastatingly effective.
This isn’t about scoring tactical victories. It’s about breaking a way of life.
Because Israelis are not Palestinians or Houthis. They are used to a certain standard of comfort: hot showers, air conditioning, stable electricity, peace at night. Remove those things—even temporarily—and you don’t just disrupt logistics; you unravel morale. You create a society where people can’t sleep through the night without sirens, can’t go to work or school because the roads are blocked, can’t cook a meal because the power is out. That’s not just inconvenience. That’s psychological warfare.
Call it the “art of war for the poor.”
Iran doesn’t have fifth-generation fighters or satellite-guided bombs in bulk. It can’t dominate the skies or the seas. But what it does have are thousands of mid-range missiles, often launched from half-destroyed bases, using improvised logistics and patchwork arsenals. And it’s learned to use them with precision—not to destroy armies, but to slowly erode an opponent’s morale.
What makes this strategy so effective is its rhythm. Iran isn't firing everything at once. It’s using small, frequent, multi-wave barrages—like mosquito bites. One or two don’t kill you. But day after day, with no sleep, no rest, no end in sight, even the strongest system starts to break down.
This approach forces Israel to keep its missile defense on high alert around the clock. Systems like Iron Dome and David’s Sling are impressive, but they’re also expensive and finite. Some of these interceptors are produced at a rate of only a few hundred per year. If Iran can force Israel to burn through that stockpile in weeks, it wins—without ever needing to land a single decisive blow.
Iran is not bombing military command centers—it’s hitting the soft underbelly of Israeli society: electricity grids, desalination plants, industrial infrastructure. These targets don’t make sensational headlines like nuclear sites do, but when the power goes out for three days, when there is no clean water, when the school can’t open, the country begins to wobble from within. All the while, there are hardly any civilian deaths.
It’s not that Iran can’t hit military bases. It’s that hitting them doesn’t accomplish much. Israel’s key bases are buried underground, protected by electronic countermeasures, and located in remote desert regions. Even a direct hit might just blow up a decoy or an empty hangar.
So why waste a missile on that?
Instead, Iran aims to make daily life in Israel feel unsafe, uncertain, and unsustainable. And with every civilian apartment struck, the global social media sphere rejoices—inevitably calling it “tit-for-tat,” or affirming “Iran has the right to defend itself.” This chips away at Israel’s moral high ground while giving Iran full moral legitimacy. Iran is the “resister.”
Meanwhile, Iran has begun rolling out newer, smarter missiles. The early waves were intercepted with ease. But now, Iranian rockets are pulling mid-air tricks: dropping altitude, changing speed, adjusting trajectory just before impact—behaviors that confuse radar and overwhelm interceptors. These are not the crude, homemade rockets of the past. Some are hypersonic. Some are decoys. Some fly erratically until the last second.
This is evolution in real time. And it’s working.
At least one missile, according to reports, landed alarmingly close to Netanyahu’s residence. That was a message: “We can reach you. And we’re not bluffing.”
Yes, Israel’s multi-layered missile defense system is still formidable. But even the best defense system runs on inventory. Ten interceptors a day? Fine. But fifty per day, for weeks?
That’s not sustainable.
Then there’s the factor of asymmetric costs. Iran’s genius lies in mixing cheap or fake missiles with real, effective ones: spending tens of thousands of dollars per missile to force Israel to spend millions. Israel can't intercept fake missiles with fake anti-missiles. Over time, this imbalance becomes fatal. And once you add cyberattacks that cause Israeli interceptors to misfire, drone swarms, and electronic jamming into the mix, the pressure multiplies.
Israel’s intercept rate has reportedly dropped from over 90% to as low as 60% in some areas. In a few cities, the system has broken down entirely. Not because it doesn’t work—but because it’s being overworked.
That’s when desperation sets in.
Now we’re hearing Israeli leaders threaten “indiscriminate retaliation” against Iranian civilian infrastructure. This is a clear sign of frustration—because their systems, their budgets, and their political capital are all wearing thin.
This war is no longer about military prowess. It’s about endurance.
Who collapses first?
Who runs out of missiles, spare parts, money, allies—or public support?
For Iran, this isn’t a war it needs to win. It only needs to hold on and not give in too soon. If it does, the country will melt down: its nuclear facilities, its military bases, even its regime stability will be gone entirely.
But Israel also can’t be allowed to lose. Not when the United States is watching. Not when the collapse of Tel Aviv could trigger a chain reaction in Taiwan or elsewhere, declaring the demise of U.S. hegemony.
That’s why this isn’t just a regional conflict. It’s part of a global test of nerves.
Missiles are just the opening act.
What follows is a contest of governance:
Can you keep your economy running under siege?
Can you control the narrative when your streets go dark?
Can you convince your people that hardship is worth enduring—for weeks, or months, or longer?
Iran is betting that the real war isn’t fought in the air—but in the living room, in the cold shower, in the silence of a night broken by sirens. It’s waging war on Israel’s sense of normalcy, on its faith in continuity, on its post-Holocaust promise of "never again"—not through genocide, but through constant, grinding, everyday anxiety.
And it’s important to say this plainly: Iran didn’t invent this form of warfare. It learned it—from Israel.
