, 40 tweets, 14 min read
My Authors
Read all threads
Positional target share over the last 10 seasons (among RBs, WRs, TEs) #slowThread
Arizona: Klingsbury has lost no time in addressing his WRs (Arians was slowing them down until his last year, 2017)
Atlanta: it's been a long time since the slump in the WR corps, but this a pass-heavy team
Baltimore: Harbaugh wants to run the ball as much as possible, so WRs are underapreciated over there. But last year was the lowest point (as well as the highest for the TE position).

Can Hollywood enjoy the bounce back?
Buffalo: Josh Allen (like it or not) has brought his good receivers to a fair share for the Bills, whilst the other positions have been downwards.
Carolina: McCaffrey is something special, which means the WR corps ceiling is not as high as we'd like for them.
Chicago: RB share is slowly decreasing, but still high (good for Cohen).

WR trend suggests Allen Robinson with a ton of targets from whoever gets him the ball.
Cincinnati: being the worst team in the season puts you mostly in passing situations, which helped Boyd e co. a lot. AJ Green is back for all that share, given that the Bengals won't quickly resurface and be a contender.

Mixon (and Bernard eventually) might see fewer targets.
Cleveland: high share for RBs (Hunt might have a good flex season) and stability for WRs with Mayfield at the helm.
Dallas: the Cooper-Gallup-Lamb trio is set to be explosive, since Dak like his WRs.

If Jarwin sees the same share as he and Witten saw last year, he's on the breakout path as many have been saying.
Denver: Lock has had his first season, which was the lowest for WRs. That might change with Jeudy in the mix.

It was also the highest for RBs. Gordon is set to get a lot from that, while Lindsay has to fight for his share. That 25% seems unlikely to repeat.
Detroit: WR is a steady position there, but... can you see Hockenson here? Logan Thomas is out too (Washington, thanks for the tip, @LateRoundQB).
Green Bay: Jones and Williams had some monster games themselves (and Davante lost some weeks too).

The team didn't invest in WRs so that amount of targets might find them again.
Houston: the target magnet (mr. Hopkins) is gone, while Brandin Cooks and Randall Cobb is in the house. All we know is that Watson is gonna look for his wideouts (whoever stays healthy). Cobb is the sniper waiting for the chance.
Indianapolis: with or without Luck, the tight ends got fed. And now enters... Rivers (we'll see him later)! Good for Doyle and (maybe) Burton.

Like Carolina, the WR ceiling seems low, even with new talent around.

PS.: if Taylor/Mack/Hynes get ready, they might see much volume.
Jacksonville: Minshew has rescued his WRs, and has elevated Fournette in the process. Now Thompson joins the backfield with a "pass-catching guy" resume.

DJ Chark is set for a solid year (a negative season is coming, anyway).
Kansas City: Reid is creative, I give you that. Look how low HAVE BEEN the WR share. Only Tyreek Hill have been thriving consistently.

PS: Kelce's numbers are ridiculous!

PS (2): if CEH meets 1st-round expectations, he is on Jamaal Charles and Kareem Hunt's paths 👀
LA Chargers: it's interesting how the franchise haven't been giving WRs with 60%+ of passes. Anyway, Rivers likes to feed RBs (Ekeler, 19') and TEs (Gates, 13').

What changes with Taylor or Herbert in town? We'll see, but wideouts might see the most opportunities in a long time.
LA Rams: 2019 saw a big inversion between RBs and TEs.
It might have to do with McVay changing things in the team.

RBs saw nothing better than 19% target share last year, while TEs alternated good games volume-wise.

Higbee x Everett is the true matchup to watch.
Miami: TE (meaning Gesicki) was addressed last year and will be again, which matches the 2020 breakout talk over the media.

Wideouts and RBs shouldn't see much change since they keep consistent shares.
Minnesota: this is how much they missed Thielen. With a healthy season (and Justin Jefferson by his side), WRs numbers should rise again.

