Kiran Rajput Profile picture
Aug 15, 2020 17 tweets 3 min read Read on X
*Thread on Life Insurance Industry & HDFC Life*

Current Life Insurance Industry in terms of total premium business is 4.6 Trillion, with current penetration of mere 2.7%.

Definitely there is huge potential in Life Insurance compare to other emerging countries (not China)
1/12
In Life Insurance there are 24 players. India is 10th largest in the world & 5th largest in Asia in terms of Life Insurance Business (Industry)

With low penetration, awareness & post COVID, this industry should grow leaps & bounds (pure insurance).
2/12
What these Insurance Organizations sell?

Savings & Protection Plans

Savings Plans are basically combination of "Investments & Insurance"
Eg. ULIP, Endowment Policies, Par & Non Par

Protection Plans are 100% insurance.
Eg. Term Insurance, Group & Annuity

3/12
About HDFC Life ~
a young leading player in domestic life insurance, in Nov'17 listed on NSE & BSE.

Products:
~ ULIP
~ Par & Non Par
~ Group Insurance
~ Annuity
~ Term Insurance

A diversified pdt mix with highest margins & returns ratios.
4/12
🥇In new business premium HDFC Life has highest market share of 22% (among pvt players)
🥇LY insured 6 crores + lives, much ahead of peer orgs
🥇 41% CAGR of Lives Insured in last 5 years
🥇 28% CAGR in New Business Premium
🥇 Focused on Protection Plans than Saving Plans
5/12
In Pvt Insurers, HDFC Life is leader in Protection Plans (Term & Annuity).

In last 5 years,
~ HDFC Life's Protection (Term & Annuity) grown from 21% to 43%
~ HDFC Life's Savings (ULIP & Others) de grown from 79% to 57%

V Good Indictor!
6/12 Image
HDFC Life Subsidiaries ~
1. HDFC Pension
2. HDFC International & Re

(for details visit HDFC Life Website)
7/12
Look at HDFC Life's massive distribution network 👇, in last few quarters, HDFC Life has grown their direct business, selling more policies directly than through channels, improvising on their margins.
8/12 Image
LY No. of Lives Insured by large pvt players
HDFC Life: 6.13 Cr
SBI Life: 0.9 Cr
ICICI Pru: 0.4 Cr

Does 80 C clause impact HDFC Life & Others, not really. As I mentioned above they are shifting from selling Savings Plans to hardcore Insurance ~ Term, Group & Annuity.

9/12
With improvement in life expectancy (by 2050, Indians life expectancy will be 75yrs ), Post COVID Awareness & Education this industry & HDFC Life should do well.

BTW ~ not a recommendation to buy this stock.

10/12
On Valuation, compare to SBI & ICICI Pru, HDFC Life does demands high PE of 90 and high PEV (Price to Embedded Value) of 4.7.

11/12
If you read tweet no. 6, v will understand why PE & PEV are high. HDFC Life is becoming a core Insurance Org.

Their focus is more on selling Protection plans than Savings.

12/12
If you are curious to know how their CEOs are paid annually: 🙂
HDFC Life: 4.88 Cr
ICICI Pru: 7.60 Cr
SBI Life: 0.50 Cr

End
Analyst says valuation at 600 is high, but if we have plans to hold for a decade, do we really need to care short term high valuation?
Disc: Invested
On APE basis, the contraction in business for HDFC Life was just 5% for the first 5 mths of FY21. For SBI Life the contraction was 19% and ICICI Prudential Life Insurance saw a decline of 40%.
livemint.com/market/mark-to…
wow! claim settlement ratio of HDFC Life is better than LIC. Image

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More from @_KiranRajput

Jun 21
How Mutual Funds have performed from 2019 - 2023 (yr wise data).
It will give us very good insight on sectors, themes.
Thread🧵👇
Pharma Funds: Image
FMCG Funds: Image
Banking Funds: Image
Read 12 tweets
Apr 11
There are 120 Index Funds.
Read below detailed thread on 15yr to 1 yr returns.
The below data should help Index Investors.
⍣HDFC, ICICI & UTI Nifty50 have done exceptionally well.
⬇️↓⇟⬇️🧵
15 yr returns⤵️Image
10 yr returns⤵️
⍣Cheers to Next50 Index Funds Image
7 yr returns⤵️
⍣HDFC Sensex Index Fund is consistent over the yrs. Image
Read 6 tweets
Jan 4
Common Sense & Simple Investing!
It’s not necessary we need sound fundamental & technical skills to build a portfolio. Sometime common-sense & doing simple things does help create Wealth.
Very Importantly Behavioural Skills.

My investments in ‘Direct Stocks’ is 90-95% though I keep writing about Mutual Funds.
My expectations from this portfolio is 20-25% only.
Here are the list of my stocks in alphabetical order:
Bank of Maha.
Triggers:
»Undervalued PSU Bank
»NPA's cleaned
»Recapitalization
»Growth PlansImage
Coal India
Triggers:
»Undervalued
»Power Demand
»Green Energy Capex
»De-merger
»Lumpy DividendsImage
Read 17 tweets
Dec 2, 2023
Systematic Withdrawal Plan (SWP) as a Pension Tool.
More realistic nos.
At 23 yr, I
SIP in Mutual Funds: Rs 2,500
Annual Increment: 15%
Duration: 25 yr
Conservative CAGR: 12%

Corpus at the age 48yr: 1.7 Cr
Lets see if I do 1.5 Cr SWP in below BAF
(20L - Taxes)
🧵⤵️
Monthly withdrawal is 8% of the corpus. Slightly on higher side.
For those who are concerned about inflation, every 2-3 yrs you can increase withdrawal. Just that reminder will be reduced.

Fund1: HDFC Balanced Advantage Fund
Withdrawal/ Month: 1 Lakh
Duration: 20 yr Image
Fund2: ICICI Pru Balanced Advantage Fund
Withdrawal/ Month: 1 Lakh
Duration: 15 yr Image
Read 10 tweets
Nov 26, 2023
Few argued earning 15% CAGR in Mutual Funds is difficult.
here is the 10 year data for↴
⓵Flexi-cap
⓶Mid-cap
⓷Small-cap
The returns range between 15% & 28%.
Index Investors can you counter it with data🙂?
🧵⤵️
"Flexi-cap" Image
"Mid-cap" Image
Read 5 tweets
Aug 5, 2023
2nd SWP (Systematic Withdrawal Plan) thread on conservative withdrawal.
Lumpsum: 1 Cr & 50 Lakh
Time Frame: 12yrs
Withdrawal %: 6%

Assumption: have own house, kids are settled & they are moving partial savings in SWP.
I am picking funds randomly. No Discrimination.
Lets go⤵️
Flexi-cap: DSP
Pic1: 1 Cr, 50K/ mth, Corpus after 12 yrs: 2.8 Cr
Pic2: 50L, 25K/ mth, Corpus after 12 yrs: 1.4 Cr
Image
Image
Large & Mid-cap: SBI
Pic1: 1 Cr, 50K/ mth, Corpus after 12 yrs: 3.8 Cr
Pic2: 50L, 25K/ mth, Corpus after 12 yrs: 1.9 Cr
Image
Image
Read 10 tweets

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