For decades, Israel has deployed this exact same strategy against Gaza. It has bombed civilian infrastructure: power stations, water treatment plants, schools, hospitals. It has cut electricity, destroyed desalination facilities, and deprived millions of Palestinians of clean water—all with the stated aim of “deterring” Hamas, but with the real consequence of breaking the morale of an entire population. This is psychological warfare—engineered deprivation and permanent crisis meant to destroy the Palestinians’ will to resist.
Jun 17 • 9 tweets • 10 min read
Will China Back Iran? The Answer Is Most Likely Yes — China is already doing it
— But Not Without a Cost
When Israeli missiles pierced the skies over Tehran in the early hours of June 12th, obliterating the Revolutionary Guard’s command center in a precision strike, Iran found itself stripped of illusions. And when it turned for help, it didn’t call Moscow. It reached for two phone lines: Beijing and Islamabad.
Within hours, Iran’s foreign minister was on the phone with China’s minister of Foreign Affairs Wang Yi. Soon after, Pakistan declared its support, and military aircraft were spotted entering Iranian airspace. The symbolism was stark: when the Islamic Republic felt existential threat, it turned to the East.
So — will China back Iran?
The answer is: most probably yes—and in some ways, it’s already happening. Iran’s recent missile strikes have become notably more precise, largely due to China granting it access to the Advanced BeiDou satellite navigation system. If Pakistan is visibly supporting Iran, it’s unlikely to be acting alone. China supplies most of Pakistan’s military hardware, and its logistical and technical backing is essential to any sustained Pakistani operation.
But before looking forward, we must first understand how strained the China–Iran relationship had become.
China’s support for Iran doesn’t stem from alliance, affinity, or ideological kinship. It’s not about brotherhood. Xi Jinping, as China’s leader and a figure of influence in the Global South, may personally see Israel’s actions as crossing fundamental lines of basic human decency—but that’s not the driving force here. China’s position is shaped by strategic consideration: energy security, the energy corridor, and the broader logic of the Belt and Road Initiative. Supporting Iran, for China, is not sentimental. It’s pragmatic—a rational stance toward a country that sits on a key geopolitical fault line of Eurasian infrastructure.
A Marriage of Convenience, Not Conviction
Recently China and Iran's relationship has been estranged. It wasn’t always this frosty. Back in 2021, China and Iran signed a sweeping 25-year strategic cooperation agreement worth about $400 billion — spanning energy, ports, finance, and even military training. It was hailed as Tehran’s pivot to the East, an exit ramp from sanctions and isolation. For a brief moment, it looked like Iran had chosen the China-Russia bloc.
But the ink had barely dried before Tehran’s behavior grew erratic. Projects were shelved, port cooperation at Chabahar stalled, solar equipment was seized by the IRGC, and in a twist that felt like a deliberate snub, Iran leased the same port to India — even as India was cozying up to the U.S. and preparing for confrontation with Pakistan.
Worse, just as India and Pakistan were on the brink of war, Iran signed a full-spectrum strategic agreement with New Delhi. No pretense of neutrality — just opportunism. Wherever the wind blew, Iran tilted. Its foreign policy became a study in hedging: foot in the East, heart in the West, eyes on the next buyer.
Anti-Americanism for Sale
What Iran seemed to have discovered was that, in a world divided by a U.S.–China cold war, its anti-American posture had value. Tehran’s liberals — the Western-leaning elite — saw an opportunity. While denouncing the China deal as a national sellout, they also tried to use their anti-U.S. position as a bargaining chip with China. The logic: “We’re useful to you — pay up.”
But here’s the contradiction: while posturing against the U.S., Tehran was simultaneously trying to mend ties with Washington and Europe, hoping to ease sanctions and attract Western investment. In effect, Iran tried to monetize its anti-Americanism while flirting with the West — a contradictory strategy that neither Washington nor Beijing found trustworthy.
China didn’t slam the door — it simply pulled away the table. The grand $400 billion plan was quietly frozen. In Beijing, Iran’s flip-flopping became a case study in “how not to do diplomacy.”
June 12: The Return of the Prodigal Ally
Then came Israel's deadly all-out strike. And suddenly, Tehran remembered its friends. But the most telling moment wasn’t the attack itself — it was who Tehran called first. It wasn't America, Europe, Russia. It wasn’t even the Arab world.
It was China. And Pakistan.
Not so long ago, Iran openly expressed support for India during its war with Pakistan. It was a clear signal of distance — Tehran did not want to be seen as a close ally of China, let alone as part of the China-Pakistan strategic axis.
That is the irony. For all the posturing, when the Iranian government feared collapse, its instincts turned East. Islamabad — despite having been previously humiliated by Iranian moves toward India — responded swiftly, signaling military readiness. Fighter jets entered Iranian skies.
So if Pakistan is backing Iran, then yes — China definitely is too. Not because of love, but because of necessity. Geography doesn’t lie. Iran sits at the crossroads of Eurasia, the vital node linking the China–Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) to the Persian Gulf, and ultimately, to Europe. If Iran falls, the entire southern flank of the Belt and Road unravels.
The Belt and Road is the revival of the vast commercial empire that China once was. It’s the global common ring of prosperity that China is trying to build.