All that means that Cook's upside might be lower than last year's, as he's seen multiple games with 10%+ target share.
New Orleans: RBs are premium with Sean Payton, and we should expect Kamara to finally surpass that 81 reception mark in a full-go season.

The WORST weekly target share for Michael Thomas last year (counting WRs, RBs and TE's targets only): 25%.
New England: the lowest tight end season in target share, 1st without arguably the GOAT in the position. Good for Edelman and White, who remain in the mix.

Newton should take the starter job at QB and eventually change things a bit, which might be good for Harry and Sanu.
We should not expect Asiasi and Keene to explode like Gronk/Hernandez. But I'm no prophet 😇
NY Giants: obviously RB shares went down since Barkley missed games. It should get back up.

If Engram stays healthy, he'll see the ball as much as possible, since Kaden Smith and Rhett Ellison got the ball in his absences.

Slayton is Shepard's handcuff. Use wisely.
NY Jets: Robby Anderson saw 20%+ of the targets 9 times. So Crowder, Perriman and Mims are in place for them, unless Herndon makes his way into bringing TE numbers straight up.

RB numbers are stable and they're Bell's to keep.
Oakland (now Las Vegas): Waller's share was impressive, and we should expect regression (not bc of regression per se, but bc there's plenty of new targets in town).

Jacobs is surrounded by the expectations of him being more involved in the passing game. Can he do it?
Philadelphia: WRs couldn't stay healthy, which led to big TE participation in the passing game, although Ertz forces the issue in any circumstances.

With Reagor (R) and returning D-Jax, WR numbers should hit 50%+ again. Unless Miles Sanders shows what the industry expects.
Pittsburgh: even without Big Ben, the Steelers looked for their WRs.

Among RBs, Jaylen Samuels saw 10%+ target share 10 times. That big share in the position should go down with a healthy Juju.

Last but not least, Diontae Johnson should provide us lots of, at least WR3, weeks.
PS: Ebron is in town searching for quality targets (RZ, EZ).
Seattle: Lockett and Metcalf were and will be the main targets.

With Olsen in town, health is not the only issue for Will Dissly.
San Francisco: Kittle is a no-contest for years there.

It's hard to find RBs getting 10%+ in a game, and Tevin Coleman had the most (4x).

Since Kyle Shanahan is in charge, WRs have been underused and Deebo Samuel (when available) is the only reliable fantasy asset.
Tampa Bay: Arians is slowly bringing up RB and TE numbers, and he has Tom Brady to enforce that trend.

That means that Evans and Godwin are set to face a fierce competition for targets. And let's not forget Ke'Shawn Vaughn.
Tennessee: Delanie Walker is out, so Jonnu Smith has a clear path for a successful whole season.

Nor Derrick Henry neither Darrynton Evans (R) are moving the RB % up this year. They're pure runners judging by the numbers. It's Dion Lewis' job.

PS: don't sleep on Corey Davis.
Washington: the TE drop is mesmerizing. It means that, with Reed (SF), Vernon (retired) and Sprinkle not being a factor, the newcomer Logan Thomas (@LateRoundQB) has a big field to take.

WRs charted that terrain and Terry McLaurin might have a monster year (@MattHarmon_BYB).
Big thanks to all of you who appreciated this long job! @MyFantasyLeague
All that in DC has a mystery to solve, and it goes by the name of Antonio Gibson.
My mistake (thanks @dynastyhot); those targets might go anywhere between those guys in the backfield, but their receiving numbers won't be expressive as we'd like
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh.

Keep Current with Rui Mauricio

Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

Twitter may remove this content at anytime, convert it as a PDF, save and print for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video

1) Follow Thread Reader App on Twitter so you can easily mention us!

2) Go to a Twitter thread (series of Tweets by the same owner) and mention us with a keyword "unroll" @threadreaderapp unroll

You can practice here first or read more on our help page!

Follow Us on Twitter!

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3.00/month or $30.00/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!