Just How Bad Will The Lack Of New Low Rise Homes Be In 2 Years? REALLY BAD
The math is inescapable: New Construction Starts of all homes to buy (Rental Projects are happening) flat-linned in Ontario & BC but Low Rise had already dropped to less than 25% of new builds
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For the last few years the building of Low Rise has fallen off for a number of reasons: land costs is extremely high, uncertainty of final materials costs, a huge chunk of final price was Development Fees & Taxes & likely the most important reason: Hi-Rise was more profitable
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Capital goes where the profits are & Hi-Rise was the money maker
Sure, you see some low-rise projects finishing but you won't see many starting and those that are starting are often very far away from Urban Cores, several hours drive in some cases
I believe every word that Chace is saying, it all rings true particularly since the company I work for has & observed similar things in mortgages
The totally rigged & endless waste of money that is the government grants business
Particularly in all things Tech
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Let me give you examples: Multiple Mortgage Companies have been given $Millions$ in Government grants to develop Digital Mortgage Applications in the name of Innovation & Development
Except so few of these apps are sold or licensed to any other companies
One True Thing: Young Canadians Want To Own Their Own Homes
Not as an investment
Not to flip
Not as a source of leverage
Just to live in & raise a family
And if they see that idea as hopeless they will be pissed off & no one should wonder why they're mad
Let's be clear
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Young people understand that 25 years ago in most Big Cities in Canada average houses cost between 2.5X & 3.5X average income & most couples could buy one
They also understand that in many cities in Canada that's now 4.5X to 10X average family income
Massively harder to do
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We can go around & around about why this has happened but ultimately that doesn't help the young people who rightly feel they have been put at a severe disadvantage compared to previous generations
Nothing about tracking Rental Payments will reduce houses prices to the point average Renters can produce enough down payment or pass the Stress Test
2) OSFI the Government's own Bank Regulator insists Borrowers have provable acceptable Credit History how could anyone
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With a history of NOT PAYING BILLS have those non-payment offset by paying rent on time? This is nuts
3) Less than 8% of all applicants for a First Time Mortgage are turned down based on Credit Score 92% are APPROVED or rejected because they could not afford the payments
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