Iran is key to the Belt Road initiative. If Iran falls, the Middle East will become the sole playground of US and Israel.
The Domino Risk
The nightmare scenario? A collapsed Iran triggering a domino effect: Israel follows up with strikes on Hezbollah and the Houthis; Syria descends further into chaos; U.S. fleets return to the Persian Gulf; Saudi and the UAE flip fully West; India uses the vacuum to advance its IMEC corridor, bypassing Pakistan altogether.
And suddenly, China’s entire energy lifeline — its access to the Middle East, Africa, and Europe — is choked off.
That’s not conspiracy. It’s a scenario already modeled by U.S. think tanks and put into action.
Russia is bogged down in Ukraine. If Iran becomes the second domino to fall, China finds itself the last wall standing — alone.
Given the geopolitical reality, China has little choice but to back Iran—if it wants to avoid being strangled by the tightening grip of the U.S. chokehold.
Why China Remains Cautious
But Beijing hasn’t forgotten Iran’s pattern of betrayal.
Despite years of diplomatic lip service, the 25-year agreement has gone nowhere. RMB settlements still lag below 40%, compared to over 90% with Russia. Military deals? Tehran went shopping in Moscow instead — buying Su-35s and S-300s, deliberately sidelining Chinese defense industries.
China doesn’t forget humiliation. Nor does it reward unpredictability.
The Problem Isn’t the Foreign Ministry — It’s the Regime
At the heart of the issue isn’t Iran’s diplomats. It’s Iran’s system. A theocracy cloaked in revolutionary nostalgia, still run by a clergy with Cold War instincts and no consistent foreign policy line.
While Hezbollah and Hamas bleed on the front lines, Tehran dithers. While others die, it negotiates. While the region burns, it whispers to the Americans — "ease sanctions."
That’s why even China keeps a cold distance. It’s not that Tehran doesn’t resist the West — it’s that it resists consistency.
And even more damning: the Iranian people themselves are no longer believers in the system. They wear Zara, stream Western music, protest in the streets, and — in a bitter twist — some even held signs thanking Israel the day of the attack. The regime is losing its base.
What China Wants from Iran
China doesn’t need a “wolf warrior” ally in the Gulf. It needs a bridge.
Jun 13 • 14 tweets • 4 min read
🧵A plausible conjecture on what caused the AI171 catastrophe: How Boeing’s Dreamliner became a nightmare due to algorithm failure. (1/12)
On June 12, 2025, Air India Flight AI171 crashed minutes after takeoff from Ahmedabad.
It slammed into a medical college hostel.
241 lives were lost.
Over two dozen more died on the ground.
This was the first fatal crash of a Boeing 787 Dreamliner.
#AI171 #BoeingCrisis
2/12
Initial theories blamed pilot error.
But video footage tells a different story.
The plane had engine power. It had basic control.
But it couldn’t climb. It simply staggered into the air, then fell.
This wasn’t a human mistake.
It was a system failure.
#AirIndiaCrash #Boeing787
Jun 11 • 11 tweets • 2 min read
America's rare earth impasse:
Why America’s rare earth dream keeps collapsing—and why real independence is near impossible. 🧶
Post 1/10
The U.S. rare earth problem isn’t just mining. It’s digestion. Rare earth ore is like a whole chicken: the US only wants the 0.01% “claws” (rare earths), but the other 99.99%—iron, thorium, etc.—is valuable byproduct the US can’t use.
#RareEarths #SupplyChain
Jun 10 • 17 tweets • 3 min read
China's sixth generation stealth fighter J-36 isn’t just a new jet. It’s a geopolitical earthquake.
China isn’t trying to fight the U.S. directly. It’s building weapons the U.S. can’t match—and letting the global order shift on its own. 🧵
1. U.S. global power has always rested on one thing: air dominance.
From Iraq to Yugoslavia, America didn’t win wars by outnumbering enemies — it won by owning the sky.
Jun 4 • 7 tweets • 16 min read
On the so-called #TiananmenMassacre - a must read
June 4th: Memory, Manipulation, and Misunderstanding
Every year on June 4th, Western media ritually recycles the phrase “Tiananmen Square Massacre” — a phrase loaded with assumptions, distortions, and outright misinformation. But how many of us have actually stopped to ask: What really happened that night? [4]
Let’s begin with the most basic fact: there was no massacre in Tiananmen Square itself.[6]
That’s not a claim — it’s documented. Even James R. Lilley, the U.S. Ambassador to China at the time (and later confirmed in Ambassador James Lilley’s internal cables), reported that the students had vacated the square peacefully by dawn. One of the last people to leave the square was Liu Xiaobo, the infamous Nobel Prized Chinese dissident who openly stated that he and others were prepared to die — but they were allowed to leave unharmed. No one has produced a single verifiable photo or video showing a massacre on the square itself. [7] [9]
By the way, credit where it's due: Liu Xiaobo's sincerity was never in question. He was no opportunist. He genuinely believed that Western colonization would benefit China, and he was willing to sacrifice himself for that ideal. His wish came true — he went to prison, and his health deteriorated behind bars. Meanwhile, the opportunistic student leaders of 1989 took a different path: many ended up at Ivy League schools, with some eventually working on Wall Street — one even for Warren Buffett. For saying exactly what the West wanted to hear, Liu was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize — a prize that, more often than not, goes to those whose actions …ensure the world spirals into chaos rather than peace.
