Good day from Yuma, Arizona ~ 77 days til the election.
Here’s the line to get into President Trump’s campaign event — I’m told it’ll be a 1000 person limit here at a Yuma airport hangar.
Here’s the line to get into President Trump’s campaign event — I’m told it’ll be a 1000 person limit here at a Yuma airport hangar.
Pres. Trump is en route to Yuma for 2nd time in 2 months.
Why?
Just 3% of Arizonans, per our July poll, say they are undecided between Biden & Trump.
Now it's a matter of turning your supporters out -- and for Trump, selling his on 2016 promises.
Why?
Just 3% of Arizonans, per our July poll, say they are undecided between Biden & Trump.
Now it's a matter of turning your supporters out -- and for Trump, selling his on 2016 promises.
What does Yuma represent? For Trump:
1) Border wall -- 300 miles of new wall (majority is replacement).
2) USMCA -- Yuma is America's winter lettuce capital/major ag economy
3) Military -- Marine Corps Air Station Yuma here (+10k miliitary/family members)
1) Border wall -- 300 miles of new wall (majority is replacement).
2) USMCA -- Yuma is America's winter lettuce capital/major ag economy
3) Military -- Marine Corps Air Station Yuma here (+10k miliitary/family members)
Yuma County electorate only makes up 2.4% of Arizona electorate.
But for a 2020 campaign that is running on "promises made, promises kept," it's keen on using Yuma as its backdrop.
But for a 2020 campaign that is running on "promises made, promises kept," it's keen on using Yuma as its backdrop.
Politically, Trump needs to win Arizona. Won it by 3.5% in 2016.
His numbers are now underwater in Maricopa County.
He needs to juice his numbers in rural counties like Yuma. It'll be a race on margins. Needs to bolster support here beyond 2016 levels.
His numbers are now underwater in Maricopa County.
He needs to juice his numbers in rural counties like Yuma. It'll be a race on margins. Needs to bolster support here beyond 2016 levels.
**To note: There is evidence that gives the GOP/Trump campaign hope about boosting its rural AZ numbers.
% share of Yuma County electorate by party:
Today:
--Dems: 33.5%
--GOP: 30.3%
--IND: 35.5%
2016:
Yuma:
--Dems: 35.5%
--GOP: 28.4%
--IND: 36.3%
% share of Yuma County electorate by party:
Today:
--Dems: 33.5%
--GOP: 30.3%
--IND: 35.5%
2016:
Yuma:
--Dems: 35.5%
--GOP: 28.4%
--IND: 36.3%
Yet there are also the factors at play in Yuma that make this place equally of concern for Trump.
2/3rds of Yuma County is Latino.
In this ag community, there's a deep political/organizing history dating back to Cesar Chavez, who grew up 6 miles north.
2/3rds of Yuma County is Latino.
In this ag community, there's a deep political/organizing history dating back to Cesar Chavez, who grew up 6 miles north.
And Yuma was a COVID hot spot.
That's a reality that is hard to sell otherwise.
There have been 12,000 positive cases in Yuma County & nearly 300 deaths.
That's a reality that is hard to sell otherwise.
There have been 12,000 positive cases in Yuma County & nearly 300 deaths.
