Based on CDC "Weekly Counts of Deaths by State and Select Causes" dataset updated August 19th, 2020
Undercount was +62,000 deaths, when 161,882 were reported (+38.3%).
Current reported deaths: 174,361
Actual deaths: 236,361-241,139
![](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Ef9bJ2XXoAAS3Bs.png)
![](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Ef9bLSwXkAY6JiD.png)
CDC calculates a +50.5% undercount, the NY Times +38.3%.
My estimates have agreed more with the NY Times.
![](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Ef9tii5XYAA9qnl.png)
NYT Reported Deaths: 174,361
NYT Estimated Actual Deaths: 238,000
CDC Estimated Actual Deaths: 257,000
We may have reached a quarter of a million deaths via COVID-19.
Data.CDC.gov
@nytimes
nytimes.com/interactive/20…
data.cdc.gov/NCHS/Excess-De…
cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr…
![](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Ef9vRjPXkAIE3lZ.jpg)
![](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Ef9wie5XsAI53uJ.jpg)
![](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Ef9wk2NXoAg9s0x.png)
![](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Ef9wnNvXkAIvCl8.jpg)