Thread by @wolfejosh

1/ on FUTURE OF WORK + cities

If you are a software developer or spreadsheet jockey––location does not matter. Relocation from major cities (with corresponding downard adjustment for cost of living in pay) is a logical choice for employee + employer...

Same for these jobs––

2/
These jobs can thrive* remotely

Accountants
Analysts
Authors
Data Entry/Transcription
Editors
Graphic Design
Mobile, web, UX design/devs
Social media managers
Sys admins

*but good news (low barriers to learn + be qualified) = bad news supply📈 competition📈 + future pay📉—

3/ will ALWAYS be outlier exceptions in power law dist. (exceptional authors or graph. designers 2x-20x avg ones)

But complex creative endeavors needing HUMAN interaction cant all be done remotely

solitary or small team in-person jobs will become more valuable, more highly paid

4/ These jobs will see increase in demand + pay

Surgery
Science
Elder care
Real estate
Beauty care
Interior design
Transportation
In-patient clinics
Humanitarian workers
Trainers/Coaches
Food & Beverage
Warehouse ops
Social services
Infrastructure
Construction
Teachers
Tutors

5/ I predict over next yr...

...news will emerge
(reported by a Macolm Gladwell-type)
of UNUSUALLY dramatic outperformance from a few high-leverage, small-teams focused on situations of high-uncertainty––from investing to military to sports to teaching to engineering to biotech

6/ the author will report that the ONE common thing they all had that allowed them to outcompete larger, more reputable or better-funded peers?

Small-group gatherings
with high-body language
& jazz-like riffing
w/ conjecture + criticism that helped them get to best answer...

7/ Whether it is details of how a covid treatment came to be, a military maneuver, a tech or biotech startup’s ascent, an investment partnership big score, a school with thriving students...

8/ They will have all outcompeted + outperformed a weaker-culture in comparison that was in hindsight found to be too dispersed + distributed with weaker-leadership, empathy, connection, comraderie...

It will take a best-selling contrarian Gladwell-like book for the change

9/ I expect cities to reflect more spectrum-like sorting.

Introverted solitary types move OUT to burbs/country–
craving quiet.

Extroverted creative types move IN to cities––
craving connection.

All of which points to—my late g’mas fave show
the young + the restless