Emil O W Kirkegaard Profile picture
Aug 2, 2020 3 tweets 2 min read Read on X
The Netherlands has the world's most democratic democracy. With 150 seats in their house, they have 13 parties in parliament right now!

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/House_of_… Image
The only country where one can almost do a political compass with a full board.

#nlpoli #nlpol Image
The reason for this pluralism is that countries differ in how many % a parties must at least get to have any seats. Most countries impose an artificial limit, called election threshold. Netherlands does not.

DK has 2nd lowest at 2%. 12 parties right now.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electoral… Image

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More from @KirkegaardEmil

Apr 17
Everybody knows some topics or questions are taboo, but which ones? Do people agree? Decided to find out. We asked 500 Americans online to rate the tabooness of 29 questions, and this was the result.

Race and IQ was the winner, even beating incest, pedophilia, gay germs etc. Image
The results were almost entirely consistent across all subgroups: age, sex, politics, race, science knowledge. The correlations for taboo ratings across groups were >.90, close to 1.00 without sampling error.

Though note that some grounds find everything more taboo than others.


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Why did we look into this? Well, back in 2021, I made fun of this paper. And now we have the published demonstration the taboo hierarchy.

journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.11…
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Read 5 tweets
Feb 26
The egalitarians in power were quick to cancel those academics who dared write that Dutch immigration report.

demo-demo.nl/wp-content/upl…
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Socialism attracts losers. This is also true for immigration socialism. Image
Attaining a reasonable outcome -- no more costs from foreigners in the country -- requires drastic measures. Even reducing 'refugees' by 90% is not enough. Image
Read 20 tweets
Feb 14
To understand the fiscal effects of immigration you have to start with a plot like this one. From the perspective of the government, people below 25 are net negatives, between 25 and 75, they are net positive, and then negative again. Image
The reasons for this are straightforward. Below 25's cost the state money in terms of childcare and education and don't yet make much money, and thus don't pay much in income tax. Old people cost money in retirement, old peoples homes, and healthcare. Image
The current net fiscal effect of an immigration group thus depends on its age distribution to a large extent. Maybe a group is currently positive because it is of working age, but that is short-term thinking. You must apply a lifetime perspective -- longtermism.
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Read 8 tweets
Feb 4
Education attainment is often given as the best example of heritability not being noticeably stronger than shared environment. But this conclusion is somewhat incorrect because of the assortative mating bias. In this study of Finnish and Dutch families, heritabilities were estimated at 55% and 66%, compared with shared environment of 16% and 13%.

frontiersin.org/articles/10.33…Image
In this Norwegian family study, heritability for education was estimated at 55%, close the above. Shared environment was 27%.

nature.com/articles/s4146…
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As usual, beware that variances are deceptive. If heritability is 60% and shared environment is 15%, this doesn't mean that genetics is 4x as important. You need to take the square root to get the path coefficients. These are 0.77 and 0.39. Thus, genetics is about 2x as powerful.
Read 4 tweets
Jan 15
Among those below 30, support for freedom of speech is a Right-Wing thing. This interaction with age was seen in both UK and US samples.

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Of the more familiar factors, support for freedom of speech predictors were:

- being a man
- intelligence
- valuing freedom (duh)
- intellectual humility
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Authors found that one could break down free speech support into 4 subdimensions. Image
Read 5 tweets
Jan 7
Who likes big butts? Who prefers breasts instead? @MrGeorgeFrancis and I decided to look into this in more detail using national and subnational data.

The main source of data here are Pornhub and Google searches for body-related terms. There is strong agreement across sources. Image
The main metric from the data is the relative interest in butts versus breasts. Behold, science. Image
Since such preferences plausibly relate to life history speed, and various metrics of development of a given locality, we of course checked the relationship to intelligence at the same level: national. Image
Read 12 tweets

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