Ian Miller Profile picture
Aug 2, 2020 6 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Ok so this is a thread, but I wanted to come up with a visual way to see the difference between April in NY & NJ and today in the southern "hotspot states"

So I looked at CDC Provisional Death Counts in those areas. These will change (gray area the most), but it's still useful
I made the Y-Axis values go to the same level (8000) so you can see what happened in the Northeast vs. the south.

While there are population differences, the expected level of deaths in some of the areas are not actually that different from NYC & NJ
So with that said, here's NYC & NJ vs. Florida, which has been "the next NY" seemingly forever. ImageImageImage
NYC vs. Texas, Georgia and Arizona ImageImageImageImage
NYC & New Jersey vs. California ImageImageImage
The point of these is to show that while there have been bumps recently in the southern hotspot states, there is no "next New York”. Nothing even remotely close to New York.

For clarity again, here's NYC vs. Florida, Texas and Georgia.

It's not close, it's not remotely close. ImageImageImageImage

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More from @ianmSC

Nov 22, 2021
Hilariously, @snopes attached to “fact check” a tweet of mine about Vermont’s increase in cases.

Unsurprisingly, they got it nearly entirely wrong.

So I thought this required a thread “fact checking” them

snopes.com/fact-check/ver…
The basis for their rating of “False” appears to be based on the percentages, with them claiming the increase was “only” 6,200%

On July 5th, the 7-day average of new cases per million in Vermont was 3. On November 8th, it was 505. That is 16,733%

I rate this “fact check:” FALSE
The @snopes “fact checker” apparently did not realize that the chart was cases per million, leading to this delightful bit of editorial misinformation

Yes it was around 500 because that is how many cases per million Vermont had

We rate this “fact check:” MISLEADING
Read 9 tweets
Jul 15, 2021
Less than a month after the end of their latest lockdown, Victoria is back in another one after 10 new cases

This is their third lockdown in 7.5 months after eliminating the virus

How many lockdowns do we think they’ll reach eventually before eliminating it again? 20? 275?
The year is 2074. Dan Andrews is 102 years old. It’s been 54 years since a single international tourist visited Melbourne. He starts his press conference: “We’re so close. We’re so close to eliminating this virus. If we just do this snap lockdown for 5 more days, we can do it”
Some children are now middle aged, never having experienced a life without lockdowns. Andrews has received no criticism in the press or the general population. The reporters clap, in awe of his decisive action. New Zealand closes their travel corridor for the ten thousandth time.
Read 4 tweets
Jun 4, 2021
Whenever someone tries to tell you science isn’t political — this is the only response you need…The scientific community expressly ignored and became antagonistic to investigating a possible lab leak because a politician they hated suggested it might have happened.
The scientific community, including those in the literal government, did not want to engage with the idea because they were so politically motivated. The only reason the lab leak possibility has become acceptable is because people outside of the community did their work for them
They were so blinded by ideology they were willing to sacrifice uncovering the truth, whatever it is. Potentially one of the most important truths in world history, and they just didn’t care. Because politics.
Read 5 tweets
May 26, 2021
Back on March 19th, self-esteemed expert @DrEricDing tweeted that he was 99% certain that another surge was on the way in April or May due to the “more contagious” B.1.1.7 variant.

Cases are down -56% since

It would be funnier if so many people didn’t take him seriously
I am not making this up, this is exactly what he said
Literally the Governor of New Jersey referenced him last year. Unreal.
Read 4 tweets
May 9, 2021
Over two weeks ago, huge crowds in London protested endless lockdowns & government restrictions. Unsurprisingly, a number of doctors went absolutely ballistic, saying that they were risking creating a third wave in the UK

And yet, cases are down. They were wrong. As always.
This blue check ICU doctor said she was “#tootiredforthisshit” which is an excellent summation of how I feel every single day listening to the unending ignorant condescension of people like this, who are so wrapped up in ideological virtue that they’re unwilling to accept reality
She kept going, saying that it was “selfish behaviour” that risks “everyone’s safety” and “further lockdowns."

Narrator: It was not selfish and did not risk everyone’s safety.
Read 6 tweets
Apr 8, 2021
Two weeks ago, Arizona, to overwhelming local criticism, removed all county level mask mandates and rolled back nearly all restrictions on businesses. Nevada and California didn’t, and yet their numbers are the exact same.

How many more times does this need to keep happening?
In response to seeing packed bars in Old Town Scottsdale, near Phoenix, the Arizona Democratic Party tagged Governor Doug Ducey, as he would obviously be responsible for the immediate surge in cases
The Mayor of Phoenix did some excellent gaslighting by saying that the “horrible surge” was “only curbed by masking”, ignoring, of course, that the surge in fall/winter was much worse even with masking. Echoing experts, she said it was “like spiking the ball on the 5-yard line”
Read 11 tweets

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