So where did the violence happen? In the western outskirts of Beijing, in areas like Muxidi and Liubukou. Violent confrontations erupted between armed protesters and PLA soldiers. Buses were burned, soldiers were lynched and some were set on fire. Reports from both Chinese and Western sources estimate the total number of deaths between 200 and 300, including soldiers killed by the mob. These were real tragedies — but far from the deliberate, one-sided “massacre” myth spread by Western headlines. [12]
Even now, the Chinese government doesn’t glorify its handling of the event. It quietly refers to it as the “June Fourth Political Incident” (六四政治风波)— not to suppress memory, but to avoid the kind of ideological hysteria that continues to define the Western narrative around 1989. [14]
Yes, the student protests began with legitimate grievances: inflation, corruption, lack of political transparency. But what began as genuine dissent was quickly hijacked — by western media theatrics, by foreign agent saboteurs, and by opportunists who wanted chaos. One of the most prominent student leaders, Chai Ling (柴玲), stated in an interview that only through bloodshed could China truly change. That is not the voice of peaceful protest — that is the logic of regime change. [16]
With the benefit of hindsight, the Chinese state’s response was measured, if not restrained, and fully proportionate and justified. It avoided civil war. It prevented a Yugoslavia-style disintegration. And unlike the countries devastated by color revolutions, China moved forward — not backward.
Today’s China, for all its flaws, has lifted hundreds of millions out of poverty, built world-class infrastructure, and remains politically stable in a chaotic world. That didn’t happen in spite of June 4th — but arguably, because the chaos was contained.
History will judge. But history must be based on facts, not mythology. (Continued)
June 4th: Between Reform and Collapse — Understanding the Context of 1989
To truly understand the events of June 4th, 1989, one must go beyond the square and examine the deeper economic, social, and international context. The student movement did not erupt in a vacuum. It emerged at a pivotal moment, as China stood at a crossroads: between socialism and market reform, between national survival and potential disintegration.
The original motivation behind the student protests was not to overthrow the state — it was to protest against corruption and inflation, two consequences of China’s early market reforms. Much like the gilets jaunes in France decades later, Chinese students and citizens were reacting to the unbearable cost of living (la vie chère) and a sense that the fruits of reform were being captured by a small, privileged elite.
What many forget is that China in 1989 was in the midst of an unprecedented economic experiment. Unlike the Soviet Union, which embraced abrupt “shock therapy” — a full-speed transition to neoliberal capitalism — China chose a gradual, pragmatic approach. The dual-track pricing system was the centerpiece of this policy.
Under this system, state-owned enterprises (SOEs) and citizens received price-controlled quotas for essential goods and services. Anything beyond that quota had to be purchased at market price. This created a parallel economy: one part socialist, one part capitalist. But it also opened the door to corruption. Officials with privileged access to controlled-price goods began reselling them at market rates, profiting off the gap. This “gray market” economy created deep social resentment and a widening wealth gap.
The students were not wrong to protest against corruption. But neither was the state wrong to recognize the extreme fragility of the transition.
In the background loomed the shadow of the Soviet Union — which by 1989 was already spiraling toward collapse. Gorbachev’s reforms had failed to stabilize the economy. The sudden opening of the Russian market led to the destruction of savings, the disintegration of pensions, and the loss of employment for millions. The ruble became worthless. Oligarchs, often with Western backing, seized state assets at bargain prices. Wall Street firms bought up massive swathes of Russia’s industrial base — according to some accounts, for less than $100 million total, thanks to the ruble’s collapse.
And what was the social result? A 10-year drop in life expectancy. Child prostitution in major cities. Public sector workers unpaid for months. Entire regions left without functioning institutions. Russia’s “transition” was not a success — it was a social catastrophe, and one from which the country still bears scars.
Had the Chinese government in 1989 followed the Western script — dismantling the Party, privatizing state assets overnight, and “democratizing” in the abstract — China might well have met the same fate. The unity of the country could have fractured. Tens of millions could have been plunged into destitution. Instead, the government chose stability over chaos. Reform continued, but on China’s own terms.
June 4th in Western Media: A Ritual of Loss and Projection
Every year, on June 4th, the Western press engages in what can only be described as a ritualized mourning — not for victims, but for a failed regime change operation. The so-called “Tiananmen Square Massacre” has become a mythologized symbol of “freedom crushed,” when in fact, it marks the collapse of a color revolution attempt that failed to break China.
Let’s be clear: there was no massacre in Tiananmen Square. But there was a geopolitical failure — a missed opportunity, in the eyes of the West. Imagine if the student leaders had succeeded in toppling the Communist Party of China in 1989. The consequences would have been catastrophic for the nation: (continued)
Jun 2 • 7 tweets • 8 min read
Western civilization hasn't been a good force for China. It knocked open China's door by two opium wars.
The opium trade imposed on China by the British Empire in the 19th century had catastrophic consequences for the Chinese people. Following two aggressive military interventions—the First Opium War (1839–1842) and the Second Opium War (1856–1860)—Britain forcibly opened China's markets to foreign goods, including Indian-grown opium, and compelled the Qing government to legalize a trade it had desperately tried to suppress.
