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Annie Duke Profile picture
@AnnieDuke
Aug 26, 2020 • 8 tweets • 4 min read • Read on X
THREAD:

A few months back, when @mkonnikova was getting ready for the release of her latest book, The Biggest Bluff, she started highlighting the amazing work of those who had blurbed her book.

1/8
I thought this was so thoughtful and resolved to do this myself as a way to express my gratitude. As a bonus, I get to recommend some of the best stuff written on cognitive science and decision making.

So I am starting with Maria who was kind enough to blurb How to Decide.

2/8
The Biggest Bluff is an incredible book about Maria’s journey from novice poker to poker champion in the space of a year. Maria started learning poker as a way to explore the influence on luck on our lives.

3/8
@mkonnikova is a beautiful writer and The Biggest Bluff is a beautiful book that is a must read. It is, deservedly so, a @nytimes Bestseller!

4/8
amazon.com/Biggest-Bluff-…
.@mkonnikova also wrote The Confidence Game, also a @nytimes bestseller.

5/8
As @sapinker put it, “The story of the con artist may be unmatched for combining human interest with insight into human nature, and star psychology writer Maria Konnikova explains their wiles to us with her characteristic clarity, flair, and depth”
6/8
 amazon.com/Confidence-Gam…
Mastermind: How to Think Like Sherlock Holmes is another New York Times bestseller from @mkonnikova. See a pattern here? She is a really incredible writer and a deeply thoughtful mind.

7/8
From the @nytimes review, “An entertaining blend of Holmesiana and modern-day neuroscience.”

8/8
amazon.com/Mastermind-Thi…

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More from @AnnieDuke

Annie Duke Profile picture
Nov 18, 2022
In < 2 weeks (Nov. 28) I’m launching my 1st cohort-based decision-making class on @MavenHQ. It’s for entrepreneurs, executive-level decision makers, investors & anyone seeking to make higher quality decisions in their business, work, and personal life.

1/ 11 Image
I've been studying how to make better decisions under uncertainty my whole adult life: professional poker player career, work in cognitive science, writing 3 books about decision making & consulting w/ incredible companies like @firstround @RenegadePtnrs and @mParticle.
2/11
My clients have to make high stakes decisions under conditions of uncertainty every day.
3/11
Read 11 tweets
Annie Duke Profile picture
Nov 9, 2022
Quitting gets a bad rap. Language favors grit over quitting. We’re taught that people who quit are cowards and that quitting is an obstacle to overcome.

1/6
I reject this. I wrote #QUIT to rehabilitate quitting’s image and to show people that it is a valuable decision skill and our best tool for making decisions under uncertainty.

2/6
It allows us to change course when new information is revealed, let go of things that aren’t worthwhile, and make the best next move.

3/6
Read 6 tweets
Annie Duke Profile picture
Nov 3, 2022
The most meaningful conversations your team needs to be having (that you probably aren't already) are around quitting.

#THREAD

1/4
It’s critical to understand that while your intuition is probably telling you that improving quitting behavior won’t make a difference in your decision-making or your business – that intuition is not correct.

2/4
Quitting is your secret weapon. It’s a superpower that takes time to master, but once you do, you will save your organization time, energy, and money.

3/4
Read 4 tweets
Annie Duke Profile picture
Oct 31, 2022
Lead your team through this exercise during my Flight Cohort on @BalloonPlatform. You'll identify mission-critical parts to tackle first, create experiments to decide what’s worth pursuing, identify tasks to put on the backburner & build a project plan around these pieces.

1/4
I can guarantee using this framework with your team will help you make the best next move and save your team time, energy, and money.

2/4
If you’ve already purchased #QUIT, you can get a discount code for 10% off of the Balloon Flight Cohort by filling out this proof of purchase form: surveymonkey.com/r/QuitADuke

3/4
Read 4 tweets
Annie Duke Profile picture
Oct 25, 2022
Inflexible goals aren’t a good fit for a flexible world.

1/6
After we set a goal, it becomes a fixed object.

The goal becomes the object of our grit, instead of all the values expressed and balanced when we originally set the goal, even as all the inputs that led to choosing that particular goal evolve.

2/6
The conditions in the world change.

Our knowledge changes.

The weights we attach to the benefits and costs change.

Our preferences and values change.

3/6
Read 6 tweets
Annie Duke Profile picture
Oct 25, 2022
In #QUIT, I outline the various cognitive and motivational forces that work against good quitting behavior. There’s sunk cost bias, desire for certainty, escalation of commitment, status quo bias, and endowment bias (to name a few).

1/9
I go into different mental models and frameworks to build good quitting behaviors into your toolbox, like thinking in expected value, increasing flexibility in goal-setting, establishing “quitting criteria” and contracts, etc.

2/9
I can’t emphasize enough how important these tools are — but it can be difficult to bring your team or company along as well, especially when collaborative settings add in a whole host of additional group dynamics and biases that work against good decision-making.

3/9
Read 9 tweets

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