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One of these states has indoor/outdoor playgrounds, bars, and amusement parks closed since April. It also has restaurants at 50% capacity. The other two reopened all of these fully in May. Can you spot which one has them closed? (1/3)
One thing these states share is that they are all on the same latitude. (2/3)
Here is the answer: NC is the orange line, which still has anything fun closed, including even outdoor playgrounds. Based on deaths/day/million, it sure is in much better shape than TN and OK, no? (3/3)
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Prof
@covidtweets
Here is another anomaly with the new Korean study (wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/26…): Why is the gap between household and non-household contacts for the 10-19 group? Also, why is the bump in the almost linear increase in the transmission risk? (1/x) @NahasNewman @boriquagato @kylamb8
One plausible explanation: The child gets sick with cold/flu/etc. and gets tested. Also happens to be asymptomatic COVID after getting it from another asymptomatic family member. Then they test others in the family and find that the child "infected" them. (2/x)
Especially given the low number of index cases in this age group, such effects might have significantly influenced the results. Remember, this age group is the 2.2% of all possible index cases, which in itself is evidence of a much smaller risk of transmission from kids. (3/3)
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Prof
@covidtweets
Let's dispel the notion that other countries did a better job than the US in coronavirus response. Comparing the US to most other countries is comparing watermelons to apples. The US is huge, and each area have their own curve (1/x).
The NE region had their curve and got done with it. Now it is the South. Across the states, what predicts the shape and timing of the curve the best is where they are located. When or if a state locked down seems to have made little or no effect. (2/x)
Compare SoCal to Georgia. One stayed locked down for much longer, but they both flared up around the same time. Somehow it seems like latitude is more important than when or if a state locked down. (3/x)
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