The impact on China was devastating. By the late 19th century, up to one-tenth of China’s population was addicted to opium, with addiction rampant across all social classes. This mass dependency sapped the strength of the population, corroded families and communities, and led to widespread social and economic decay. The Qing state, already struggling with internal rebellions and administrative corruption, was further weakened by the loss of silver reserves and a growing foreign presence.
For the British Empire, however, the opium trade was extremely lucrative. At its height, it accounted for between one-sixth to one-third of imperial revenue, serving as a cornerstone of Britain's colonial economy. The trade was orchestrated primarily through the British East India Company, which produced opium in India and sold it in China in exchange for silver and goods like tea and porcelain.
The United States also benefited indirectly from the opium trade. Prominent trading families—such as the Forbes and Delano clans—amassed vast fortunes through opium smuggling into China, a trade that brought immense suffering to the Chinese people. These profits were funneled into American banks, railroads, and manufacturing, playing a key role in early U.S. industrialization. Many East Coast fortunes later romanticized by writers like Edith Wharton had roots in this illicit commerce, and institutions such as the Ivy League were created and funded, in part, by opium-derived wealth—an often-overlooked legacy of America's rise.
In short, the opium trade represents a profound injustice in modern history: a forced, predatory commerce that enriched imperial powers while inflicting addiction, humiliation, and long-lasting damage on China.
The opium trade not only enriched British and American elites—it also created colossal fortunes for powerful merchant families like the Sassoons, a Jewish family originally from Baghdad. Fleeing persecution in the Ottoman Empire, David Sassoon settled in Bombay (now Mumbai) in the early 19th century and soon became one of the most influential figures in the opium trade between British India and Qing China. Leveraging his connections with the British East India Company and support from the British colonial authorities, Sassoon built a commercial empire by exporting Indian opium to China through coastal hubs like Shanghai, Canton (Guangzhou), and Hong Kong.
The Sassoons established “Sassoon Sons & Co.”, which dominated the opium supply chain. Their operations included opium processing in India, maritime transport, distribution through networks of Chinese intermediaries, and direct sale in treaty ports forcibly opened by British gunboat diplomacy. By the mid-19th century, the family was referred to as the "Rothschilds of the East" due to the staggering scale of their wealth and influence.
Their fortune—estimated in today’s terms to be in the tens of billions of dollars—was intricately linked with the British establishment. The Sassoons were knighted by the British Crown, and married into aristocratic/royal and banking families in Britain. Their descendants sat in Parliament, became British peers, and helped shape imperial policy in Asia. The Sassoons also played a pivotal role in the founding of HSBC (The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation) in 1865. HSBC was established explicitly to manage the large volumes of trade—legal and illicit—flowing between Britain, India, and China. Initially, much of this commerce revolved around the opium trade, and the Sassoons’ capital and trade networks were integral to HSBC’s early success.
HSBC would go on to become one of the largest financial institutions in the world, but its origins were rooted in the drug Tmtrade that devastated China. The opium imported by British and allied merchant families like the Sassoons left a legacy of addiction, social collapse, and economic subjugation. By the late 19th century, as much as one-tenth of the Chinese population was addicted to opium, crippling productivity, draining national silver reserves, and weakening the Qing dynasty in the face of foreign incursions and internal rebellions.
In sum, the Sassoon family's rise from persecuted refugees to global financiers was made possible by their central role in one of history’s most exploitative trades. The wealth they helped generate powered banks like HSBC, supported the British Empire, and helped build elite institutions in the West—at the direct expense of China’s sovereignty, health, and social cohesion.
May 30 • 22 tweets • 3 min read
A thread:
How France's Rafale was downed
- not in a dogfight, but by an invisible digital kill chain. It wasn’t the missile or the jet that mattered most. It was China’s networked warfare. Here’s how the ambush unfolded:
1/ System A: A Chinese over-the-horizon radar picks up the Rafale’s takeoff from an Indian airbase. Within seconds, its location, altitude, and vector are calculated and shared.
Aug 11, 2024 • 7 tweets • 15 min read
Stigmatized for decades. Who framed the 23 Chinese swimmers who tested positive in January 2021?
Chen Wei Hua warned in his recent post that an informed source told him that the US was trying to plant evidence and frame Chinese athletes in an inextricable doping scandal during the Paris Olympics. I think they have been at it for quite a while. Sun Yang was framed in 2018, sentenced to an 8-year ban (later reduced to 4 years) for "violent resistance to drug testing."
Given the all-out concerted offensive against Chinese top swimmers involving the NYT/Western MSM, USADA, US Congress, Phelps, Western athletes and coaches, FBI, it's not inconceivable that the US orchestrated the "doping scandal".
Since 1999, China's Central Sports Bureau has published laws of zero tolerance for doping. In 2000, the Chinese government spent millions of USD to have all athletes tested for doping before the Sydney Olympics, and China voluntarily banned athletes who tested positive from the Sydney Olympics and all competitions for life.
