Thread by @Desi_Insaan

How does S386 impact diversity?

Anti-S386 activists claim the bill is anti-diversity. But is it? Let's look at it with data.

According to the US Census, the total US population was 318.7M in 2014. It is projected to be 416.8M in 2060.

1/

- Asian population was 17M in 2014 and projected to be 39M in 2060.

- Indian population in 2015 was 2.4M, which represents just 0.7% of the population.

- Assuming same rate of growth as the overall Asian population, Indians' population in 2060 will be 5.5M (1.7% of total).
2/

For comparison, Hispanic population will grow from 55.4M (17.4% of total) in 2014 to 119M (28.6%) in 2060.

Now, let's assume S386 is passed and country cap discrimination ends. This could lead to Indians getting up to 50% of total world allocation or ~50,000/year.

3/

Over a period of 40 years, 50K x 40 = 2M additional Indians will get a green card. As a result, Indian population in the US will be 7.5M in 2060 or 2.3% of the total.

Net impact of S386 to US population = 0.6%

OVER A PERIOD OF 40 YEARS, IMPACT OF S386 IS 0.6% OF US POPULATION!

Here is a document explaining this, with sources of data attached:

docs.google.com/document/d/1cP…

I hope #S386 opposers can realize that the impact to diversity with this bill is insubstantial. At the same time, it ends discriminatory segregation on country of birth in employment!