NEW: I’ve updated the chart of new cases in England & Wales to show two critical parts of the story:
• Differentiating between places with an isolated cluster (Swindon’s Iceland depot) vs community spread
• Showing where Leicester was when it locked down ft.com/content/a2dbf1…
• Differentiating between places with an isolated cluster (Swindon’s Iceland depot) vs community spread
• Showing where Leicester was when it locked down ft.com/content/a2dbf1…
By incorporating that crucial detail of isolated cluster vs community spread, the data and chart better reflect PHE’s own "watchlist" of local areas (see here assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…)
They also show why Liverpool and Swindon were exempt from the blanket lockdowns.
They also show why Liverpool and Swindon were exempt from the blanket lockdowns.
And by adding Leicester at lockdown for context, we can show what @robertcuffe explained so concisely last week:
With the new restrictions in the NW, govt is acting *earlier* than they did in Leicester, but is also acting more *lightly* than it did there
With the new restrictions in the NW, govt is acting *earlier* than they did in Leicester, but is also acting more *lightly* than it did there
Hope this adds more of the nuance around the story:
• The resurgence is concerning
• But each outbreak is different, some riskier than others even if numbers look the same
• Action being taken earlier. New restrictions don’t mean new Leicester, they’re to prevent new Leicester
• The resurgence is concerning
• But each outbreak is different, some riskier than others even if numbers look the same
• Action being taken earlier. New restrictions don’t mean new Leicester, they’re to prevent new Leicester