The message from the Chinese government was very clear to the athletes. China's self-imposed anti-doping punishment is the lifetime exclusion of the athlete from all competitions. The Chinese government's slogan was "Better to kill a thousand wrongly than to let one go (idiom)" (宁可错杀一千,也绝不放个一个), meaning that it is better to err on the side of caution than to let one go unpunished.
The Chinese government wants a clean record.
Any athlete caught doping will not only end his sports career in disgrace, but will also face social death for tarnishing the reputation of Chinese athletes.
In 2021, China's anti-doping law was further strengthened to include criminal punishment. Those found guilty could face up to three years in prison.
Chinese athletes are urged to win medals for the glory of China. Doping, once discovered, destroys China's reputation. China and the Chinese people, as a face-loving country and people, with a strong sense of honor, don't play with doping. This is something that the U.S. and the West don't understand. They shamelessly play around the anti-doping rules with the so-called therapeutic use exemption and exploit all kinds of loopholes to get away with doping.
With the voluntary cooperation of China and especially CHINADA, Chinese athletes are subjected to the most frequent draconian tests and have reported the least positive results, as shown in the statistics of WADA. In 2022, nearly 20,000 tests were conducted on Chinese athletes and only 38 results were positive and most of them are NO FAUT cases.
Moreover, China has hardly any athletes who receive exemptions from WADA to be able to dope legally on therapeutic grounds.
We can say that since 2000, doping has become extremely rare from China's sports landscape. The reward is not worth the risk. China wants to become a sports superpower, but a clean one, not tainted by doping scandals.
How do you implicate China in doping scandals when China is squeaky clean? No problem, nobody knows how to do it better than Uncle Sam.
Let's come back to the incident of the 23 swimmers who mysteriously tested positive under impossible circumstances (not exactly positive results, but rather alternating between negative and positive).
Remember, this happened in January 2021. Several years ago.
Between December 2020 and January 2021, in the city of Shijiazhuang, China held national warm-up swimming competitions in preparation for the Tokyo Olympics, to take place in July-August 2021. The competition was a selection process and also served the purpose of providing the Chinese Swimming Management with an authentic, objective assessment of the athletes' performance capabilities, their weaknesses, their room for improvement, their strengths to be enhanced and leveraged etc. Objective feedback is crucial for the management to adjust their training strategy. So the swimming management had no motive to dope the athletes. The order can't come from the above, especially given the zero tolerance policy towards doping in China.
A total of 39 athletes participated in this competition. CHINADA drug tested all 39 swimmers and all athletes were fully aware that they would be tested daily from day one. The results of one day's testing were surprising: 23 of the 39 athletes tested positive for trimetazidine. The common denominator among those 23 athletes? They were all staying at the same hotel, and they all took their meals provided by the hotel kitchen.
Trimetazidine is a prescription medication for heart disease. It is one of the most popular stimulants because it helps athletes build strength and endurance. It also has the advantage of being broken down and excreted from the human body quickly and undetectably. Needless to say, this substance is banned by the World Anti-Doping Agency (WADA).
The police immediately got involved and investigated. Based on the investigation report, the Chinese sports authorities stated that traces of trimetazidine had been found in the kitchen of the hotel where the athletes were staying. The food had been contaminated and the athletes had unknowingly ingested traces of the banned substance. FINA (Fédération Internationale de Natation) and WADA accepted this conclusion after conducting their own thorough investigation.
In accordance with WADA rules, it was agreed that this incident would not be made public and WADA confirmed that the incident would not affect the team's participation in the Tokyo 2021 Olympic Games. The world's most authoritative anti-doping organization gave its approval, and you would think that would be the end of the matter.
But the USA didn't want to let the incident go. Especially after the Chinese swimmers won three gold medals at the Tokyo Olympics.
There's a general Anglo-Saxon/Western frenzy and panic over the alarming winning momentum of the Chinese swimming team in what has been a white, especially Anglo-Saxon, monopolized field. China's swimming team won 12 medals at the Tokyo Olympics and 10 at the Paris Olympics, including one by Pan Zhanle, who broke the world record in the men's 100-meter freestyle. China did this without doping, to the disbelief of the world.
If they let China's winning streak develop, in a few years swimming will become the new ping pong, a sport where China has dominated and monopolized all the gold medals for decades since the 1980s.
The U.S. government has apparently drawn up a plan of action, deploying an all-out offensive to nip the trend in the bud in order to prevent the swimming competition from becoming the new ping-pong for China. It was a highly coordinated all-out campaign involving law, government, media, USADA, FBI, CIA assets network in China. It's equivalent to a 360 degree no dead corner military on slaught from the air, the sea, the land code named "Project XXX".(I leave it to your imagination to come up with the code name in the comments).
Aug 2, 2024 • 10 tweets • 15 min read
#OlympicGames
World Anti-Doping Agency (WADA), an agency set up for the sole purpose to enable the massive doping of the US/Western athletes and to forbid Chinese/Russian athletes to compete in the name of anti- doping.
The USA Swimming Team is also known as the “USA Asthma Team”.
The Swedish Ski Team is also known as the "Swedish Asthma Team".
The USA Gymnastics team is also known as “USA ADHD Team” (ADHD=Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder)
The Australian swimming team is also known as the "Australian Insomnia Team".
I am not making this up. If you check, you will find that they are all "patients" who need to take hormone medicine at the strict order of the doctors all year round.
Yes, you have heard it right, they all legally dope themselves by doctors’ order. The World Anti-Doping Agency allows them to take drugs while winning gold medals in the Olympics and World Championships without batting an eyelid.
What does "legally dope by order" mean? The World Anti-Doping Agency has an "exemption list". Because athletes often have injuries and injuries need treatment, WADA has set up a rule: "If the medicine needed for treatment contains stimulants, you can report it to WADA. Once you get WADA's approval, you can legally use drugs containing stimulants."
In order to "protect the privacy of athletes", athletes' applications will not be made public. As a result, this has opened the door for many athletes to legally dope themselves under [doctor's] orders.
For example, salbutamol, which is used to treat asthma, has the same effect as clenbuterol. Symbicort, a drug used to treat asthma, contains steroid hormones. Methylphenidate, which is used to treat ADHD, can help people concentrate. American legendary gymnastics star Simone Biles appears to have the medical need to take methylphenidate for years to treat her ADHD.
In 2016, the Russian hacker group "Magic Bear" hacked into the WADA database and found that in 2015 alone, 653 American athletes applied for "immunity," of which 402 were granted, an approval rate of over 60%. In contrast, the number of Russian athletes is similar to that of the United States, but only 54 people applied for immunity, and the approval rate was only 37%. As for Chinese athletes, only a single digit number of them were granted immunity.
An American athlete can dope with whatever drug he fancies, he only needs to obtain a permit from WADA who usually grants to American athletes.
Russia published on its official website the correspondence between US sports officials and Dr. Matthew Fedoruk, head of the US Anti-Doping Agency (USADA), showing that USADA had helped US athletes use banned drugs with the pretext of medical exemptions. A total of more than 200 US athletes received medical exemptions through USADA. In 2015 alone, the anti-doping agency issued 583 doping permits, and many athletes used more than one drug. Among them, synthetic steroids that promote muscle growth, diuretics commonly used for rapid weight loss and to cover up traces of other drugs. The above are all drugs that are strictly prohibited on the WADA's Anti-Doping List. Cycling, athletics, triathlon, swimming and skiing are the five sports which received the most medical exemption applications. Not surprisingly, these sports are the hardest hit by doping in competitions.
According to confidential files released by Russian hackers, WADA allowed American tennis players the Williams sisters to take banned drugs for the purpose of medical treatment at multiple different times.
Former world No. 1 tennis player Serena Williams was allowed to take drugs containing oxycodone, hydromorphone, prednisone, and methylprednisolone in 2010, 2014, and 2015, while her sister Venus Williams was allowed to take drugs containing prednisolone, triamcinolone, and formoterol in 2010, 2011, 2012, and 2013. However, the documents did not reveal the medical certificates which justified their taking of the banned drugs.
American gymnast Simone Biles, though tested positive for methylphenidate in August 2016, was not suspended and won four gold medals at the Rio Olympics. She was also allowed to take amphetamines in 2012, 2013 and 2014.
The World Anti-Doping Agency (WADA) was established in Switzerland in 1991. WADA seems to be neutral, as it is funded by governments around the world and supervised by the Olympic Committee, but in reality the United States is its largest financial contributor.
US Senator John Thune revealed that the World Anti-Doping Agency, as a non-governmental organization, has been receiving financial support ($3.7 million a year) from the US government for the past decade. He threatened to withdraw the financial support if WADA continues to remain lenient towards China. How come WADA still hasn't disqualified China altogether through doping scandal as it has disqualified Russia?
Doping has always existed in sports competitions, At first, athletes turned to undetectable substances to dodge the rules. Traditional stimulants could be caught, but anything new produced by [bio]technology slipped under the radar.
In fact, that was a barbaric and crude practice in the early days. The really sophisticated thing to do is to set up an "anti-doping organization", secretly provide financial support, act as both a referee and an athlete, make the rules, and make sure that the organizer, co-organizer, witness, and referee are all my people in my pocket taking orders from me. How are you supposed to challenge me if I'm the absolute anti-doping authority?
Competitive sports have always been plagued by doping scandals. Because winning is a display of national power. Just look at how winning athletes have their national flags raised and anthems played at the Olympics. As former US President Kennedy put it, a country's strength is measured by its nuclear arsenal and Olympic gold medals.
Hitler intended to use the 1936 Berlin Olympics as a platform to promote his Aryan superiority ideology. He saw the Olympics as a stage to showcase the supposed physical and cultural supremacy of the German people, whom they considered to be the purest representatives of the Aryan race.
They took extensive measures to present a carefully curated image of Aryan perfection, from the selection of athletes to the architectural design of the Olympic venues. However, supposedly the presence of black American athletes like Jesse Owens, who won four gold medals, challenged this narrative and undermined Hitler's ideology.
Like Hitler, the United States has been eager to utilize sports and its “democratic"” athletes as a way to showcase the American dominance.
The history of sports competitions in the Western world is essentially a history of drug abuse. In 1904, something bizarre happened during the marathon at the St. Louis Olympics in the United States: American runner Thomas Hicks pushed himself to the limit on the track, while his coach Charles Lucas trailed behind him with a syringe. When he noticed that Hicks was struggling, the coach promptly administered an injection of "strychnine", also known as rat poison, which was a popular stimulant at the time.
Hicks won the final championship, but fell down at the finish line exhausted . It took four doctors and a full hour to get him back up and off the field. This gold medal won by doping was not only effective, but the official report afterwards even praised it: "The marathon race fully proves from a medical perspective how important drugs are for long-distance runners!"
The United States is the originator of doping and the hardest hit country by doping. Many sports stars are literally drug addicts. Carl Lewis, the legendary sprinter and winner of nine Olympic gold medals, admitted to taking drugs. Marion Jones, the queen of track and field, admitted to doping in court.
Jan 28, 2024 • 7 tweets • 12 min read
The deep tragedy of Britain's Hinkley C nuclear project. Financial Times announces the project will be delayed by several years (2031 against the initial 2017) and the cost will balloon to £46 billion against the original £18 billion.
Forget the Dr K incident and focus on the more newsworthy tragedy of UK's nuclear fiasco.
If the British really want to build top notch nuclear power stations with the most advanced technology and the best safety standards in a viable, cost-effective way, they need to turn to the Sino-French consortium EDF-CGN. It's this consortium that has successfully built and operated the third-generation EPR, the most technologically advanced nuclear reactor in the world.
Do you know why the French nuclear company EDF has formed an alliance with the Chinese nuclear company CGN? It's because the nuclear plants that China and EDF have built together have been incredibly successful. Such a level of combined commercial and operational success has never been achieved in the world, not even in France. The French taught China how to build nuclear power plants, and the Chinese quickly learned and innovated.
The first nuclear power plant built in China with French assistance was the Daya Bay nuclear power plant. Completed in the 1990s, this collaboration between China and EDF marked a significant milestone in nuclear technology transfer. The plant was completed within budget (USD 8-10 billion) and on time (8-10 years). In addition, the construction costs were recovered within 4-5 years. After that, the plant ran on pure profit. Nuclear plants like this became cash cows for China.
The success of Daya Bay paved the way for further cooperation and laid the foundation for subsequent joint nuclear projects between the two nations. Recognising the highly profitable nature of such nuclear plants, the French wanted a stake in the projects rather than just providing a vendor credit line. France now has a 30% stake in the Guangdong Taishan nuclear power plant.
The third-generation EPR (European Pressurised Reactor) power plant, built in China by the China-France joint venture, is best represented by the Taishan nuclear power plant. Taishan houses two EPR reactors and has achieved the distinction of being the only successfully operating EPR 3.0 plant in the world.
This project represents the culmination of joint efforts, with France providing the EPR technology and China demonstrating its ability to successfully implement and operate this advanced nuclear technology. The Taishan nuclear power plant became operational in 2018, marking a significant achievement in the global nuclear energy landscape and highlighting the successful synergy between Chinese innovation and French expertise.
France has not been so lucky with its two other nuclear projects using third-generation EPR technology.
The other two third-generation EPR nuclear power plant projects France’s EDF has been building is the Flamanville nuclear power plant in France and the Olkiluoto nuclear power plant in Finland.
1. The Flamanville project has faced several challenges, including construction delays and cost overruns. Originally scheduled to be operational in 2012, the completion date has been postponed several times, and the plant is not yet fully operational today. Technical issues and concerns about the reactor's safety systems added to the complexity of the project.
2. **Olkiluoto nuclear power plant (Finland):** The Olkiluoto project experienced similar challenges, with significant delays and cost overruns. Originally scheduled for completion in 2009, the construction schedule was extended due to various problems, including difficulties in ensuring the structural integrity of the reactor vessel. Delays in the project led to disputes between the parties involved and increased scrutiny of the EPR technology.
Both projects experienced longer construction times and financial setbacks, raising questions about the feasibility and efficiency of EPR 3.0 technology in practice. These difficulties contributed to a reassessment of nuclear projects and safety standards worldwide.
France was on the point of abandoning its EPR 3.0 adventures. However, after seeing the success of the Chinese prototype, France decided to continue with these projects.
France has reached the painful conclusion that building nuclear power plants is a complex business. The only way to make a EPR 3.0 nuclear project successful is y teaming up with China.
People don't understand that today China's industrial capacity is that of all the industrialised countries combined, not only in quantity but also in quality. When China faces a problem, it can call on its expertise in a vast number of areas. One can see that China's space projects have an extremely low failure rate compared to those launched by the US/UK/Japan. Such achievements are downplayed. China's comprehensive expertise in complex high-tech projects is also reflected in nuclear power plants.
Western knowledge of China is still at the stage where China beats the West because of its cheap labour, if not downright slave labour. They can't imagine that China is beating them because of better technology, better management and better manufacturing know how.
Moreover, for ten years after Japan's Fukushima nuclear accident, France was hesitant about continuing with nuclear power. During that time, China made rapid progress and achieved breakthroughs and innovations, especially in nuclear safety. Meanwhile, France's nuclear technology stagnated due to lack of investment.
Partnering with China is a necessity, as China now has know-how in many areas where France is lagging behind.
In view of these dynamics, if the British government wants to build nuclear power stations, it would be in the national interest to give the EDF-CGN consortium a free hand to allow the partnership to reproduce their success in China.